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A Case Study in NASA-DoD - The Black Vault

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-68-<br />

for missions with large payload weights and high altitude requirements;<br />

(4) the percentage of shuttle costs prorated to Space Test Program payloads<br />

was varied from 0 to 100 percent; (5) criteria other than weight<br />

were used for allocat<strong>in</strong>g shuttle cost; (6) shuttle cost was <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

from $15.4 to $30 million; and (7) lower development cost was assumed<br />

for the STPSS to reflect the elim<strong>in</strong>ation of the qualification test model.<br />

Of the above cases, maximum payloads per spacecraft, payloads <strong>in</strong> the<br />

Space Test Program, allocation criteria for launch costs, and shuttle<br />

cost were found to be the most important <strong>in</strong> terms of program costs.<br />

<strong>The</strong> variation of total program cost with maximum payloads per<br />

spacecraft is illustrated <strong>in</strong> Fig. 7. As the maximum <strong>in</strong>creases, the<br />

reduction <strong>in</strong> program cost for the all-MMS case is much larger than for<br />

any of the other options. This is partly because of the large payload<br />

~300<br />

STPSS<br />

o WAS<br />

9 AEM-STPSS<br />

o AEM-MMS<br />

PROGRAM<br />

COST<br />

(millions<br />

of<br />

dollars) 100<br />

•I I p<br />

6 8 10 13<br />

MAXIMUM NUMBER OF PAYLOADS PER SPACECRAFT<br />

Fig. 7-Effect of the maximum number of payloads<br />

per spacecraft (nom<strong>in</strong>al case)<br />

capability of the MKS. <strong>The</strong> result is that the ability to dist<strong>in</strong>guish<br />

between the procurement options on the basis of cost disappears when<br />

the maximum number of payloads <strong>in</strong>creases above 10. However, the total<br />

program cost is about 30 percent lower than <strong>in</strong> the nom<strong>in</strong>al case (maximum<br />

number of payloads - 6) when the number of payloads is allowed

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