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A Case Study in NASA-DoD - The Black Vault

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<strong>The</strong> implications of the forego<strong>in</strong>g analysis for spacecraft selection<br />

that has <strong>in</strong>cluded the AEM, STPSS, and MMS may be summarized as<br />

follows:<br />

1. When the upper limit on the number of payloads that ban be<br />

assigned to a spacecraft is 10 or more, program costs are<br />

essentially the same <strong>in</strong> all cases.<br />

2. When the number of payloads per spacecraft is limited to 6,<br />

the STPSS and AEM/STPSS offer lowest program costs <strong>in</strong> virtually<br />

all cases.<br />

3. When shuttle charges are determ<strong>in</strong>ed largely by payload length<br />

as is the case when the modified <strong>NASA</strong> shuttle tariff is used,<br />

the AEM/STPSS comb<strong>in</strong>ation has the lowest program cost.<br />

4. Given the stipulated AEM, STPSS, and MMS capabilities, the<br />

uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties <strong>in</strong> the Air Force Space Test Program mission<br />

model, and the uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties <strong>in</strong> the shuttle tariff schedule,<br />

none of the alternatives considered offers a clear-cut advantage<br />

over the others, although those options that <strong>in</strong>clude<br />

the STPSS are generally preferred.<br />

Upgraded AEM<br />

As an additional excursion, the possibility of modify<strong>in</strong>g some<br />

spacecraft designs to give them greater capability was considered.<br />

Specific modifications considered <strong>in</strong>clude:<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the STPSS payload<br />

capability to 1500 lb; <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the AEM payload capability to<br />

300 lb; and chang<strong>in</strong>g the AEM capability to allow sun orientation or<br />

geosynchronous altitude operation. Of these, only the last promised a<br />

sizable impact on program cost because of the <strong>in</strong>creased number of Space<br />

Test Program payloads that could be captured (from 22 to 72 percent).<br />

To obta<strong>in</strong> a first-order approximation of the cost of an AEM hav<strong>in</strong>g such<br />

a capability, the cost of the STPSS -cold-gas reaction control system<br />

was added to the cost of the basic AEM. Such a reaction control system

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