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A Case Study in NASA-DoD - The Black Vault

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-74-<br />

would be needed for the AEM to operate at geosynchronous altitude. This<br />

configuration is referred to henceforth as the upgraded AEM.<br />

Table 12 compares the cost of upgraded AEM/STPSS and upgraded<br />

AEM/MMS comb<strong>in</strong>ations with those considered <strong>in</strong> the previous nom<strong>in</strong>al case.<br />

In that excursion the upgraded AEM/MMS comb<strong>in</strong>ation appeared to have<br />

program costs more than 20 percent below those of the other procurement<br />

options. <strong>The</strong> pr<strong>in</strong>cipal reasons for this are: (1) With the additional<br />

performance capabilities, the relatively low-cost upgraded AEM1 is a<br />

substitute for the more expensive STPSS on nearly all missions, and<br />

(2) when the upgraded AEM is used <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation with the MMS, the nonrecurr<strong>in</strong>g<br />

cost of the STPSS is not <strong>in</strong>curred.<br />

Table 12<br />

EFFECT OF THE UPGRADED AEMa<br />

No. of Max. No. Program Cost (s millions)<br />

Payloads of Payloads<br />

<strong>in</strong> per Upgraded- Upgraded-<br />

<strong>Case</strong> Program Spacecraft STPSS MMS AEM/STPSS AEM/NMS AEM/STPSS AEfM/NMS<br />

114 13 (160) (162) (157) (156) (148) 99<br />

114<br />

228<br />

6<br />

13<br />

(222)<br />

(244)<br />

(263)<br />

(247)<br />

(210)<br />

(244)<br />

(240)<br />

(240)<br />

(172)<br />

(233)<br />

146<br />

175<br />

228 6 (373) (418) (342) (392) 298 294<br />

Increased esti- 114 13 (160) (162) (157) (156) (175) 121<br />

mates of 114 6 (222) (263) (210) (240) (215) 183<br />

upgraded AE24 228 13 244 247 244 240 (281) 231<br />

cost 228 6 373 (418) 342 (392) 368 371<br />

aFor a given row, program costs with<strong>in</strong> 10 percent of the lowest value are<br />

ct <strong>in</strong> parentheses.<br />

To test the sensitivity of the above result to the estimated cost<br />

of the upgraded AEM, nonrecurr<strong>in</strong>g cost was <strong>in</strong>creased by $10 million<br />

and unit 1 recurr<strong>in</strong>g cost was <strong>in</strong>creased from $2.44 million to $4.88<br />

million. <strong>The</strong> results, also shown <strong>in</strong> Table 12, <strong>in</strong>dicate that the upgraded<br />

AEM/MMS comb<strong>in</strong>ation cont<strong>in</strong>ues to be the preferred procurement<br />

We have assumed that the upgraded AEM is limited to a payload of<br />

150 ib, a data rate of 8 kbps, experimental power of 40-50 W and no<br />

encryption capability--the same as the basic AEM.

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