Risk Management and Value Creation in ... - Arabictrader.com
Risk Management and Value Creation in ... - Arabictrader.com
Risk Management and Value Creation in ... - Arabictrader.com
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Implications of the Previous Theoretical Discussion for This Book 135<br />
bank for the risk’s contribution to its total risk costs. 27 This logic should<br />
even hold when the risk is uncorrelated with factors that are priced <strong>in</strong> the<br />
capital markets, that is, for diversifiable or specific risk.<br />
Return<strong>in</strong>g to Figure 4.1, it is worthwhile to emphasize that a bank’s<br />
capital structure should be determ<strong>in</strong>ed by the bank’s exposure to total risk<br />
(i.e., to both systematic <strong>and</strong> specific risk) <strong>and</strong> driven by its concern with<br />
creditworth<strong>in</strong>ess. Even though some of the post-modern models realize how<br />
critical f<strong>in</strong>ancial policy/structure can be <strong>in</strong> enabl<strong>in</strong>g <strong>com</strong>panies to make<br />
valuable <strong>in</strong>vestments, 28 none of these models <strong>in</strong>cludes the role of risk management<br />
<strong>in</strong> accept<strong>in</strong>g value-enhanc<strong>in</strong>g projects. Additionally, while the current<br />
practice <strong>in</strong> risk management seems to aim mostly at specific risk, it<br />
became clear <strong>in</strong> the above discussion that risk management should also aim<br />
at systematic risk <strong>and</strong> hence the totality of risk. 29<br />
Eighth, the market imperfections <strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>in</strong> the neo<strong>in</strong>stitutional section<br />
seem to <strong>in</strong>dicate that firm (stakeholder) value maximization might be<br />
a better corporate objective for banks than shareholder value maximization,<br />
s<strong>in</strong>ce the costs entailed <strong>in</strong> shareholder value maximization might have adverse<br />
effects on all (bank) stakeholders. 30<br />
The differences between the two theories can be summarized as shown<br />
<strong>in</strong> Table 4.1.<br />
We can, therefore, deduce the follow<strong>in</strong>g implications for the further<br />
structure of this book:<br />
■<br />
■<br />
First, we need to def<strong>in</strong>e <strong>and</strong> derive an adequate total risk measure<br />
for banks, because (especially <strong>in</strong> a non-normal world) neither systematic<br />
nor specific risk capture the concern with lower-tail out<strong>com</strong>es<br />
well. We also need to discuss the <strong>in</strong>terrelation of such a risk measure<br />
with the capital structure of banks, both of which we will do <strong>in</strong><br />
Chapter 5.<br />
Second, we need to def<strong>in</strong>e an adequate capital-budget<strong>in</strong>g tool that<br />
reflects the <strong>in</strong>terrelation of capital budget<strong>in</strong>g, capital structure, <strong>and</strong><br />
risk management, <strong>and</strong> that provides a consistent merger of the two<br />
theories, that is, en<strong>com</strong>passes market as well as bank <strong>in</strong>ternal portfolio<br />
considerations. We will, therefore, <strong>in</strong>vestigate <strong>in</strong> Chapter 6<br />
27 The only way to control the firm’s risk exposure to nonmarketable risks is by<br />
<strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g less aggressively <strong>in</strong> illiquid risk.<br />
28 Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Myers (1977) <strong>and</strong> Myers <strong>and</strong> Majluf (1984), firms face real tradeoffs<br />
<strong>in</strong> how they f<strong>in</strong>ance their <strong>in</strong>vestments.<br />
29 See Chapter 2 for a more detailed discussion of this issue <strong>in</strong> a bank<strong>in</strong>g context.<br />
30 This is especially true for banks, s<strong>in</strong>ce they care about total risks for good reasons.<br />
As shown previously, “bank runs” <strong>in</strong>duce a state <strong>in</strong> which all of the bus<strong>in</strong>ess is lost<br />
immediately (which is relevant for all stakeholders) <strong>and</strong>, <strong>in</strong> general, bank stakeholders<br />
are extremely credit sensitive <strong>and</strong> cannot diversify that risk.