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Risk Management and Value Creation in ... - Arabictrader.com

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Capital Budget<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Banks 255<br />

RAROC<br />

High<br />

Correlation<br />

Low<br />

Correlation<br />

Hurdle<br />

Rate<br />

<strong>Risk</strong><br />

Figure 6.2 Changes <strong>in</strong> RAROC for changes <strong>in</strong> risk<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>and</strong> correlation.<br />

Note: Results for plott<strong>in</strong>g this graph are derived similarly to Crouhy et al.<br />

(1999).<br />

cause such projects would make them “break even” earlier with the required<br />

<strong>and</strong> fixed rate of return, <strong>in</strong>dicat<strong>in</strong>g that they create value.<br />

S<strong>in</strong>ce we are consider<strong>in</strong>g an NPV = 0 project here, it is obvious that the<br />

implicit assumption that RAROC <strong>com</strong>pensates correctly for changes <strong>in</strong> risk 75<br />

is wrong. The bank would have to determ<strong>in</strong>e the beta of the transaction 76<br />

<strong>in</strong> order to f<strong>in</strong>d out about the true value of the project. However, this will<br />

be impossible <strong>in</strong> practice—especially for illiquid credits. Crouhy et al. therefore<br />

suggest the calculation of an adjusted RAROC, 77 which we will not<br />

discuss here. 78<br />

Let us now turn to transactions with either positive or negative NPV,<br />

that is, when I ≠ V A,0<br />

. So far, there has been no need to discuss <strong>and</strong> deter-<br />

75 See Wilson (1992), p. 112.<br />

76 See Crouhy et al. (1999), p. 20.<br />

77 This adjusted RAROC corrects for the steepness of the RAROC curve for <strong>in</strong>creases<br />

<strong>in</strong> risk<strong>in</strong>ess, mak<strong>in</strong>g it a constant function. However, this holds only true for NPV<br />

= 0 projects.<br />

78 Their model is also extremely difficult to parameterize because they suggest an<br />

“<strong>in</strong>stantaneous” equity beta (β E<br />

= (V A,0<br />

/V E,0<br />

) ⋅ N(d 1<br />

) ⋅β A<br />

) to derive the hurdle rate,<br />

with N(d 1<br />

) as <strong>in</strong> the Black-Scholes OPT <strong>and</strong> β as <strong>in</strong> the CAPM.

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