Risk Management and Value Creation in ... - Arabictrader.com
Risk Management and Value Creation in ... - Arabictrader.com
Risk Management and Value Creation in ... - Arabictrader.com
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Capital Budget<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Banks 241<br />
try to determ<strong>in</strong>e a bank’s economic profitability by calculat<strong>in</strong>g the return on<br />
economic capital. Do<strong>in</strong>g so is often summarized under the abbreviation<br />
RAPM (<strong>Risk</strong>-Adjusted Performance Measures), or better known as RAROC<br />
(<strong>Risk</strong>-Adjusted Return on Capital), which is their most famous representative.<br />
Many of the lead<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stitutions around the globe calculate such a<br />
modified return on equity 12 measure <strong>and</strong> take a purely economic perspective<br />
by try<strong>in</strong>g to l<strong>in</strong>k it to a market-determ<strong>in</strong>ed m<strong>in</strong>imum required return 13 (socalled<br />
hurdle rate) to f<strong>in</strong>d out whether a transaction adds value to the bank<br />
or not. Wills et al. (1999) 14 f<strong>in</strong>d that out of fifty-five selected lead<strong>in</strong>g banks<br />
worldwide, 59% have established an “economic capital /RAROC process”, 15<br />
12% plan to do so, <strong>and</strong> 29% do not use such an approach.<br />
Even though it is crucially important to determ<strong>in</strong>e the returns (or net<br />
revenues <strong>in</strong> dollar terms) <strong>in</strong> all of the mentioned performance measures <strong>in</strong><br />
an economically correct way, 16 this book will not address the problem of<br />
how account<strong>in</strong>g measures have to be calculated <strong>and</strong> transformed 17 to arrive<br />
at such numbers. However, it is worthwhile to mention that the correct<br />
allocation of expenses <strong>and</strong> costs as well as the transfer pric<strong>in</strong>g method<br />
employed are critically important <strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g correct approximations. 18 Any<br />
<strong>in</strong>accurate allocation will lead to the wrong management <strong>in</strong>centives, because<br />
all of the mentioned approaches have <strong>in</strong> <strong>com</strong>mon that the rates of return are<br />
much more critical for banks than for <strong>in</strong>dustrial <strong>com</strong>panies. For <strong>in</strong>dustrial<br />
<strong>com</strong>panies, uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties associated with the model<strong>in</strong>g of future cash flows<br />
are so large that model<strong>in</strong>g the appropriate rate of return is, <strong>in</strong> most of the<br />
cases, of second order. However, gett<strong>in</strong>g the rates of return right for banks<br />
is much more critical because—given the narrow marg<strong>in</strong>s <strong>in</strong> the bank<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong>dustry—a small error can have a very large impact. 19<br />
The focus of this chapter will be to rather closely exam<strong>in</strong>e RAROC <strong>and</strong><br />
its currently hypothesized l<strong>in</strong>kage to value creation <strong>in</strong> banks. After def<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />
this risk-adjusted performance measure, we will <strong>in</strong>vestigate its (implicit)<br />
assumptions, its advantages <strong>and</strong> short<strong>com</strong><strong>in</strong>gs, <strong>and</strong> whether it can be used<br />
12 See Grübel et al. (1995), p. 616.<br />
13 See, for example, Schröck (1997), pp. 93+.<br />
14 Wills et al. (1999), p. 88.<br />
15 In their study, Wills et al. (1999) use the two expressions <strong>in</strong>terchangeably.<br />
16 Returns are best calculated on a mark-to-market basis rather than on an accrualbased<br />
account<strong>in</strong>g measurement. See Wilson (1992), p. 114.<br />
17 For <strong>in</strong>stance, account<strong>in</strong>g measures typically do not consider the time value of money<br />
<strong>and</strong> risk associated with a transaction. Additionally, they are subject to management<br />
manipulation <strong>in</strong> order to “w<strong>in</strong>dow dress” external report<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
18 For the difficulty of allocation <strong>and</strong> issues with transfer pric<strong>in</strong>g systems <strong>in</strong> banks,<br />
see, for example, Kimball (1998), p. 41.<br />
19 See Merton <strong>and</strong> Perold (1993), p. 17.