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Risk Management and Value Creation in ... - Arabictrader.com

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Capital Budget<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Banks 279<br />

<strong>in</strong> Figure 6.9 157 ) are lower than the total risk costs they <strong>in</strong>cur, it will pay for<br />

the bank to do so. This contradicts the conclusion of the neoclassical theory<br />

that spend<strong>in</strong>g time <strong>and</strong> money to elim<strong>in</strong>ate firm-specific risks will destroy<br />

value <strong>in</strong> any case. 158 Note that we dealt with this issue <strong>in</strong> the “Operational<br />

<strong>Risk</strong>” section of Chapter 5 when we discussed the benefits of self-<strong>in</strong>surance<br />

(<strong>in</strong>ternal risk pool<strong>in</strong>g) versus third-party <strong>in</strong>surance for event risks.<br />

Implications for Capital-Budget<strong>in</strong>g Decisions We have seen that, when total risk<br />

matters, banks can <strong>in</strong>crease their value through risk management. However,<br />

this fact makes risk management <strong>in</strong>separable from capital-budget<strong>in</strong>g decisions.<br />

On the one h<strong>and</strong>, as previously <strong>in</strong>dicated, capital-budget<strong>in</strong>g decisions<br />

on transactions should only be taken after all non<strong>com</strong>pensated risks 159 have<br />

been shed via risk-management actions. On the other h<strong>and</strong>, the bank may<br />

only be able to buy a risk—where it does have a <strong>com</strong>pensated <strong>in</strong>formational<br />

advantage—as a part of a “risk”-bundled product. 160 However, the bank<br />

may not be able to shed the other, non<strong>com</strong>pensated risks that are also associated<br />

with that “bundled” transaction later, because the costs of do<strong>in</strong>g so<br />

would exceed the total risk costs as <strong>in</strong>dicated by Equation (6.17) <strong>and</strong> as<br />

described <strong>in</strong> Implication 2. However, these risks impose a real cost on the<br />

bank. Therefore, the bank cannot <strong>and</strong> should not separate risk management<br />

from the capital-budget<strong>in</strong>g decision. Apply<strong>in</strong>g our two-factor model with all<br />

its implications ex ante would prevent the bank from <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> such risks<br />

beforeh<strong>and</strong>—unless the <strong>com</strong>pensation of the <strong>in</strong>formational advantage were<br />

to exceed the additional total risk costs imposed by the unsalable risk <strong>com</strong>ponents<br />

of the package.<br />

Implications for Capital-Structure Decisions Because the actual capital structure<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>es the total risk costs for the bank, neither risk management nor<br />

capital-budget<strong>in</strong>g decisions can be made without consider<strong>in</strong>g the actual capital<br />

structure.<br />

157 Note that the three types of risk <strong>in</strong> Figure 6.9 are only schematically put <strong>in</strong>to<br />

places where they are most likely to be found. Deviations might well be possible. For<br />

<strong>in</strong>stance, there might be both highly illiquid or highly specific market risk, <strong>and</strong> so on.<br />

158 Consider, for example, a transaction that has hedgable specific risk. The traditional<br />

NPV rule does not consider such risks <strong>and</strong>, as shown previously, hedg<strong>in</strong>g at<br />

a cost would destroy value. However, hedg<strong>in</strong>g this risk, even at a cost, would make<br />

sense if the reduction <strong>in</strong> total risk costs outweighed the costs.<br />

159 Non<strong>com</strong>pensated risks are those risks that are cheaper to sell off than to keep<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternally.<br />

160 As an example, this might be a credit <strong>in</strong> a specialized lend<strong>in</strong>g area of the bank,<br />

where the bank has no specific skills, but that has sophisticated <strong>in</strong>terest rate <strong>and</strong><br />

foreign exchange features associated with it.

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