Risk Management and Value Creation in ... - Arabictrader.com
Risk Management and Value Creation in ... - Arabictrader.com
Risk Management and Value Creation in ... - Arabictrader.com
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240 RISK MANAGEMENT AND VALUE CREATION IN FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS<br />
re<strong>in</strong>forced the view throughout the bank<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry that assets can have<br />
very different risks. Even though regulatory requirements do not offer a<br />
sophisticated model<strong>in</strong>g of these risks, 4 they focused the view on the notion<br />
that regulatory required capital can be very different from (current) book<br />
equity, that these requirements are b<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g restrictions on the banks’ activities,<br />
<strong>and</strong> that the amount of equity should be l<strong>in</strong>ked to the overall risk<strong>in</strong>ess<br />
of the bank. These facts subsequently lead to the adjustment of the capital<br />
ratios <strong>in</strong> banks 5 <strong>and</strong> the calculation of return on regulatory (equity) capital<br />
numbers as performance measures. 6<br />
However, <strong>in</strong>creased shareholder pressure forced banks to focus more<br />
<strong>and</strong> more on value creation. F<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>in</strong>stitutions realized that account<strong>in</strong>gdriven<br />
ROE measures based on either book or regulatory capital do not<br />
have the economic focus of a valuation framework. They fail to take the<br />
actual risk<strong>in</strong>ess of the underly<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess, the value of future cash flows, 7<br />
<strong>and</strong> the opportunity cost of equity capital—which needs to be <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong><br />
order to calculate economic “profits”—<strong>in</strong>to account. But, as already discussed<br />
<strong>in</strong> Chapters 1 <strong>and</strong> 2, the appropriate flows-to-equity shareholder value<br />
framework—which estimates the bank’s (free) cash flows to its shareholders<br />
<strong>and</strong> then discounts these at the cost of equity capital 8 to derive the present<br />
value (PV) of the bank’s equity 9 —is often cumbersome to apply <strong>in</strong> a bank<strong>in</strong>g<br />
context. Additionally, banks realized that this traditional valuation framework<br />
10 does not address their fundamental problems <strong>and</strong> that it also does<br />
not work from a theoretical po<strong>in</strong>t of view, because total risk matters to them.<br />
Therefore, we can observe that none of the approaches for calculat<strong>in</strong>g<br />
a bank’s profitability presented so far adjusts for (total) risk <strong>in</strong> a systematic<br />
way. 11 But we have seen <strong>in</strong> the extensive discussion of how to determ<strong>in</strong>e<br />
economic capital <strong>in</strong> the previous chapter that this fictional capital measure<br />
is calculated to reflect exactly the risk<strong>in</strong>ess of the bank’s transactions <strong>and</strong><br />
also the bank’s concern with total risk. It is, thus, an obvious next step to<br />
4 They are basically determ<strong>in</strong>ed only by the so-called “risk-weighted assets.” The newly<br />
proposed Basle Accord takes a much more risk-oriented view, as described <strong>in</strong> the last<br />
chapter.<br />
5 See the previous chapter.<br />
6 Possible other alternatives not discussed here are to calculate the return on <strong>in</strong>vested<br />
equity capital or the return on a market-driven evaluation of equity, such as market<br />
capitalization, <strong>and</strong> so on.<br />
7 See Crouhy et al. (1999), p. 5.<br />
8 As, for example, derived via the Capital Asset Pric<strong>in</strong>g Model (CAPM).<br />
9 So-called Equity Approach or Flows-to-Equity Approach, as described by Copel<strong>and</strong><br />
et al. (1994), Strutz (1993), Kümmel (1993), <strong>and</strong> many others.<br />
10 Recall that this neoclassical approach only considers systematic risk.<br />
11 See Crouhy et al. (1999), p. 5, <strong>and</strong> Grübel et al. (1995), p. 618.