15.11.2014 Views

Risk Management and Value Creation in ... - Arabictrader.com

Risk Management and Value Creation in ... - Arabictrader.com

Risk Management and Value Creation in ... - Arabictrader.com

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

240 RISK MANAGEMENT AND VALUE CREATION IN FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS<br />

re<strong>in</strong>forced the view throughout the bank<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry that assets can have<br />

very different risks. Even though regulatory requirements do not offer a<br />

sophisticated model<strong>in</strong>g of these risks, 4 they focused the view on the notion<br />

that regulatory required capital can be very different from (current) book<br />

equity, that these requirements are b<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g restrictions on the banks’ activities,<br />

<strong>and</strong> that the amount of equity should be l<strong>in</strong>ked to the overall risk<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

of the bank. These facts subsequently lead to the adjustment of the capital<br />

ratios <strong>in</strong> banks 5 <strong>and</strong> the calculation of return on regulatory (equity) capital<br />

numbers as performance measures. 6<br />

However, <strong>in</strong>creased shareholder pressure forced banks to focus more<br />

<strong>and</strong> more on value creation. F<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>in</strong>stitutions realized that account<strong>in</strong>gdriven<br />

ROE measures based on either book or regulatory capital do not<br />

have the economic focus of a valuation framework. They fail to take the<br />

actual risk<strong>in</strong>ess of the underly<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess, the value of future cash flows, 7<br />

<strong>and</strong> the opportunity cost of equity capital—which needs to be <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong><br />

order to calculate economic “profits”—<strong>in</strong>to account. But, as already discussed<br />

<strong>in</strong> Chapters 1 <strong>and</strong> 2, the appropriate flows-to-equity shareholder value<br />

framework—which estimates the bank’s (free) cash flows to its shareholders<br />

<strong>and</strong> then discounts these at the cost of equity capital 8 to derive the present<br />

value (PV) of the bank’s equity 9 —is often cumbersome to apply <strong>in</strong> a bank<strong>in</strong>g<br />

context. Additionally, banks realized that this traditional valuation framework<br />

10 does not address their fundamental problems <strong>and</strong> that it also does<br />

not work from a theoretical po<strong>in</strong>t of view, because total risk matters to them.<br />

Therefore, we can observe that none of the approaches for calculat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

a bank’s profitability presented so far adjusts for (total) risk <strong>in</strong> a systematic<br />

way. 11 But we have seen <strong>in</strong> the extensive discussion of how to determ<strong>in</strong>e<br />

economic capital <strong>in</strong> the previous chapter that this fictional capital measure<br />

is calculated to reflect exactly the risk<strong>in</strong>ess of the bank’s transactions <strong>and</strong><br />

also the bank’s concern with total risk. It is, thus, an obvious next step to<br />

4 They are basically determ<strong>in</strong>ed only by the so-called “risk-weighted assets.” The newly<br />

proposed Basle Accord takes a much more risk-oriented view, as described <strong>in</strong> the last<br />

chapter.<br />

5 See the previous chapter.<br />

6 Possible other alternatives not discussed here are to calculate the return on <strong>in</strong>vested<br />

equity capital or the return on a market-driven evaluation of equity, such as market<br />

capitalization, <strong>and</strong> so on.<br />

7 See Crouhy et al. (1999), p. 5.<br />

8 As, for example, derived via the Capital Asset Pric<strong>in</strong>g Model (CAPM).<br />

9 So-called Equity Approach or Flows-to-Equity Approach, as described by Copel<strong>and</strong><br />

et al. (1994), Strutz (1993), Kümmel (1993), <strong>and</strong> many others.<br />

10 Recall that this neoclassical approach only considers systematic risk.<br />

11 See Crouhy et al. (1999), p. 5, <strong>and</strong> Grübel et al. (1995), p. 618.

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!