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152 RISK MANAGEMENT AND VALUE CREATION IN FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS<br />

S<strong>in</strong>ce decreases <strong>in</strong> asset values are associated with economic losses, the<br />

various stakeholders have to bear these losses <strong>in</strong> the sequence of the seniority<br />

of their claims:<br />

1. As we will shortly see, the bank should set aside an <strong>in</strong>surance pool<br />

that covers all expected (actuarial) losses (especially from credits).<br />

This pool is the first tranche that is hit by losses <strong>and</strong> is fed by deduct<strong>in</strong>g<br />

“<strong>in</strong>surance premiums” from (expected) returns on the portfolio<br />

of assets.<br />

2. Incurr<strong>in</strong>g losses that exceed the resources of this <strong>in</strong>surance pool then<br />

eat up (expected) returns.<br />

3. Once there are no revenues left, shareholders—as residual<br />

claimholders—will have to bear all subsequent losses. 81<br />

4. S<strong>in</strong>ce the bank has bought <strong>in</strong>surance 82 to cover the decl<strong>in</strong>es <strong>in</strong> the<br />

value of some assets, 83 <strong>in</strong>surance <strong>com</strong>panies will bear some of the<br />

subsequent losses.<br />

5. Then junior debt holders—know<strong>in</strong>g that they bear the highest probability<br />

of be<strong>in</strong>g hit by losses exceed<strong>in</strong>g equity (<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>surance)—bear<br />

the next tranche of losses.<br />

6. Senior debt holders are next hit by even higher losses. Note that 5.<br />

<strong>and</strong> 6. are both un<strong>in</strong>sured creditors of the bank.<br />

7. S<strong>in</strong>ce at some level of losses between 5. <strong>and</strong> 6. the likelihood of a<br />

“bank run” will <strong>in</strong>crease dramatically, the government/regulatory<br />

bodies will step <strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> try to rescue the bank (see the previous description).<br />

Nonetheless, if depositors are hit by losses, deposit <strong>in</strong>surance<br />

<strong>in</strong> almost all bank<strong>in</strong>g systems will cover all losses up to a<br />

certa<strong>in</strong> amount (either provided by the government, as <strong>in</strong> the U.S.<br />

for US$ 100,000 per customer, 84 or by private organizations formed<br />

by the bank<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry 85 ).<br />

8. Only deposits <strong>and</strong> sav<strong>in</strong>gs exceed<strong>in</strong>g this amount are then nonrecoverable<br />

for the <strong>in</strong>sured customers, who then have to bear losses exceed<strong>in</strong>g<br />

this amount.<br />

81 Once the shareholder funds are eaten up, (economic) default occurs.<br />

82 A good example is credit (re-) <strong>in</strong>surance for a decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> the value of credit assets<br />

(for <strong>in</strong>stance, provided for export f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g by government (backed) agencies like<br />

EXIM (Export-Import Bank) <strong>in</strong> the United States or Hermes <strong>in</strong> Germany). Some<br />

other <strong>in</strong>surance policies will cover losses before the equity tranche is hit (e.g., fire<br />

<strong>in</strong>surance for the bank’s build<strong>in</strong>gs).<br />

83 In most cases the shareholders also have to bear the deductible before the claim on<br />

the <strong>in</strong>surance can be exercised.<br />

84 See Stulz (2000), p. 4-5.<br />

85 For <strong>in</strong>stance the “E<strong>in</strong>lagensicherungsfonds” <strong>in</strong> Germany, see, for example, Obst<br />

<strong>and</strong> H<strong>in</strong>tner (1991), p. 689.

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