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Because of high standards, many Scottish Universities attract undergraduates and postgraduates from both<br />

within and outside the United Kingdom. A significant proportion of such students will inevitably be from diverse<br />

national and <strong>ethnic</strong> backgrounds, although evidence suggests that most students who are not Scottish leave<br />

Scotland once their education has been completed.<br />

Scotland has a relatively small Gypsy/Traveller population with an estimated <strong>to</strong>tal population of 1370 people<br />

comprising 428 households. 143 However, this figure is contested by some Gypsy/Traveller groups who consider<br />

it <strong>to</strong> be a significant underestimation. This is a group with higher needs than many other <strong>minority</strong> <strong>ethnic</strong><br />

communities in Scotland and there are a number of targeted programmes in place designed <strong>to</strong> impact on the<br />

disadvantage they have experienced <strong>to</strong> date.<br />

Demographic Projections<br />

Scotland, like Northern Ireland is facing a shrinking workforce though at a significantly steeper gradient. With<br />

a number of studies showing that the Scottish population is shrinking and getting older, in April 2005 the<br />

Scottish Economic Research Council (ESRC) announced a two-year research initiative in<strong>to</strong> demographic<br />

trends looking at migration, fertility, and the impact of an ageing population.<br />

143_Scottish Executive<br />

(2005), Gypsies/Travellers<br />

in Scotland: The Twice<br />

Yearly Count – No.7:<br />

January 2005<br />

144_Public Health News<br />

(2005), Why is Scotland’s<br />

population shrinking and<br />

ageing?- a new research<br />

initiative. (18 April 2005).<br />

145_Scottish Executive<br />

(2004), ‘Consensus’ call<br />

over migration. Press<br />

Release (25 February<br />

2004).<br />

146_BBC News Report,<br />

25 February 2004. Available<br />

at: /news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/<br />

scotland/3484884.stm<br />

Unless there is a significant change in Scotland’s demographic profiles over the next few years, the outcome of<br />

the predicted trends will be very significant. Scotland’s population is predicted <strong>to</strong> fall by 10% by 2042. Further,<br />

Scotland’s population is ageing rapidly. The number of people of pensionable age is expected <strong>to</strong> rise by about<br />

61% by 2042 and the number aged under 15 is expected <strong>to</strong> fall by about 30% by 2042.<br />

The overall trend in birth rates in Scotland has been steadily declining and is still at a his<strong>to</strong>rically low figure.<br />

It now stands at 35 <strong>to</strong> 40% of the replacement figure of 2.1. It should be noted that outward migration is<br />

presently not a major fac<strong>to</strong>r in declining population as approximately 70,000 people migrate <strong>to</strong> Scotland<br />

annually and the same number emigrate each year.<br />

The ESRC concludes:<br />

“ While many European countries are experiencing falling birth rates and an ageing<br />

population, the demographic challenges facing Scotland are particularly demanding.<br />

An ageing and declining population has important implications for public <strong>service</strong>s the<br />

labour market, and the quality of everyday life.” 144<br />

To counter these trends, in February 2004 Scotland’s First Minister, Jack McConnell MSP, declared his<br />

intention <strong>to</strong> create a “national consensus” on the need <strong>to</strong> bring more migrant workers in<strong>to</strong> the country. 145 In<br />

making this announcement he acknowledged that his proposals might provoke a reaction from some people but<br />

hoped that attitudinal change would take place. The First Minister went on <strong>to</strong> say that he wants <strong>to</strong> entice fresh<br />

talent <strong>to</strong> Scotland <strong>to</strong> prevent the economy from stalling. 146<br />

Evidence of inequality<br />

There is still evidence of widespread inequality in Scotland as table 10 indicates.

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