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climate change on UAE - Stockholm Environment Institute-US Center

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faced by water planners, including those related<br />

to <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g>, watershed c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>, anticipated<br />

demand, ecosystem needs, regulatory<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g>, operati<strong>on</strong>al objectives and available<br />

infrastructure. The model possesses a graphical<br />

user interface that supports the c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong><br />

of site-specific network representati<strong>on</strong>s of<br />

watersheds and the water systems c<strong>on</strong>tained<br />

within them, and that facilitates multiparticipant<br />

water management dialogues<br />

organized around scenario development<br />

and evaluati<strong>on</strong>. WEAP uses a priority-based<br />

optimizati<strong>on</strong> algorithm as an alternative to<br />

hierarchical rule-based logic that uses the<br />

c<strong>on</strong>cept of Equity Groups to allocate water in<br />

times of insufficient supply (Yates et al. 2005<br />

a,b). More informati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> WEAP can be found<br />

at http://weap21.org.<br />

4.2. Data requirements and<br />

acquisiti<strong>on</strong><br />

Several supporting datasets have been utilized<br />

in this study, most notably those provided<br />

by the Abu Dhabi Envir<strong>on</strong>ment Agency’s<br />

Water Resources Department in the form<br />

of annual water resource statistical reports<br />

that summarize regi<strong>on</strong>al water demands and<br />

supplies by sector and source. Data from<br />

these reports have been used to represent the<br />

physical infrastructure such as desalinati<strong>on</strong><br />

plants, waste water treatment plants, and<br />

well fields, their capacities; and how they are<br />

c<strong>on</strong>nected to various demand sites. These<br />

include estimates available groundwater<br />

storage stratified by fresh, brackish and saline,<br />

populati<strong>on</strong> and per-capita use estimates in both<br />

the western and eastern regi<strong>on</strong>s of the ADE.<br />

Climate data included daily observati<strong>on</strong>s of<br />

minimum and maximum air temperature, wind<br />

speed, relative humidity, and precipitati<strong>on</strong> for<br />

Abu Dhabi and Al Ain airport for the period<br />

1994 through 2008.<br />

Geographical Informati<strong>on</strong> System (GIS)<br />

datasets were also use to spatially locate the<br />

supplies and demands throughout Abu Dhabi,<br />

and determine the amount of irrigated acreage<br />

in each regi<strong>on</strong> and by type (agriculture, amenity,<br />

forests). The GIS layers include those listed<br />

Annex 1: Data sources and key assumpti<strong>on</strong>s,<br />

and the aggregate irrigated area is summarized<br />

in Table 4-1<br />

4.3. Representing Water Demands<br />

and Supplies in WEAP<br />

Figure 4-1 shows the representati<strong>on</strong> of Abu<br />

Dhabi water supply and demand as depicted in<br />

WEAP. The inset box shows some of the detailed<br />

objects near and around Abu Dhabi. The<br />

aggregate municipal and industrial demands<br />

for the city of Abu Dhabi are represented by a<br />

single demand node (inset; red circle). Within<br />

this demand object are fields that represent the<br />

number of people, their per capita demand, their<br />

m<strong>on</strong>thly use pattern, and their c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Transmissi<strong>on</strong> losses and c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> are<br />

depicted as % values al<strong>on</strong>g transmissi<strong>on</strong> links<br />

and at the Abu Dhabi demand site.<br />

The demand priority for Abu Dhabi municipal<br />

and industrial demand is given a priority of<br />

<strong>on</strong>e - it has first priority for water supplies<br />

that serve its needs, which are linked to the<br />

demand node by three transmissi<strong>on</strong> links<br />

(green arrows) for sources Um Al Naar, Mirfa,<br />

and Taweelah (desalinati<strong>on</strong> plants designated<br />

with green diam<strong>on</strong>d model objects). Data<br />

input for the desalinati<strong>on</strong> sources include their<br />

installed capacity in milli<strong>on</strong>s of gall<strong>on</strong>s per<br />

day (e.g. Taweelah at 228 mgd and Un Al Naar<br />

at 160 mgd). In 2003, the total desalinizati<strong>on</strong><br />

producti<strong>on</strong> was estimated at about 400 mgd,<br />

so these two desalinizati<strong>on</strong> objects represent<br />

the bulk of the potable supply. Wastewater is<br />

c<strong>on</strong>veyed from the demand node to the Mafraq<br />

waste water treatment plant with a return flow<br />

link (red arrow). The ‘Red-Line’ exiting the<br />

Abu Dhabi demand node in Figure ‎4‐1 is the<br />

c<strong>on</strong>veyance to the, with the two c<strong>on</strong>veyance<br />

lines (green lines).<br />

Transmissi<strong>on</strong> links from Mafraq represent<br />

the reuse of treated waste water for n<strong>on</strong>potable,<br />

outdoor irrigati<strong>on</strong>. Irrecoverable<br />

transmissi<strong>on</strong> losses in the distributi<strong>on</strong> system<br />

from the desalinizati<strong>on</strong> water treatment plant<br />

are assumed to be 15%, C<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> within<br />

the municipal and industrial demand node<br />

is assumed as 10% of what is delivered to the<br />

node. The model also assumes that 80% of water<br />

that is returned to a waste water treatment<br />

plant can be used for outdoor irrigati<strong>on</strong> (e.g.<br />

amenity watering). These fracti<strong>on</strong>s are shown<br />

al<strong>on</strong>g the transmissi<strong>on</strong> links summarizes the<br />

drivers of municipal demands for the regi<strong>on</strong><br />

104<br />

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability & Adaptati<strong>on</strong>

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