climate change on UAE - Stockholm Environment Institute-US Center

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List of Tables Page Table 3-1: Major land types in the Abu Dhabi emirate ......................................................................................................................... 146 List of Figures Figure 7-1: Expected <strong>change</strong>s in annual temperature and precipitation in the period 2080-2099 relative to 1980-1999, ensemble average. Source: IPCC (2007) WG 1 .......................................................................................................... 159 Figure 7-2: Number of <strong>climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> models in the IPCC report which indicate an increase in precipitation out of 21 independent models. Source: IPCC (2007) WG 1 .................................................................... 159 Figure 8-1: The multiple state ecosystem representation, from Scheffer et al., 2001 ........................................................................................................................................................................... 165 Figure 9-1: The adaptive management cycle, from Frankin et al., 2007 ............................................................................................................................................................................ 180 Page Impacts, Vulnerability & Adaptation for Dryland Ecosystems in Abu Dhabi List of Acronyms Asl CO 2 EN FAO GCM GEF GHG GIS Ha IBAs IIED IPCC Km Km 2 MEA Above sea level carbon dioxide endangered species United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization general circulation models Global environment facility green house gas (emissions) Geographical Information System hectare Important Bird Areas International Institute for Environment and development Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change kilomter square kilometer Millennium Ecosystem Assessment m mm NARS NT PET Ppm SRES UAE UKCIP UNCDD UNEP UNFCCC VU meters millimeter National Agricultural Research Systems near-threatened species potential evapotranspiration parts per million Special Report on Emissions Scenarios United Arab Emirates United Kingdom’s Climate Impacts Programme United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification United Nations Environment Programme United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change vulnerable species 143
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Acknowledgements The authors are de
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Foreword There are many levels at w
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Table of Contents (Part 2) Water Re
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9.2. Types of ecosystem models ....
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APF AML CARA CO 2 CReSIS CSI DEM EG
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Table ‎1‐1. Climate Change and
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2. Sea-level Rise Impacts on Coasta
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differences in observed sea levels
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Sea Level Change (mm) 20 15 10 5 0
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Impacts, Vulnerability & Adaptation
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Gulf is that the shallower depth al
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ago when sea level was a few meters
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Scientists have every reason to bel
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amongst others. Sea level rise may
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Figure ‎4‐2. Data displaying ar
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processed SRTM topographic dataset
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water height of each tidal day obse
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Table ‎4‐3. UAE Coastal Cities.
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Figure ‎4-10: 1 meters above mean
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Figure ‎4-12: 3 meters above mean
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as well as parts of the Industrial
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up to help to assess technology nee
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framework that has relevance to the
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to be estimated reliably and hence
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6. Conclusions and recommendations
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7. List of References ADEA (2006)
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Assessment Report of the Intergover
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8. Glossary Adaptation: Adjustment
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To calculate areas inundated by lan
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Annex 1: Elevation Data Sensitivity
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Annex 2: Inundation maps 3. Urban V
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Figure A2-3 3 meters sea level rise
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Figure A2-6 1,3,9 meters sea level
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Page Figure 4‐6. WEAP estimates o
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in storage occurs in the Liwa lens
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Figure‎ 2‐1. Percentage of tota
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Total installed capacity equals 648
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Without demand management strategie
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Figure 3-1 Global average temperatu
Page 91 and 92: The CO 2 storylines include both
Page 93 and 94: of topography on the region’s pre
Page 95 and 96: Impacts, Vulnerability & Adaptation
Page 97 and 98: Temperature Change (degrees C) Temp
Page 99 and 100: neglected infrastructure, regional
Page 101 and 102: and magnitude of the ENSO (Haines e
Page 103 and 104: Table ‎4‐1. Irrigated Hectares
Page 105 and 106: including estimates of population a
Page 107 and 108: 4.4. Representing Irrigation Demand
Page 109 and 110: Table 4-5. Comparison of Historical
Page 111 and 112: 4.6. Scenarios and Key Assumptions
Page 113 and 114: Avg. Monthly Air Temperature - MOR
Page 115 and 116: Table ‎4‐8. Summary of scenario
Page 117 and 118: 5. Results and Discussion The <stro
Page 119 and 120: total water demand estimate at abou
Page 121 and 122: for the Optimistic and Pessimistic
Page 123 and 124: eport of the IPCC holds out hope th
Page 125 and 126: Table 6-1. Adaptation options for w
Page 127 and 128: CIA, (1990), Middle East Area Oil a
Page 129 and 130: Figure A1‐2. Map of Abu Dhabi key
Page 131 and 132: Data Sources And Assumptions We rel
Page 133 and 134: Table A1-3. continued Liwa- Hammim
Page 135 and 136: Table A2-1. Summary of 36 emission
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Page 141: Impacts, Vulnerability & Adaptation
Page 145 and 146: 2. Potential risks to dryland ecosy
Page 147 and 148: 4. Major terrestrial ecosystems in
Page 149 and 150: Peninsula in the north to close to
Page 151 and 152: 5. Important flora in Abu Dhabi Abu
Page 153 and 154: over a one third of the known speci
Page 155 and 156: 6. Fauna of the terrestrial ecosyst
Page 157 and 158: include the urban development and i
Page 159 and 160: (Arnell, 1999; Milly et al., 2005).
Page 161 and 162: camels and other large herbivores i
Page 163 and 164: 8. Biodiversity, ecosystem threshol
Page 169 and 170: Alternatively, established shrublan
Page 171 and 172: e functionally deficient. We projec
Page 173 and 174: Adaptation can be planned or it can
Page 177 and 178: is based on a theoretical understan
Page 179 and 180: species to adapt to a changing <str
Page 181 and 182: that remediation steps begin soon t
Page 183 and 184: 10 References Adler, PB, DA Raff, W
Page 185 and 186: Nordad, (2007), Climate Change Fact
Page 187 and 188: Annex 2: Expected effects of global
Page 189 and 190: Annex 4: Main drivers of ecosystem
Page 191 and 192: Sn Species Scientific name Family S
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Sn Species Scientific name Family S
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Name of species/sub-species Habitat
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Annex 8: Native species list of ter
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The cover picture represents a Brid
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