climate change on UAE - Stockholm Environment Institute-US Center
climate change on UAE - Stockholm Environment Institute-US Center
climate change on UAE - Stockholm Environment Institute-US Center
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ut it is definitely better to use high-resoluti<strong>on</strong><br />
maps like cartographic maps at 1:25,000 or<br />
smaller to improve accuracy (Jarvis et al., n.d.).<br />
Other authors point out that coarser resoluti<strong>on</strong><br />
DEMs ignore details of surface characteristics<br />
like steep slopes (D<strong>on</strong>g et al., n.d.) and because<br />
the values are often represented as integers (at<br />
least in <strong>US</strong>GS DEMs), modeled slope for areas<br />
of limited reliefs would even show “artificial<br />
jumps” in slopes over shorter distances<br />
(Hodgs<strong>on</strong> et al., 2003; Carter, 1992).<br />
Cho and Lee (2001) and D<strong>on</strong>g et al. (n.d.)<br />
c<strong>on</strong>firm the emphasis in Jarvis et al. (n.d.)<br />
with respect to the influence of DEM accuracy<br />
<strong>on</strong> hydrological models. Cho and Lee’s paper<br />
exploring sensitivity c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong>s found<br />
that with a 1:24,000 DEM (7.5 minute), their<br />
hydrologic model revealed higher runoff volumes<br />
which the 1:250,000 (1 degree) DEM flattens the<br />
watershed’s slope yielding delayed stream flow<br />
and underestimating runoff and erosi<strong>on</strong>. The<br />
two credited the finer resoluti<strong>on</strong> of 7.5-minute<br />
dataset, with yielding increased average slope<br />
and thus higher runoff when the simulati<strong>on</strong> was<br />
run. D<strong>on</strong>g et al., (n.d.), in their comparis<strong>on</strong> of<br />
Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR), LiDAR,<br />
and photogrammetrically derived DEMs (Noble<br />
et al., n.d.), similarly found that the main<br />
differences in topographic attributes revealed<br />
during their research were in river channels,<br />
having implicati<strong>on</strong>s for hydrological processes.<br />
Their paper highlights importance of accurate<br />
terrain modeling <strong>on</strong> hydrologic simulati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong><br />
the Broadhead watershed in New Jersey; their<br />
c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s can extend to coastal flood plains<br />
and would affect storm surge and sea level rise<br />
modeling.<br />
C<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong><br />
Elevati<strong>on</strong> of coastal land is a critical factor in<br />
determining its vulnerability to sea level rise, a<br />
key impact of <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> coastal areas.<br />
Most sea level rise (SLR) scenarios estimate<br />
50-100cm inundati<strong>on</strong> over the next century<br />
depending <strong>on</strong> the regi<strong>on</strong>. In modeling sea level<br />
rise based <strong>on</strong> elevati<strong>on</strong>, following comp<strong>on</strong>ents<br />
of a DEM are in questi<strong>on</strong>.<br />
Data source and method of collecti<strong>on</strong><br />
Vertical and horiz<strong>on</strong>tal resoluti<strong>on</strong><br />
Aspect<br />
Slope<br />
Terrain is another important determinant of<br />
DEM accuracy, particularly for DEMs derived<br />
from SRTM and LiDAR data. Jarvis et al. (n.d.)<br />
found that SRTM overestimates for northeast<br />
facing slopes and underestimates for southwest<br />
facing slopes (correlating with flight path<br />
directi<strong>on</strong>s). Others highlighted the challenge of<br />
modeling areas of limited relief using elevati<strong>on</strong><br />
intervals of 1 meter, or even 10-50 meter jumps<br />
as many do, and the inappropriateness of such<br />
data for limited relief coastal areas vulnerable<br />
to sea level rise.<br />
The challenge, to date, as we noted in the body<br />
of the report has been estimating vulnerable<br />
z<strong>on</strong>es based <strong>on</strong> these