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climate change on UAE - Stockholm Environment Institute-US Center

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ut it is definitely better to use high-resoluti<strong>on</strong><br />

maps like cartographic maps at 1:25,000 or<br />

smaller to improve accuracy (Jarvis et al., n.d.).<br />

Other authors point out that coarser resoluti<strong>on</strong><br />

DEMs ignore details of surface characteristics<br />

like steep slopes (D<strong>on</strong>g et al., n.d.) and because<br />

the values are often represented as integers (at<br />

least in <strong>US</strong>GS DEMs), modeled slope for areas<br />

of limited reliefs would even show “artificial<br />

jumps” in slopes over shorter distances<br />

(Hodgs<strong>on</strong> et al., 2003; Carter, 1992).<br />

Cho and Lee (2001) and D<strong>on</strong>g et al. (n.d.)<br />

c<strong>on</strong>firm the emphasis in Jarvis et al. (n.d.)<br />

with respect to the influence of DEM accuracy<br />

<strong>on</strong> hydrological models. Cho and Lee’s paper<br />

exploring sensitivity c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong>s found<br />

that with a 1:24,000 DEM (7.5 minute), their<br />

hydrologic model revealed higher runoff volumes<br />

which the 1:250,000 (1 degree) DEM flattens the<br />

watershed’s slope yielding delayed stream flow<br />

and underestimating runoff and erosi<strong>on</strong>. The<br />

two credited the finer resoluti<strong>on</strong> of 7.5-minute<br />

dataset, with yielding increased average slope<br />

and thus higher runoff when the simulati<strong>on</strong> was<br />

run. D<strong>on</strong>g et al., (n.d.), in their comparis<strong>on</strong> of<br />

Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR), LiDAR,<br />

and photogrammetrically derived DEMs (Noble<br />

et al., n.d.), similarly found that the main<br />

differences in topographic attributes revealed<br />

during their research were in river channels,<br />

having implicati<strong>on</strong>s for hydrological processes.<br />

Their paper highlights importance of accurate<br />

terrain modeling <strong>on</strong> hydrologic simulati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong><br />

the Broadhead watershed in New Jersey; their<br />

c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s can extend to coastal flood plains<br />

and would affect storm surge and sea level rise<br />

modeling.<br />

C<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong><br />

Elevati<strong>on</strong> of coastal land is a critical factor in<br />

determining its vulnerability to sea level rise, a<br />

key impact of <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> coastal areas.<br />

Most sea level rise (SLR) scenarios estimate<br />

50-100cm inundati<strong>on</strong> over the next century<br />

depending <strong>on</strong> the regi<strong>on</strong>. In modeling sea level<br />

rise based <strong>on</strong> elevati<strong>on</strong>, following comp<strong>on</strong>ents<br />

of a DEM are in questi<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Data source and method of collecti<strong>on</strong><br />

Vertical and horiz<strong>on</strong>tal resoluti<strong>on</strong><br />

Aspect<br />

Slope<br />

Terrain is another important determinant of<br />

DEM accuracy, particularly for DEMs derived<br />

from SRTM and LiDAR data. Jarvis et al. (n.d.)<br />

found that SRTM overestimates for northeast<br />

facing slopes and underestimates for southwest<br />

facing slopes (correlating with flight path<br />

directi<strong>on</strong>s). Others highlighted the challenge of<br />

modeling areas of limited relief using elevati<strong>on</strong><br />

intervals of 1 meter, or even 10-50 meter jumps<br />

as many do, and the inappropriateness of such<br />

data for limited relief coastal areas vulnerable<br />

to sea level rise.<br />

The challenge, to date, as we noted in the body<br />

of the report has been estimating vulnerable<br />

z<strong>on</strong>es based <strong>on</strong> these

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