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climate change on UAE - Stockholm Environment Institute-US Center

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Table 6-1. Adaptati<strong>on</strong> opti<strong>on</strong>s for water supply and demand.<br />

Supply-side<br />

Prospecting and extracti<strong>on</strong> of groundwater<br />

Increasing storage capacity by building reservoirs and dams<br />

Desalinati<strong>on</strong> of sea water<br />

Expansi<strong>on</strong> of rain-water storage<br />

Removal of invasive n<strong>on</strong>-native vegetati<strong>on</strong> from riparian areas<br />

Water transfer<br />

feasible, but it is expensive from cost, energy,<br />

and ecological perspectives. The process of<br />

desalinati<strong>on</strong> is not envir<strong>on</strong>mentally friendly and<br />

seawater desalinati<strong>on</strong> plants also c<strong>on</strong>tribute to<br />

the wastewater discharges that affect coastal<br />

water quality. This is mostly due to the highly<br />

saline brine that is emitted into the sea, which<br />

may have higher temperatures, c<strong>on</strong>tain residual<br />

chemicals from the pretreatment process, heavy<br />

metals from corrosi<strong>on</strong> or intermittently used<br />

cleaning agents. The effluent from desalinati<strong>on</strong><br />

plants is a multi-comp<strong>on</strong>ent waste, with<br />

multiple effects <strong>on</strong> water, sediment and marine<br />

organisms. It therefore affects the quality of the<br />

resource it depends <strong>on</strong>. Table 6‐1 suggests some<br />

general adaptati<strong>on</strong> strategies that have been<br />

identified by Working Group II of the IPCC in<br />

the Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC, 2007).<br />

The challenge, however, is that demandside<br />

management opti<strong>on</strong>s may lack practical<br />

effectiveness because they rely <strong>on</strong> the cumulative<br />

acti<strong>on</strong>s of individuals. On the M&I side, public<br />

educati<strong>on</strong> of water seems paramount to achieve<br />

the kinds of per-capita water use rates that are<br />

comparable to other countries of the world.<br />

Supply-side opti<strong>on</strong>s generally involve increases<br />

in storage capacity or abstracti<strong>on</strong> from water<br />

courses and therefore may have adverse<br />

envir<strong>on</strong>mental c<strong>on</strong>sequences. Demand-side<br />

opti<strong>on</strong>s may lack practical effectiveness<br />

because they rely <strong>on</strong> the cumulative acti<strong>on</strong>s of<br />

individuals. Some opti<strong>on</strong>s may be inc<strong>on</strong>sistent<br />

with mitigati<strong>on</strong> measures because they involve<br />

high energy c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong>, e.g., desalinati<strong>on</strong>,<br />

pumping, and have so far been implemented<br />

Demand-side<br />

Improvement of water-use efficiency by recycling water<br />

Reducti<strong>on</strong> in water demand for irrigati<strong>on</strong> by changing the cropping calendar, crop mix, irrigati<strong>on</strong> method,<br />

and area planted<br />

Reducti<strong>on</strong> in water demand for irrigati<strong>on</strong> by importing agricultural products, i.e., virtual water<br />

Promoti<strong>on</strong> of indigenous practices for sustainable water use<br />

Expanded use of water markets to reallocate water to highly valued uses<br />

Expanded use of ec<strong>on</strong>omic incentives including metering and pricing to encourage<br />

water c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong><br />

infrequently. Climate <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> may be <strong>on</strong>ly <strong>on</strong>e of<br />

many drivers affecting strategies and investment<br />

plans (and it may not be the most important<br />

<strong>on</strong>e over the short-term planning horiz<strong>on</strong>),<br />

and partly due to uncertainty in projecti<strong>on</strong>s of<br />

future hydrological <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>s. (IPCC SR Water,<br />

June 2008)<br />

Practices that increase the productivity of<br />

irrigati<strong>on</strong> water use – defined as crop output<br />

per unit water use – may provide significant<br />

adaptati<strong>on</strong> potential for all land producti<strong>on</strong><br />

systems under future <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> (as well<br />

as in the instance of heightened agricultural<br />

or domestic demand). At the same time,<br />

improvements in irrigati<strong>on</strong> efficiency are critical<br />

to ensure the availability of water both for food<br />

producti<strong>on</strong> and for competing human and<br />

envir<strong>on</strong>mental needs (IPCC, 2007).<br />

There is high c<strong>on</strong>fidence that adaptati<strong>on</strong> can<br />

reduce vulnerability, especially in the short<br />

term. Water management in the face of <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> therefore needs to adopt a scenariobased<br />

approach (Beuhler, 2003; Sim<strong>on</strong>ovic<br />

and Li, 2003) as we have in our study. This is<br />

being used in practice in countries such as the<br />

UK (Arnell and Delaney, 2006) and Australia<br />

(Dessai et al., 2005). A sec<strong>on</strong>d approach to<br />

coping with uncertainty, referred to as ‘adaptive<br />

management’ (Stakhiv, 1998), involves the<br />

increased use of water management measures<br />

that are relatively robust to uncertainty.<br />

Integrated water resources management<br />

should be an instrument to explore adaptati<strong>on</strong><br />

measures to <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>, but so far it is in its<br />

infancy (IPCC SR, 2008).<br />

Impacts, Vulnerability & Adaptati<strong>on</strong> for<br />

Water Resources in Abu Dhabi<br />

125

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