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climate change on UAE - Stockholm Environment Institute-US Center

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8. Biodiversity,<br />

ecosystem thresholds,<br />

and <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

There are a wide range of drivers which may<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> ecosystem structure and functi<strong>on</strong>,<br />

including human influences such as land use<br />

and polluti<strong>on</strong>, shifts in <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> patterns, and<br />

alterati<strong>on</strong>s to physical or chemical balances.<br />

One key element of ecosystem health is its<br />

biodiversity, a metric of how many different<br />

distinct types of flora and fauna interact in the<br />

same space. An ecosystem with high biodiversity<br />

is highly resilient to damage and disturbance,<br />

and is able to resist <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>.<br />

Losses in biodiversity leave key ecological<br />

niches unfilled, and may promote instability<br />

or catastrophic <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> in an ecosystem. Like<br />

a well-balanced portfolio, a highly biodiverse<br />

ecosystem is less likely to collapse or be adversely<br />

affected by disturbances over l<strong>on</strong>g periods (such<br />

as shifts in <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g>) or short periods (such as<br />

wildfires, pathogen or disease outbreaks, or<br />

flooding); each element of the ecosystem is<br />

susceptible to some type of damage, but resilient<br />

to other forms – as a whole, an ecosystem with<br />

high biodiversity can functi<strong>on</strong> well even in the<br />

face of adverse c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s. As we look to assess<br />

the potential impact of <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> the<br />

<strong>UAE</strong>, biodiversity and ecosystem functi<strong>on</strong> will<br />

remain a key c<strong>on</strong>cept.<br />

It is important then, to understand not <strong>on</strong>ly the<br />

role of biodiversity <strong>on</strong> ecosystem functi<strong>on</strong>, but<br />

the role of anthropogenic (human) and <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> biodiversity. Generally speaking,<br />

researchers agree that the last two centuries<br />

have seen an extraordinary loss of biodiversity<br />

(Ceballose and Erlich, 2002; Hughes, 1997),<br />

rivaling (if not exceeding) the extincti<strong>on</strong> rates<br />

of geologic historic mass extincti<strong>on</strong>s (Balmford,<br />

2003). Researchers have attributed much of this<br />

biodiversity loss to:<br />

over-harvesting of both predator and prey<br />

species (e.g. overfishing and hunting);<br />

habitat destructi<strong>on</strong> (e.g. deforestati<strong>on</strong>,<br />

overgrazing, or polluti<strong>on</strong>); and<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>.<br />

Over-harvesting of species can lead to critical<br />

shortages in breeding populati<strong>on</strong>s, meaning<br />

that a populati<strong>on</strong> is not large enough to re-<br />

Impacts, Vulnerability & Adaptati<strong>on</strong> for<br />

Dryland Ecosystems in Abu Dhabi<br />

163

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