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climate change on UAE - Stockholm Environment Institute-US Center

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Impacts, Vulnerability & Adaptati<strong>on</strong> for<br />

Coastal Z<strong>on</strong>es in the United Arab Emirates<br />

Figure ‎4-4. CReSIS, 6m inundati<strong>on</strong>. (CReSIS, University of Kansas)<br />

of latitude and l<strong>on</strong>gitude (approximately <strong>on</strong>e<br />

kilometer at the Equator), with each land cell<br />

in the grid assigned an elevati<strong>on</strong> value (meters)<br />

in whole number increments (see output in<br />

Figure ‎4-4).<br />

Using raster analysis, the University of Kansas<br />

team identified potentially inundated areas<br />

based <strong>on</strong> elevati<strong>on</strong> and proximity to the current<br />

shoreline. Using an algorithm, similar to the<br />

UofA team, they flagged all raster cells adjacent<br />

to the c<strong>on</strong>tiguous ocean and then did a sec<strong>on</strong>d<br />

order of analysis to flag cells whose elevati<strong>on</strong><br />

value is less than or equal to the desired sea<br />

level rise increment. Since the initial pass<br />

floods <strong>on</strong>ly those cells that are directly adjacent<br />

to the current ocean, the two-step procedure<br />

is repeated until all cells c<strong>on</strong>nected with cells<br />

adjacent to the ocean are inundated (CReSIS,<br />

2008).<br />

4.3. Data limitati<strong>on</strong>s,<br />

methodological<br />

c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong>s: challenges to<br />

mapping sea level rise<br />

Accurately mapping areas potentially<br />

inundated by rising seas depends <strong>on</strong> accurate<br />

measurements of current mean sea level as<br />

well as high-resoluti<strong>on</strong> terrain data to positi<strong>on</strong><br />

in relati<strong>on</strong> to mean sea level. The uneven<br />

distributi<strong>on</strong> of masses across the planet<br />

makes it tricky to measure relative sea level.<br />

A quick technical tangent explains this fact<br />

further. The geoid is the level of surface that<br />

the sea surface would assume in the absence of<br />

37

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