PAD - LGED

passenger demand for water transport during the high water season, suggesting that there is a
latent demand for water transport during the low water season which might be satisfied by the
removal of barriers to navigation. Water transport has an inherent advantage over road transport
for passengers seeking to transport goods, in addition to themselves, to and from markets, since
bulky goods may be accommodated in boats, but not so easily in the prevailing forms of road
transport (such as Tempos and auto rickshaws).
41. The project was appraised over an assumed life of 20 years (with uninterrupted
navigation possible during the low water season starting in 2013).
42. The assessment of the current traffic and potential traffic increases are based on a set of
assumptions defined in the table below.
Table 8.11: Main assumption for Cargo transport:
Traffic growth factor 4.00 percent Per annum
Op'g days/yr - curr. 308 Current days of operation
Op'g days/yr - fut. 330 Assumed days of operation after project start
W/out project op'g
cost/tonne-km 6.0191
Assumed cost per tonne of transported goods without
project
With project op'g
cost/tonne-km 4.9059
Assumed cost per tonne of transported goods with
project
W/out proj. av.dist. 53.3000 Average distance without project
With project av.dist. 61.3000 Average distance with project
Wt av tonnes 8.35 Average cargo weight in tonnes
Table 8.12: Main assumptions for Passenger transport:
Traffic growth
factor
4.00 percent Per annum
Op'g days/yr - curr.
265 Current days of operation
Op'g days/yr - fut.
330 Assumed days of operation after project start
W/out project op'g
Assumed average cost per kilometer and passenger without
1.2896
cost/pax-km
project
With project op'g
Assumed average cost per kilometer and passenger with
1.1190
cost/pax-km
project
W/out proj. av.dist.
8.0 Average distance without project
With project av.dist.
18.5 Average distance with project
W/out proj.av.pax.
22.5 Average number of passengers per trip without project
With proj.av.pax.
22.5 Average number of passengers per trip with project
43. Key assumptions are that the river traffic will increase with the project, passenger and
cargo transport will cost less, while the distance travelled will increase. It is furthermore
expected that the project will lead to reduced travel time, and reduced VOC, mainly because the
dredging and the improved ghats.
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