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Import risk analysis: Llamas (Lama glama) and alpacas (Vicugna ...

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Outbreaks of the disease have occurred in camelids (CDC 1990; Fowler 1992; Wernery &<br />

Kaaden 2002). In one outbreak, in which 20 <strong>alpacas</strong> were bitten by a rabid dog, 13 died or<br />

were euthanised. In these cases the incubation period varied from 15-34 days <strong>and</strong> animals<br />

died within 8 days of developing clinical signs. In another outbreak involving 29 cases the<br />

incubation period was from 15-30 days (Fowler 1992). In view of the protracted incubation<br />

periods sometimes seen in other animals it must be assumed those incubation periods of<br />

longer than 3 months are possible. Herbivores are almost invariably dead-end hosts as they<br />

seldom bite other animals.<br />

Killed vaccines are safe for use in camelids although their efficacy is unproven. Modified<br />

live vaccines have been reported to cause post-vaccine paralysis in 10 % of cases (Fowler<br />

1992).<br />

16.1.5. Hazard identification conclusion<br />

Rabies virus can infect camelids <strong>and</strong> causes an invariably fatal disease. Therefore, rabies<br />

virus is considered to be a potential hazard in the commodity.<br />

16.1.6. Entry assessment<br />

Camelids could be incubating the disease when imported. Incubation periods may be<br />

protracted <strong>and</strong> during this time animals show no signs of infection. Since the disease<br />

occurs in several countries relevant to this <strong>risk</strong> <strong>analysis</strong>, the likelihood of entry is assessed<br />

to be non-negligible.<br />

16.1.7. Exposure assessment<br />

Camelids are likely to be dead-end hosts <strong>and</strong> therefore exposure of other animals is<br />

unlikely. However, since there is a remote chance of transmission to animal attendants<br />

working with the camelids the likelihood of exposure is assessed to be non-negligible.<br />

16.1.8. Consequence assessment<br />

Establishment of rabies in New Zeal<strong>and</strong> would be unlikely unless a carnivore became<br />

infected. The likelihood that a carnivore would be bitten by a camelid or have a wound<br />

infected with camelid saliva is extremely low. Humans working with an infected animal<br />

could possibly be infected by contamination of a wound with saliva. Since the untreated<br />

disease is invariably fatal the consequences are assessed to be non-negligible.<br />

16.1.9. Risk estimation<br />

Since entry, exposure <strong>and</strong> consequence assessments are all non-negligible, the <strong>risk</strong> is<br />

assessed as non-negligible <strong>and</strong> rabies virus is classified as a hazard in the commodity.<br />

Therefore, <strong>risk</strong> management measures may be justified.<br />

16.2. RISK MANAGEMENT<br />

16.2.1. Options<br />

The following points were considered when drafting options for the effective management<br />

of rabies virus in the commodity:<br />

54 ● <strong>Import</strong> <strong>risk</strong> <strong>analysis</strong>: <strong>Llamas</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>alpacas</strong> from specified countries MAF Biosecurity New Zeal<strong>and</strong>

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