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April - June 2007 - Kasetsart University

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<strong>Kasetsart</strong> J. (Nat. Sci.) 41 : 380 - 393 (<strong>2007</strong>)<br />

A Nonlinear Optimization Problem for Determining Safety Stocks<br />

in a Two-Stage Manufacturing System<br />

ABSTRACT<br />

Parthana Parthanadee<br />

Safety stock is the inventory which is used to buffer against the uncertainties in business<br />

operations. Managers must decide how much safety stock of each raw material and each finished product<br />

should be maintained. Determining appropriate safety stock levels is an important decision. Too much<br />

safety stock would incur extra inventory carrying costs, whereas too less safety stock would increase<br />

the risk of having product stockouts and lost sales. In this paper, a nonlinear programming problem for<br />

determining safety stock levels in a two-stage manufacturing system, was presented. Instead of using<br />

the well-known search algorithms, simple decision rules for determining safety stock levels were derived<br />

from an analysis of the derivatives of cost functions, with respect to the delivery performances of suppliers<br />

and prior manufacturing process. Two algorithms based on those decision rules were proposed and<br />

tested on seventy-five problem instances. The results showed that the proposed algorithms provided,<br />

within 1 second, the solutions with less than 3% deviations, on average, from the known integer solutions<br />

or the best lower bounds. The algorithms also performed better than the pattern search algorithm, which<br />

was the method applied in the previous research.<br />

Key words: safety stock, inventory, nonlinear programming problem, two-stage manufacturing systems<br />

INTRODUCTION<br />

Safety stock or buffer stock is the amount<br />

of inventory held in a short run to protect against<br />

demand and supply uncertainties and forecasting<br />

errors in business operations. When demands are<br />

underestimated, or supplies are insufficient or<br />

backordered, product stockouts may occur and<br />

cause the company some lost sales, especially<br />

when the degree of product substitutability is high.<br />

On the other hand, if too many safety stock<br />

quantities are held, high inventory costs would be<br />

charged to the company. The two types of costs:<br />

opportunity costs and inventory costs must be<br />

traded off to find the appropriate safety stock<br />

levels.<br />

The classical approach for determining<br />

safety stock is to specify a desired service level or<br />

a stockout probability and use it to identify a safety<br />

factor, k. If the demand during lead time is assumed<br />

normally distributed, the safety factor is usually<br />

set to z and the safety stock is set to z⋅σ L, where z<br />

denotes the z-score to achieve the desired service<br />

level and σ L denotes the standard deviation of the<br />

probability distribution of demand during lead time<br />

(Vollmann et al., 1997). The other choices of safety<br />

factor, demand deviation, and safety stock<br />

calculations can be found in Krupp (1997); Silver<br />

Program of Agro-Industry Technology Management, Faculty of Agro-Industry, <strong>Kasetsart</strong> <strong>University</strong>, Bangkok 10900, Thailand.<br />

e-mail: fagiptp@ku.ac.th<br />

Received date : 22/06/06 Accepted date : 22/01/07

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