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Nuclear Reset - Program on Strategic Stability Evaluation (POSSE)

Nuclear Reset - Program on Strategic Stability Evaluation (POSSE)

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Chapter 10. N<strong>on</strong>-<strong>Strategic</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> Weap<strong>on</strong>s215are removed from their delivery vehicles and stockpiled at navy orair force bases or at centralized storage facilities within Russia andthe United States.In spite of some U.S. ideas to the c<strong>on</strong>trary, it would not be possibleto combine the reducti<strong>on</strong> and eliminati<strong>on</strong> of TNWs with reducti<strong>on</strong>sof SNFs, inasmuch as TNWs are delivered by such dual-use vehiclesas aircraft, short-range missiles, surface ship or submarine weap<strong>on</strong>s,and artillery. In essence, the limitati<strong>on</strong>, reducti<strong>on</strong>, or eliminati<strong>on</strong>of TNWs involves the removal of nuclear explosive charges fromdual-use missiles, projectiles, and torpedoes, or from the weap<strong>on</strong>ssystems aboard multi-purpose aircraft, ships, and submarines. Thus,as noted above, the reducti<strong>on</strong> of TNWs, unlike SNFs, can never beachieved or c<strong>on</strong>trolled through the eliminati<strong>on</strong> of delivery vehicles.For this same reas<strong>on</strong>, it will be incredibly difficult to agree <strong>on</strong> reducingTNWs to some level and to c<strong>on</strong>trol such reducti<strong>on</strong>s. After all,the two sides would have to agree to inspecti<strong>on</strong>s not of deployed (andn<strong>on</strong>-deployed) missile launchers and delivery vehicles, but of c<strong>on</strong>tainersof stockpiled bombs and warheads in storages. This wouldbe a much more complicated task, especially since tactical nuclearmuniti<strong>on</strong>s are often stored al<strong>on</strong>gside their vehicles, with warheadand bombs removed from missiles or bombers under the STARTTreaty and with muniti<strong>on</strong>s slated for recycling. Furthermore, thereare dozens of such warehouses and many thousands of warheads.If a greater porti<strong>on</strong> of (dual-use) delivery vehicles is retained,the eliminati<strong>on</strong> of TNW charges would be primarily a symbolic (notto menti<strong>on</strong> complex and expensive) measure, if the exact numberof remaining weap<strong>on</strong>s cannot be verified, and it cannot be guaranteedthat these types of nuclear muniti<strong>on</strong>s are no l<strong>on</strong>ger being producedor stockpiled as replacements for eliminated warheads that could bequickly put into service. For the same reas<strong>on</strong>, the measure of destroyingthe casings of nuclear explosive charges (as called for under the INFTreaty), would not be very effective. Since intermediate- and shortrangemissiles have been fully eliminated, there would be no placeto which to return the headers of the two classes of missiles to service,but the situati<strong>on</strong> with TNWs is totally different. Verificati<strong>on</strong> of suchweap<strong>on</strong>s at centralized storage facilities or the nuclear warhead manufacturer’sfactory warehouse (the final assembly shop in particular)assumes an unprecedented degree of openness in the most sensitiveareas of military and technical activity, while the c<strong>on</strong>text of the NewSTART Treaty implies less transparency, not more.

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