12.07.2015 Views

Nuclear Reset - Program on Strategic Stability Evaluation (POSSE)

Nuclear Reset - Program on Strategic Stability Evaluation (POSSE)

Nuclear Reset - Program on Strategic Stability Evaluation (POSSE)

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS
  • No tags were found...

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

60<str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Reset</str<strong>on</strong>g>: Arms Reducti<strong>on</strong> and N<strong>on</strong>proliferati<strong>on</strong>ments will prompt Great Britain to rec<strong>on</strong>sider these plans.While preserving the opti<strong>on</strong> of delivering limited nuclear strikesagainst “rogue states,” Great Britain has not overemphasized its reliance<strong>on</strong> nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s, adhering instead to the strategy of “minimalnuclear deterrence.” For example, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong> has officially declaredthat its nuclear forces are <strong>on</strong> low alert, and that they would needadditi<strong>on</strong>al time to prepare for use up<strong>on</strong> receiving the appropriateorders from the top command. However, Great Britain has providedno technical explanati<strong>on</strong>s as to what exactly this involves.The United Kingdom has declared its entire fissile material stockpile,and has also placed fissile materials that are no l<strong>on</strong>ger neededfor military purposes under internati<strong>on</strong>al IAEA safeguards. In additi<strong>on</strong>,it has opened its enrichment and processing facilities to internati<strong>on</strong>alIAEA inspecti<strong>on</strong>s and begun to put together a historical ledgerof all fissile materials it had produced in the past. It is also c<strong>on</strong>ductingan experience-building program in nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s reducti<strong>on</strong>and destructi<strong>on</strong> checks. For example, in 2004, the third sessi<strong>on</strong>of the Preparatory Committee of the 2005 NPT Review C<strong>on</strong>ferenceagreed to investigate whether or not the technology c<strong>on</strong>trol regimecould also be used for decommissi<strong>on</strong>ed weap<strong>on</strong>s.The People’s Republic of China c<strong>on</strong>ducted its first nuclear testin 1964. At the moment, China is the <strong>on</strong>ly permanent UN SecurityCouncil member and the <strong>on</strong>ly <strong>on</strong>e of five Parties to the Treaty<strong>on</strong> the N<strong>on</strong>proliferati<strong>on</strong> of <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> Weap<strong>on</strong>s legally recognized asnuclear powers that discloses no official armed forces data, leavingits nuclear forces completely under wraps.Officially, this secrecy is justified as follows: since China has a numericallyinferior nuclear force that cannot compare in technicalcapability to those of the other members of the “nuclear five,” itneeds to preserve SNF secrecy in order to maintain its deterrencepotential. At the same time, China is the <strong>on</strong>ly great power to haveofficially endorsed the no-first-strike policy; moreover, it has d<strong>on</strong>eso without any reservati<strong>on</strong>s. This promise has been accompanied bya few vague unofficial explanati<strong>on</strong>s (which are probably sancti<strong>on</strong>edby the authorities) to the effect that in time of peace, China keeps itsnuclear warheads separate from its missiles. These unofficial sourcesfurther explain that in the case of a nuclear attack, these warheadswould be loaded into delivery vehicles, and a retaliatory strike wouldbe delivered against the aggressor within two weeks. If this really isthe case, it may be explained by the fact that China lacks the technol-

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!