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Nuclear Reset - Program on Strategic Stability Evaluation (POSSE)

Nuclear Reset - Program on Strategic Stability Evaluation (POSSE)

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Chapter 20. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> Testing399in the Treaty. This will be the first time in the history of multilateralarms c<strong>on</strong>trol agreements that a global verificati<strong>on</strong> system has beenestablished, with operati<strong>on</strong>s entrusted to an internati<strong>on</strong>al Treaty organizati<strong>on</strong>.It became possible to achieve agreement <strong>on</strong> the creati<strong>on</strong>of such a verificati<strong>on</strong> mechanism <strong>on</strong>ly because of the radical changesin the global situati<strong>on</strong> that followed the Cold War, as well as throughthe necessary political will exercised <strong>on</strong> the part of all of the countriesthat participated in the development of the CTBT.As noted previously, integral to the CTBT verificati<strong>on</strong> mechanismare the Internati<strong>on</strong>al M<strong>on</strong>itoring System (IMS) linking 321 seismic,radi<strong>on</strong>uclide, infrasound, and hydroacoustic m<strong>on</strong>itoring stati<strong>on</strong>s; 16certified laboratories that may be used if necessary to perform indepthanalysis of radi<strong>on</strong>uclide samples collected at radi<strong>on</strong>uclide stati<strong>on</strong>s;an Internati<strong>on</strong>al Data Center (IDC) to collect, process, archive,and present data obtained from IMS sites to Treaty participants; a politicaland diplomatic mechanism for c<strong>on</strong>sulting <strong>on</strong> and clarifying suspici<strong>on</strong>sof potential CTBT violati<strong>on</strong>s; c<strong>on</strong>fidence-building measuresthat include data exchange <strong>on</strong> large-scale c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al explosivedet<strong>on</strong>ati<strong>on</strong>s (meaning primarily industrial det<strong>on</strong>ati<strong>on</strong>s, in particularin the mining industry); and <strong>on</strong>-site inspecti<strong>on</strong> of suspicious eventswith no right of refusal.The Treaty stipulates that its verificati<strong>on</strong> mechanism must beready for operati<strong>on</strong> by the time the CTBT enters into force.After the CTBT was opened for signature <strong>on</strong> September 24,1996, the states that had signed the Treaty met in New YorkCity and <strong>on</strong> November 19, 1996, adopted the document that establishedthe Preparatory Commissi<strong>on</strong> of the CTBT Organizati<strong>on</strong>(PC CTBTO), which stated that the main goal of the Commissi<strong>on</strong>(to operate until the Treaty enters into force) was to establish andprovisi<strong>on</strong>ally implement a verificati<strong>on</strong> mechanism. The PreparatoryCommissi<strong>on</strong> of the CTBTO and its Provisi<strong>on</strong>al Technical Secretariat(PTS) formally began functi<strong>on</strong>ing in March 1997.In order to evaluate the difficulty, scope, and uniqueness of the taskthat the Commissi<strong>on</strong> and the PTS have faced in establishing a verificati<strong>on</strong>mechanism, and to objectively evaluate the results achievedin this area up to the present time, the main comp<strong>on</strong>ents of the verificati<strong>on</strong>mechanism and their interacti<strong>on</strong>s under the CTBT must beexamined in more detail.The structure and functi<strong>on</strong>ing of the IMS are c<strong>on</strong>sidered below.The seismic comp<strong>on</strong>ent of the IMS is primarily intended for de-

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