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Nuclear Reset - Program on Strategic Stability Evaluation (POSSE)

Nuclear Reset - Program on Strategic Stability Evaluation (POSSE)

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Chapter 16. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> Fuel Cycle315anteed supplies of low-enriched uranium for nuclear fuel would beoffered to those nati<strong>on</strong>s that have foreg<strong>on</strong>e creating their own nati<strong>on</strong>alenrichment facilities and signed comprehensive safeguardsagreements with the IAEA, including the 1997 Additi<strong>on</strong>al Protocol.The idea behind this project was that if a situati<strong>on</strong> should arise underwhich <strong>on</strong>e of the six nati<strong>on</strong>s would be unable to meet its LEU deliveryobligati<strong>on</strong>s, the other five nati<strong>on</strong>s would make the shipmentsin its place, provided that the IAEA has c<strong>on</strong>firmed that the nati<strong>on</strong>has met all of its n<strong>on</strong>proliferati<strong>on</strong> obligati<strong>on</strong>s. The implementati<strong>on</strong>of this initiative assumes that a multi-tiered system of safeguardswould be established that would include backup provisi<strong>on</strong>s in standardc<strong>on</strong>tracts and would establish LEU stockpiles under IAEAc<strong>on</strong>trol. In September 2006, Japan proposed the IAEA StandbyArrangement System to supplement the Six Country Project andserve as an early warning system to avoid disrupti<strong>on</strong>s to nuclear fuelsupplies. Finally, in September 2006, the United Kingdom proposedimplementing an “enrichment b<strong>on</strong>d” c<strong>on</strong>cept to provide greater assurancesto the nati<strong>on</strong>s seeking nuclear fuel cycle services.In September 2006, the <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> Threat Initiative (a U.S. n<strong>on</strong>governmentalorganizati<strong>on</strong>) announced that it would c<strong>on</strong>tribute50 milli<strong>on</strong> dollars as seed m<strong>on</strong>ey to help create an LEU stockpileowned and managed by the IAEA. 31 The Agency would manage thisstockpile in order to guarantee n<strong>on</strong>-discriminatory and n<strong>on</strong>-politicalfuel supplies to the nati<strong>on</strong>s that have renounced enrichment activities.However, the use of the NTI m<strong>on</strong>ey would be c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>al<strong>on</strong> the requirement that <strong>on</strong>e or more IAEA members would c<strong>on</strong>tributean additi<strong>on</strong>al 100 milli<strong>on</strong> dollars in funding. This circumstance,as well as the lack of resoluti<strong>on</strong> of some other unresolved issues (suchas the degree of LEU enrichment, storage locati<strong>on</strong>s, the producti<strong>on</strong>of fuel from the stockpile for specific client nati<strong>on</strong>s, and the price)have made this proposal difficult to implement.Russia has also supported the initiative to establish a nuclear fuelbank. Speaking at the 51 st IAEA General C<strong>on</strong>ference, Sergey Kirienko,director general of the Russian Federal Atomic Energy Agency(Rosatom), announced Russia’s intenti<strong>on</strong> to create a low-enrichedfuel stockpile at the Angarsk IUEC. The IAEA Board of Governorssupported this Russian initiative in a resoluti<strong>on</strong> passed <strong>on</strong> November27, 2009. In late March 2010, an agreement was signed to establisha stockpile of low-enriched uranium within the borders of the RussianFederati<strong>on</strong>. 32 It provided for the establishment of a guaranteed physical

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