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Nuclear Reset - Program on Strategic Stability Evaluation (POSSE)

Nuclear Reset - Program on Strategic Stability Evaluation (POSSE)

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Chapter 22 Precisi<strong>on</strong>-Guided C<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al Weap<strong>on</strong>s435fold in the future if Russia’s air defense and antisubmarine capabilitiesshould decline to a level that could allow an adversary to establishdominance over the air space or at sea near the country’s borders.In such a case, Russia’s strategic sites could also be subject to attackby B-1B strategic bombers, sea-launched SLCMs, U.S. naval carrieraviati<strong>on</strong>, and NATO’s tactical aviati<strong>on</strong> (if based in the Baltic regi<strong>on</strong>or the Transcaucasus). Even B-1B strategic bombers al<strong>on</strong>e would becapable of delivering some 1,600 PGWs to their targets.A review of the U.S. Department of Defense’s <strong>on</strong>going weap<strong>on</strong>sdevelopment programs that are being c<strong>on</strong>ducted under the GlobalStrike strategy is presented below.In October 2002, the U.S. <strong>Strategic</strong> Command (STRATCOM),which historically had <strong>on</strong>ly been involved in nuclear planning, mergedwith the U.S. Space Command (SPACECOM), with the resultingagency gaining much broader functi<strong>on</strong>s, including to maintain a capabilityof c<strong>on</strong>ducting rapid, remote high-precisi<strong>on</strong> kinetic (both c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>allyarmed and nuclear) and n<strong>on</strong>-c<strong>on</strong>tact strikes (using spaceor informati<strong>on</strong> weap<strong>on</strong>ry) against targets anywhere <strong>on</strong> the globe. 12The Global Strike strategy was developed with this very missi<strong>on</strong>in mind.According to the Global Strike strategy, the United States couldface an urgent need to launch a pre-emptive strike in order to quicklydestroy a limited number of either stati<strong>on</strong>ary or mobile targets lyingbey<strong>on</strong>d the reach of forward deployed forces (regi<strong>on</strong>ally deployed AirForce and Navy tactical aircraft). For example, ICBMs and SLBMscould deliver their payloads nearly anywhere in the world within just30 to 40 minutes. It would take substantially l<strong>on</strong>ger to plan and c<strong>on</strong>ductsuch missi<strong>on</strong>s using tactical aircraft and would require the permissi<strong>on</strong>of neighboring states to overfly their territories. Moreover,tactical aircraft would also be vulnerable to the acti<strong>on</strong>s of the airdefenses of the country under attack.Potential targets that are usually menti<strong>on</strong>ed for the systems beingdeveloped under the Global Strike strategy are anti-satellite andair defense systems, ballistic missiles, and sites c<strong>on</strong>taining weap<strong>on</strong>sof mass destructi<strong>on</strong> (WMDs), as well as such targets of strategic significanceas the adversary’s command structure. 13 This list of targetscould also be expanded to include terrorist bases or stocks of WMDsor their delivery systems under their c<strong>on</strong>trol.It should further be noted that within the framework of the GlobalStrike strategy, the Pentag<strong>on</strong> is also c<strong>on</strong>sidering using its n<strong>on</strong>-nu-

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