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Nuclear Reset - Program on Strategic Stability Evaluation (POSSE)

Nuclear Reset - Program on Strategic Stability Evaluation (POSSE)

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288<str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Reset</str<strong>on</strong>g>: Arms Reducti<strong>on</strong> and N<strong>on</strong>proliferati<strong>on</strong>11 The actual safeguarding report has never been published. However,the Safeguards Statements can be found at the website of the IAEA:http://www.iaea.org.12 IAEA document GOV/2005/33.13 Based <strong>on</strong> media reports, Saudi Arabia has a nuclear energy research institute,an energy project laboratory, a 3 MW particle accelerator, a hotlaboratory, and other facilities and sufficiently qualified specialists. Withtoday’s black market for nuclear materials and technology and the country’senormous wealth, Saudi Arabia is now capable of quickly implementinga wide-scale nuclear program. (Yana Feldman and Mary Beth Nikitin,“Verifying Small Quantities: Saudi Arabia’s SQP,” Trust & Verify, no. 121[July-September 2005]: PP. 5-7; Charles Mahaffey and Yana Feldman,“Saudi Arabia’s Nati<strong>on</strong>al Security: What Role Could WMD Play?,”<str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trol, 9, no. 3-4 [2004]: PP. 65-75).14 IAEA, Annual Report 2008 (2009), P. 79.15 Ibid., PP. v, 10016 According to the Russian media, <strong>on</strong> Nov. 16, 2009, Russian Ministerof Energy Sergei Shmatko announced that the Bushehr nuclear powerplant would not be launched <strong>on</strong> schedule “for technical reas<strong>on</strong>s.”17 IAEA document GOV/2003/40.18 IAEA, Annual Report 2008, P. 80.19 Document GOV/2009/74.20 Document GOV/2009/82.21 Document GOV/2010/10.22 Document GOV/2009/75.23 Document GOV/2009/45-GC(53)13.24 Renowned U.S. weap<strong>on</strong>s n<strong>on</strong>proliferati<strong>on</strong> and limitati<strong>on</strong> experts FredMcGoldrick, Harold Bengelsdorf and Lawrence Scheinman believe thatthe U.S.-India agreement “was clearly motivated by and reflects the mutualinterests of both states in counterbalancing the rise of Chinese power.”(Fred McGoldrick, Harold Bengelsdorf, and Lawrence Scheinman,“The U.S.-India <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> Deal: Taking Stock,” Arms C<strong>on</strong>trol Today, 35, no.8 [October 2005]: PP. 6-12.)25 The search for a universally acceptable soluti<strong>on</strong> to the “third-party nati<strong>on</strong>”problem that would strengthen rather than weaken the n<strong>on</strong>proliferati<strong>on</strong>regime has been advocated by such U.S. experts as Ambassador ThomasGraham, who served as President Bill Clint<strong>on</strong>’s special representativefor arms c<strong>on</strong>trol, n<strong>on</strong>proliferati<strong>on</strong> and disarmament, and Avner Cohen,the Israeli author of Israel and the Bomb, who now works in the United

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