PacifiCorp 2007 Integrated Resource Plan (May 30, 2007)

More documents

Recommendations

Info

PacifiCorp – 2007 IRPChapter 7 – Modeling andFixed Resource Additions for Risk Analysis PortfoliosRenewablesA fixed wind resource investment schedule was included in all risk analysis portfolios. Pacifi-Corp developed an initial wind investment schedule based on a composite view of the resourceaddition patterns for the 16 alternative future scenarios covering the period 2007 through 2016.This initial wind investment schedule was modified as appropriate to support the testing of alternativeresource strategies.The CEM selected a wide range of wind resource capacities across the alternative future scenarios,from zero capacity for CAF08 (“unfavorable wind environment”) to 3,100 megawatts ofnameplate capacity for two scenarios (CAF07, “favorable wind environment” and CAF09, “highDSM potential”). The average nameplate amount for the 16 scenarios was 1,213 megawatts (fora capacity contribution of 235 megawatts), while the median amount was 950 megawatts. Theamount selected for the medium case scenario was 700 megawatts. The most frequently occurringamount was 400 megawatts for four scenarios.Figure 7.4 shows the amount of wind capacity that the CEM selected for each of the alternativefuture scenarios. Both nameplate capacity and capacity contribution are shown.Figure 7.4 – Wind Capacity Preferences for Alternative Future ScenariosMegawatts3500300025002000150010005000CAF00 CAF01 CAF02 CAF03 CAF04 CAF05 CAF06 CAF07 CAF08 CAF09 CAF10 CAF11 CAF12 CAF13 CAF14 CAF15 Ave.Wind Capacity Contribution 82 196 60 277 259 215 354 514 0 514 85 148 95 222 99 410 235Renew ables Nameplate 300 1,000 400 1,400 1,400 1,400 2,200 3,100 - 3,100 400 700 400 900 400 2,300 1213Wind Capacity ContributionRenewables NameplateFigure 7.5 profiles the CEM’s location preferences for wind resources across the alternative futureportfolios. It shows the number of scenarios in which wind was selected by location, and theaverage number of 100 megawatt project sites selected for each location four sites—SoutheastIdaho, Southwest Wyoming, North Central Oregon, and East Central Nevada—appeared in themajority of the scenarios. The southeast Wyoming location (SE WY) had the largest number ofsited added.154
PacifiCorp – 2007 IRPChapter 7 – Modeling andFigure 7.5 – Wind Location Preferences for Alternative Future ScenariosNumber of alternative future scenarios (out of 16) in which wind was chosen for the locationAverage number of 100 MW sites added to the location1614121086420SE ID SW WY NC OR EC NV SE WA SE WY SC MT WC UTLocationGiven these model results, a total nameplate capacity of 1,000 megawatts (capacity contributionof 217 megawatts) was added to each of the risk analysis portfolios and distributed among thesites favored by the model. Note that this capacity amount is in addition to the 400 megawattsconsidered a planned resource for 2007 and reflected in PacifiCorp’s load and resource balance.Table 7.14 shows the resource addition schedule for 2008 through 2016 adopted for the riskanalysis portfolios.Table 7.14 – Wind Resource Additions Schedule for Risk Analysis PortfoliosAnnualAdditions,NameplateCapacity(MW)CumulativeWind NameplateCapacity(MW)Cumulative WindPeak CapacityContribution(MW)YearLocation2008 200 North Central Oregon; Southeast Idaho 200 622009 200 North Central Oregon; Southeast Idaho 400 1102010 100 Southeast Idaho 500 1272011 - - 500 1272012 300 Southwest Wyoming 800 1892013 200 Southwest Wyoming 1,000 217Class 1 Demand-side Management ProgramsA fixed megawatt amount of certain Class 1 demand-side management programs were includedin all risk analysis portfolios based on a review of DSM addition patterns covering the 2017-2016 investment horizon for the alternative future scenarios. In order to be selected for risk155
Page 1 and 2:
Assuring abrightfuturefor our custo
Page 3 and 4:
PacifiCorp - 2007 IRPTable Of Conte
Page 5 and 6:
Page 7 and 8:
Page 9 and 10:
PacifiCorp - 2007 IRPIndex of Table
Page 11 and 12:
Page 13 and 14:
Page 15 and 16:
PacifiCorp - 2007 IRPChapter 1 - Ex
Page 17 and 18:
Page 19 and 20:
Page 21 and 22:
Page 23 and 24:
Page 25 and 26:
PacifiCorp - 2007 IRPChapter 2 - IR
Page 27 and 28:
Page 29 and 30:
Page 31 and 32:
Page 33 and 34:
Page 35 and 36:
Page 37 and 38:
Page 39 and 40:
Page 41 and 42:
PacifiCorp - 2007 IRPChapter 3 - Th
Page 43 and 44:
Page 45 and 46:
Page 47 and 48:
Page 49 and 50:
Page 51 and 52:
Page 53 and 54:
Page 55 and 56:
Page 57 and 58:
Page 59 and 60:
Page 61 and 62:
Page 63 and 64:
Page 65 and 66:
Page 67 and 68:
Page 69 and 70:
Page 71 and 72:
Page 73:
Page 76 and 77:
PacifiCorp - 2007 IRPChapter 4 - Re
Page 78 and 79:
Page 80 and 81:
Page 82 and 83:
Page 84 and 85:
Page 86 and 87:
Page 88 and 89:
Page 90 and 91:
Page 92 and 93:
Page 94 and 95:
Page 96 and 97:
Page 98 and 99:
Page 100 and 101:
Page 103 and 104:
Page 105 and 106:
Page 107 and 108:
PacifiCorp - 2007 IRP Chapter 5 - R
Page 109 and 110:
PacifiCorp - 2007 IRP Chapter 5 - R
Page 111 and 112:
Page 113 and 114:
Page 115 and 116:
Page 117 and 118: PacifiCorp - 2007 IRPChapter 5 - Re
Page 131 and 132: PacifiCorp - 2007 IRPChapter 6 - Mo
Page 167: PacifiCorp - 2007 IRPChapter 7 - Mo
Page 219 and 220:
PacifiCorp - 2007 IRPChapter 7 - Mo
Page 221 and 222:
Page 223 and 224:
Page 225 and 226:
Page 227 and 228:
Page 229 and 230:
PacifiCorp - 2007 IRP Chapter 7 - M
Page 231 and 232:
Page 233:
Page 236 and 237:
PacifiCorp - 2007 IRPChapter 8 - Ac
Page 238 and 239:
PacifiCorp - 2007 IRP Chapter 8 - A
Page 240 and 241:
PacifiCorp - 2007 IRP Chapter 8 - A
Page 243 and 244:
Page 245 and 246:
Page 247 and 248:
show all

PacifiCorp 2007 Integrated Resource Plan (May 30, 2007)

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

Delete template?

Save as template?