ConflictBarometer_2015
ConflictBarometer_2015
ConflictBarometer_2015
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ASIA AND OCEANIA<br />
South China Sea in a joint statement. The Chinese government<br />
criticized the statement.<br />
In late May, the Philippines claimed that the PRC had challenged<br />
its aerial reconnaissance for six times in April and<br />
thereby had been effectively imposing an air defense zone<br />
over the South China Sea. The Philippines announced on<br />
July 16 the reopening of the former US naval base in Subic<br />
Bay for its own military use. On October 29, the Permanent<br />
Court of Arbitration announced that the case brought by the<br />
Philippines was ''properly constituted,'' after the latter had<br />
submitted a supplemental document to counter the PRC's<br />
claim that the South China Sea issue would not fall under the<br />
jurisdiction of an international body.<br />
On May 26, ROC President Ma Ying-jeou presented the South<br />
China Sea Peace Initiative, calling for the freedom of navigation<br />
and overflight in the South China Sea as well as joint<br />
exploration of resources.<br />
Vietnam held talks with EU and US contractors on June 5 in<br />
a bid to acquire the necessary equipment to upgrade its air<br />
forces. In the same month, PRC moved an oil rig closer to<br />
Vietnam's coast where the two countries' exclusive economic<br />
zones (EEZ) overlap. However, during PRC President Xi Jinping's<br />
visit to Vietnam in early November, both sides agreed<br />
in a joint statement to enlarge their maritime cooperation<br />
and to launch an inspection of waters outside the mouth of<br />
the Beibu Gulf in December.<br />
On June 9, a Chinese Coast Guard ship entered Malaysian<br />
waters near Borneo. Malaysia claimed that incursions into its<br />
territorial waters by Chinese ships had been occurring on a<br />
daily basis since the end of 2014.<br />
Throughout the year, the US, Japan, India, Australia, and other<br />
external actors increased their presence in the conflict. In<br />
March, Indonesian President Joko Widodo stated that China's<br />
claims to the South China Sea have ''no legal foundation in<br />
international law.'' On April 20, the Philippines began joint<br />
military exercises with the US in the vicinity of the South<br />
China Sea. In early June, it concluded a deal with Japan over<br />
the delivery of ten patrol vessels. The PRC criticized the move<br />
[→ China Japan (East China Sea)]. At the East Asia Summit,<br />
taking place from November 21 to 22 in Kuala Lumpur, Japan<br />
supported the Philippines' critique of the PRC, declaring that<br />
''artificial land features'' had no legal status. On 27 October,<br />
the US sent navy destroyer USS Lassen close to the Subi /<br />
Zhubi and Mischief / Meiji reefs in the Spratly archipelago [→<br />
China USA]. The PRC denounced the move as threats to its<br />
sovereignty. Designating it as freedom of navigation operations<br />
(FONOP), the US furthermore sent two B-52 bombers<br />
near Chinese platforms in the Spratly Islands on November 8.<br />
Between late November and early December, an Australian<br />
surveillance aircraft flew over disputed waters in the South<br />
China Sea, triggering warnings by the Chinese navy. als<br />
INDIA (GNLA ET AL. / MEGHALAYA)<br />
Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1988<br />
Conflict parties:<br />
Conflict items:<br />
GNLA, ASAK, AMEF, ANVC, ANVC-B,<br />
UALA, HNLC et al. vs. government<br />
secession<br />
The conflict between militant groups seeking secession of<br />
various parts of Meghalaya state and the government continued<br />
as a violent crisis. While the Garo militants demanded a<br />
separate Garoland out of the five Garo Hills districts, the Khasi<br />
militants aimed at a sovereign state in the Khasi-Jaintia hills.<br />
Reportedly, the groups also coordinated their activities from<br />
Bangladesh and Myanmar. Throughout the year, the armed<br />
groups were involved in criminal activities like extortion and<br />
increasingly carried out abductions.<br />
On April 2, the government launched ''Operation Hillstorm<br />
II'' in which, according to the state police, security forces<br />
destroyed five militant camps and killed at least 17 people.<br />
On November 2, the Meghalayan High Court prompted the<br />
central government to introduce the Armed Forces Special<br />
Power Act (AFSPA) in the Garo Hills. The AFSPA would grant<br />
extensive powers and judicial amnesty to soldiers. During the<br />
following two weeks, thousands protested against the AFSPA<br />
in Tura, West Garo Hills, in Williamnagar, East Garo Hills,<br />
and in the state capital Shillong. Meghalayan Chief Minister<br />
Mukul Sangma stated that he saw no need for the AFSPA. On<br />
December 18, Sangma offered militants to hold talks within<br />
the next six months if they abandoned violent means.<br />
The Garo National Liberation Army (GNLA) continued to cooperate<br />
in training their personnel with the independent faction<br />
of the United Liberation Front of Assam [→ India (ULFA-I et<br />
al. / Assam)]. Clashes with security forces continued over the<br />
year, leaving several GNLA members and security personnel<br />
dead. For instance, on March 10, GNLA militants killed four<br />
policemen and injured two in an ambush near Rongara, South<br />
Garo Hills. One month later, the police and GNLA clashed near<br />
Kherapara village, West Garo Hills, after GNLA had threatened<br />
to start bombings if the police did not stop persecuting them.<br />
Security forces arrested one GNLA member and injured two.<br />
On October 27, GNLA abducted a governmental official, demanding<br />
an end of operations against militants. He was<br />
released one week later.<br />
Other active Garo groups were the Achik Songna Anpachakgipa<br />
Kotok (ASAK) and Achik Matgrik Elite Force (AMEF).<br />
On May 2, police forces killed AMEF leader Jack Marak in a<br />
shootout in North Garo Hills. On September 24, ASAK abducted<br />
the Bihari Intelligence Bureau officer Bikash Kumar<br />
Singh and the trader Kamal Saha. One month later, the police<br />
found their bodies close to Bolchugre village, South Garo<br />
Hills.<br />
The Garo Achik National Volunteer's Council (ANVC) and its<br />
breakaway faction ANVC-B had officially disbanded after a<br />
peace agreement with the government in December 2014.<br />
However, on July 14, the chairman of ANVC-B claimed that the<br />
police still continued operations against the group. Further,<br />
he repeatedly demanded to issue the agreed rehabilitation<br />
packages. Furthermore, the Garo United Achik Liberation<br />
Army (UALA) signed a peace agreement with the state government<br />
on December 18.<br />
On January 7, the Khasi armed group Hynniewtrep National<br />
Liberation Council (HNLC) stated their willingness for a political<br />
solution and unilaterally declared a ceasefire on March 22.<br />
However, the government rejected the offer. HNLC claimed<br />
responsibility for an IED blast in Jhalupara, East Khasi Hills<br />
district, on November 12. The group repeatedly conducted<br />
strikes and road blockades regarding various political issues.<br />
twe<br />
INDIA (HINDUS MUSLIMS)<br />
Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1947<br />
Conflict parties:<br />
Conflict items:<br />
Hindus, radical Hindu organizations<br />
vs. Muslims<br />
subnational predominance<br />
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