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ConflictBarometer_2015

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ASIA AND OCEANIA<br />

South China Sea in a joint statement. The Chinese government<br />

criticized the statement.<br />

In late May, the Philippines claimed that the PRC had challenged<br />

its aerial reconnaissance for six times in April and<br />

thereby had been effectively imposing an air defense zone<br />

over the South China Sea. The Philippines announced on<br />

July 16 the reopening of the former US naval base in Subic<br />

Bay for its own military use. On October 29, the Permanent<br />

Court of Arbitration announced that the case brought by the<br />

Philippines was ''properly constituted,'' after the latter had<br />

submitted a supplemental document to counter the PRC's<br />

claim that the South China Sea issue would not fall under the<br />

jurisdiction of an international body.<br />

On May 26, ROC President Ma Ying-jeou presented the South<br />

China Sea Peace Initiative, calling for the freedom of navigation<br />

and overflight in the South China Sea as well as joint<br />

exploration of resources.<br />

Vietnam held talks with EU and US contractors on June 5 in<br />

a bid to acquire the necessary equipment to upgrade its air<br />

forces. In the same month, PRC moved an oil rig closer to<br />

Vietnam's coast where the two countries' exclusive economic<br />

zones (EEZ) overlap. However, during PRC President Xi Jinping's<br />

visit to Vietnam in early November, both sides agreed<br />

in a joint statement to enlarge their maritime cooperation<br />

and to launch an inspection of waters outside the mouth of<br />

the Beibu Gulf in December.<br />

On June 9, a Chinese Coast Guard ship entered Malaysian<br />

waters near Borneo. Malaysia claimed that incursions into its<br />

territorial waters by Chinese ships had been occurring on a<br />

daily basis since the end of 2014.<br />

Throughout the year, the US, Japan, India, Australia, and other<br />

external actors increased their presence in the conflict. In<br />

March, Indonesian President Joko Widodo stated that China's<br />

claims to the South China Sea have ''no legal foundation in<br />

international law.'' On April 20, the Philippines began joint<br />

military exercises with the US in the vicinity of the South<br />

China Sea. In early June, it concluded a deal with Japan over<br />

the delivery of ten patrol vessels. The PRC criticized the move<br />

[→ China Japan (East China Sea)]. At the East Asia Summit,<br />

taking place from November 21 to 22 in Kuala Lumpur, Japan<br />

supported the Philippines' critique of the PRC, declaring that<br />

''artificial land features'' had no legal status. On 27 October,<br />

the US sent navy destroyer USS Lassen close to the Subi /<br />

Zhubi and Mischief / Meiji reefs in the Spratly archipelago [→<br />

China USA]. The PRC denounced the move as threats to its<br />

sovereignty. Designating it as freedom of navigation operations<br />

(FONOP), the US furthermore sent two B-52 bombers<br />

near Chinese platforms in the Spratly Islands on November 8.<br />

Between late November and early December, an Australian<br />

surveillance aircraft flew over disputed waters in the South<br />

China Sea, triggering warnings by the Chinese navy. als<br />

INDIA (GNLA ET AL. / MEGHALAYA)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1988<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

GNLA, ASAK, AMEF, ANVC, ANVC-B,<br />

UALA, HNLC et al. vs. government<br />

secession<br />

The conflict between militant groups seeking secession of<br />

various parts of Meghalaya state and the government continued<br />

as a violent crisis. While the Garo militants demanded a<br />

separate Garoland out of the five Garo Hills districts, the Khasi<br />

militants aimed at a sovereign state in the Khasi-Jaintia hills.<br />

Reportedly, the groups also coordinated their activities from<br />

Bangladesh and Myanmar. Throughout the year, the armed<br />

groups were involved in criminal activities like extortion and<br />

increasingly carried out abductions.<br />

On April 2, the government launched ''Operation Hillstorm<br />

II'' in which, according to the state police, security forces<br />

destroyed five militant camps and killed at least 17 people.<br />

On November 2, the Meghalayan High Court prompted the<br />

central government to introduce the Armed Forces Special<br />

Power Act (AFSPA) in the Garo Hills. The AFSPA would grant<br />

extensive powers and judicial amnesty to soldiers. During the<br />

following two weeks, thousands protested against the AFSPA<br />

in Tura, West Garo Hills, in Williamnagar, East Garo Hills,<br />

and in the state capital Shillong. Meghalayan Chief Minister<br />

Mukul Sangma stated that he saw no need for the AFSPA. On<br />

December 18, Sangma offered militants to hold talks within<br />

the next six months if they abandoned violent means.<br />

The Garo National Liberation Army (GNLA) continued to cooperate<br />

in training their personnel with the independent faction<br />

of the United Liberation Front of Assam [→ India (ULFA-I et<br />

al. / Assam)]. Clashes with security forces continued over the<br />

year, leaving several GNLA members and security personnel<br />

dead. For instance, on March 10, GNLA militants killed four<br />

policemen and injured two in an ambush near Rongara, South<br />

Garo Hills. One month later, the police and GNLA clashed near<br />

Kherapara village, West Garo Hills, after GNLA had threatened<br />

to start bombings if the police did not stop persecuting them.<br />

Security forces arrested one GNLA member and injured two.<br />

On October 27, GNLA abducted a governmental official, demanding<br />

an end of operations against militants. He was<br />

released one week later.<br />

Other active Garo groups were the Achik Songna Anpachakgipa<br />

Kotok (ASAK) and Achik Matgrik Elite Force (AMEF).<br />

On May 2, police forces killed AMEF leader Jack Marak in a<br />

shootout in North Garo Hills. On September 24, ASAK abducted<br />

the Bihari Intelligence Bureau officer Bikash Kumar<br />

Singh and the trader Kamal Saha. One month later, the police<br />

found their bodies close to Bolchugre village, South Garo<br />

Hills.<br />

The Garo Achik National Volunteer's Council (ANVC) and its<br />

breakaway faction ANVC-B had officially disbanded after a<br />

peace agreement with the government in December 2014.<br />

However, on July 14, the chairman of ANVC-B claimed that the<br />

police still continued operations against the group. Further,<br />

he repeatedly demanded to issue the agreed rehabilitation<br />

packages. Furthermore, the Garo United Achik Liberation<br />

Army (UALA) signed a peace agreement with the state government<br />

on December 18.<br />

On January 7, the Khasi armed group Hynniewtrep National<br />

Liberation Council (HNLC) stated their willingness for a political<br />

solution and unilaterally declared a ceasefire on March 22.<br />

However, the government rejected the offer. HNLC claimed<br />

responsibility for an IED blast in Jhalupara, East Khasi Hills<br />

district, on November 12. The group repeatedly conducted<br />

strikes and road blockades regarding various political issues.<br />

twe<br />

INDIA (HINDUS MUSLIMS)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1947<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

Hindus, radical Hindu organizations<br />

vs. Muslims<br />

subnational predominance<br />

137

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