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ConflictBarometer_2015

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EUROPE<br />

MP Donika Kadaj-Bujupi was arrested. The issuance of arrest<br />

warrants for several other opposition politicians caused<br />

further protests the following day, whereby 13 protesters<br />

were detained. On November 28, the police arrested Kurti<br />

for setting off tear gas as well as twelve other Vetevendosje<br />

party members. On December 23, Kosovo's Constitutional<br />

Court ruled that parts of the agreement with Serbia were<br />

unconstitutional. iti<br />

SLOVENIA CROATIA (BORDER)<br />

Intensity: 1 | Change: | Start: 1991<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

Slovenia vs. Croatia<br />

territory<br />

The non-violent conflict between Slovenia and Croatia over<br />

their shared maritime and land border continued.<br />

After the dispute had been submitted to the Permanent Court<br />

of Arbitration (PCA) in November 2009, a decision was expected<br />

by <strong>2015</strong>. On July 22, a Slovenian representative at<br />

the PCA and an official of the Slovenian Ministry of Foreign<br />

Affairs were accused of collusions. Both resigned the next<br />

day. On July 29, the Croatian Parliament decided to withdraw<br />

from arbitration, although Slovenia deemed this act as illicit.<br />

The same day, the European Commission announced that<br />

the PCA would continue its work without Croatia, in spite of<br />

Croatia claiming the Commission's decision to be outside EC<br />

jurisdiction and refusing to recognize any future decisions of<br />

the PCA.<br />

On November 11, Slovenia began to erect a fence to curb<br />

migration flows at the demarcation of the Slovenian-Croatian<br />

border, respectively on areas Croatia considered its territory.<br />

Slovenia claimed the temporary fence was raised on its territory<br />

and did not violate the border, Croatia, however, urged<br />

the other side to take it down. Police forces gathered on<br />

either side of the fence. jra<br />

SPAIN (CATALAN NATIONALISTS / CATALONIA)<br />

Intensity: 1 | Change: | Start: 1979<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

CiU, UDC, CUP, Together for Yes (CDC,<br />

ERC, DC), Catalan regional government<br />

vs. government<br />

secession<br />

The dispute over secession between the Catalan regional<br />

government and the Spanish central government continued.<br />

On January 14, President of the Catalan government Artur<br />

Mas announced that early regional elections acting as a<br />

plebiscite on independence would be held on September<br />

27. Four days later, Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy<br />

denied the plebiscitary character of the Catalan elections.<br />

In a final ruling on February 25, the Spanish Constitutional<br />

Court (SCC) declared the November 2014 Catalan referendum<br />

on independence unconstitutional. On March 30, the<br />

pro-independence parties Convergence and Union (CiU), Republican<br />

Left of Catalonia (ERC), Association of Municipalities<br />

for Independence, and Omnium Cultural signed a preliminary<br />

agreement on independence. The document envisaged the<br />

region's independence before April 2017, given that the<br />

elections in September <strong>2015</strong> would be successful. However,<br />

Rajoy declared the document illegal the following day. On<br />

June 17, the Democratic Union of Catalonia (UDC) dissolved<br />

the CiU pact between Catalonia's two governing parties UDC<br />

and Democratic Convergence of Catalonia (CDC) due to a<br />

disagreement over Mas' plan for independence. On July<br />

15, CDC and ERC announced that they would run a unified<br />

slate of candidates for regional elections in September. By<br />

signing an election bill on August 3, Mas officially scheduled<br />

the regional elections for September 27. On September 11,<br />

the Catalan National Day, at least half a million Catalans<br />

demonstrated in the regional capital Barcelona supporting<br />

the region's independence. The day of the elections, the<br />

pro-independence coalition Together for Yes obtained the<br />

absolute majority of votes. On October 13 and 15, several<br />

thousand Catalans protested the outset of an investigation by<br />

Spanish prosecutors against Mas regarding the referendum<br />

process in November 2014. On October 27, Together for<br />

Yes and Popular Unity Candidacy (CUP) agreed on a draft<br />

resolution about independence. On November 11, the SCC<br />

suspended the Catalan Declaration starting the process to<br />

secede from spain and subsequently declared it unconstitutional<br />

on December 2.<br />

pha<br />

SPAIN UNITED KINGDOM (GIBRALTAR)<br />

Intensity: 2 | Change: | Start: 1954<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

The conflict over the territory of Gibraltar between Spain and<br />

the United Kingdom continued at a non-violent level. On<br />

February 12, Spanish Foreign Minister José García-Margallo<br />

announced plans to issue a 50 euro fee for every vehicle<br />

entering or exiting Gibraltar. Furthermore, he stated that in<br />

his opinion Gibraltar is a part of Spain since every citizen<br />

speaks Spanish. On May 31, Governor of Gibraltar Lieutenant<br />

General Sir James Dutton resigned over the tensions with<br />

Spain. On July 3, the British government accused a Spanish<br />

survey vessel of having entered British waters illegally.<br />

On August 3, Spanish State Secretary for Foreign Affairs Ignacio<br />

Ybáñez confirmed that Spain would like to re-establish a<br />

regional cooperation mechanism in Spain's Campo de Gibraltar<br />

region, Cádiz. On August 9, the British government accused<br />

Spanish police vessels and a customs helicopter of having<br />

entered Gibraltar's territorial waters and airspace illegally,<br />

calling the acts ''a clear violation of UK sovereignty.'' The<br />

Spanish Foreign Ministry denied the accusations and stated<br />

that the area was Spanish maritime territory. On August 25,<br />

Gibraltar stated that Spanish customs officers had fired in<br />

the direction of one of its fishing boats. On August 28, the<br />

British government accused Spain of a further provocation<br />

by permitting a Russian submarine to refuel in the Spanish<br />

Ceuta enclave. pih<br />

TURKEY ARMENIA<br />

Spain vs. United Kingdom<br />

territory<br />

Intensity: 1 | Change: | Start: 1991<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

Turkey vs. Armenia<br />

international power, other<br />

53

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