ConflictBarometer_2015
ConflictBarometer_2015
ConflictBarometer_2015
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EUROPE<br />
and setting up a tent camp in front of the parliament building.<br />
The next day, tens of thousands rallied in support of Gruevski<br />
in a counter-protest, organized by the ruling VMRO-DPMNE<br />
party, also establishing a camp. During the next weeks, opposition<br />
supporters continued their protests. After a series of<br />
EU-mediated talks, on July 15, the leaders of the four main<br />
parties agreed on the formation of an interim government<br />
under a new prime minister in January 2016, early elections<br />
to be held on April 24, and the appointment of new ministers<br />
from the ranks of the opposition. Opposition MPs returned to<br />
parliament after a 15-months boycott and a Special Prosecutor<br />
was appointed to investigate the wiretapping. On October<br />
7, hundreds of demonstrators rallied in Skopje against the<br />
proposal of the ruling parties to outlaw the publication of<br />
materials related to the surveillance scandal.<br />
Further social groups expressed their discontent over governmental<br />
policies and an alleged autocratic turn on several<br />
occasions, demanding the resignation of government<br />
members. For instance, university and high school students<br />
repeatedly protested against the government. After first<br />
protests in winter 2014, university students again rallied in<br />
Skopje, opposing the educational reform on January 14 and<br />
October 21. On February 11, over a thousand students occupied<br />
the University of Skopje, which lasted until February<br />
25. High school students staged rallies in the following two<br />
months, for instance on March 19, when hundreds gathered<br />
in Skopje and thousands in total in the towns of Tetovo,<br />
Resen, Kumanovo, Negotino, Bitola, and Struga. On April 23,<br />
approx. 10,000 university students and high school students<br />
protested in Skopje, demanding the resignation of Education<br />
Minister Abdilaqim Ademi. Journalists also rallied on several<br />
occasions throughout the year. On January 20, more than a<br />
thousand protesters rallied in Skopje over the conviction of<br />
reporter Tomislav Kezarovski. Several other smaller protests<br />
over alleged government attempts to limit media freedom<br />
took place in Skopje on January 16, March 30, and April 22.<br />
dve<br />
GEORGIA (ABKHAZIA)<br />
Intensity: 2 | Change: | Start: 1989<br />
Conflict parties:<br />
Conflict items:<br />
Abkhazian regional government vs.<br />
government<br />
secession<br />
The non-violent crisis over secession between the breakaway<br />
region Abkhazia and the central government continued.<br />
On February 4, Russia's President Vladimir Putin ratified<br />
the Treaty on Alliance and Strategic Partnership concluded<br />
with Abkhazia's de facto president Raul Khadjimba on<br />
11/24/2014. The agreement included, among other things,<br />
the creation of a common security and defense space. Khadjimba<br />
subsequently appointed former Russian general Anatoliy<br />
Khrulev as Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces<br />
of Abkhazia on May 18. The Abkhazian Parliament ratified an<br />
agreement on a combined Russian-Abkhazian army group on<br />
December 18. Georgia repeatedly condemned these steps<br />
as a violation of international law and a Russian attempt to<br />
annex Abkhazia [→ Russia Georgia]. Russian Armed Forces<br />
conducted joint military exercises in Abkhazia and South Ossetia<br />
on March 5 and again on September 8, involving 2,000<br />
soldiers and 700 soldiers, respectively [→ Georgia (South<br />
Ossetia)]. Georgia denounced this as unacceptable. Negotiations<br />
mediated by the EU, UN, OSCE, and the US between<br />
Georgia, Russia, Abkhazia, and South Ossetia began in March<br />
and continued throughout the year. Four rounds of talks were<br />
held in Geneva, Switzerland, bringing the total number of negotiation<br />
rounds to 34. However, no agreement was reached<br />
between the conflict parties concerning the restraint on the<br />
use of force, the regulation of IDPs, and the return of ethnic<br />
Georgian refugees to Abkhazia. lsu<br />
GEORGIA (OPPOSITION)<br />
Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 2007<br />
Conflict parties:<br />
Conflict items:<br />
UNM, various opposition groups vs.<br />
government<br />
national power<br />
The conflict over national power between various opposition<br />
groups, most prominently the United National Movement<br />
(UNM), and the government of the ruling party Georgian<br />
Dream (GD) escalated to a violent crisis.<br />
Throughout the year, opposition groups repeatedly demonstrated<br />
against the government. On March 12, members of<br />
the pro-UNM youth group Free Zone, demonstrating against<br />
the government's economic policy, and activists of the Free<br />
Generation movement, supporting GD, scuffled in front of<br />
the parliament in the capital Tbilisi. The police detained six<br />
Free Zone members. On March 15, UNM and GD supporters<br />
clashed in Zugdidi, Samegrelo-Zemo Svaneti region, using<br />
sticks, clubs, and stones, after GD activists had burst into the<br />
local UNM headquarters. At least six people were injured,<br />
among them one police officer. Tens of thousands followed<br />
UNM's call and demonstrated in Tbilisi on March 21, demanding<br />
the government to step down and accusing it of a failed<br />
economic policy and corruption. On October 2, Free Zone<br />
activists attacked a GD Member of Parliament in front of the<br />
parliament building in Kutaisi, Imereti region. Police detained<br />
three activists.<br />
In early August, the former co-owner of the leading oppositional<br />
and independent broadcaster Rustavi 2, Kibar<br />
Khalvashi, filed a lawsuit claiming that ex-president Mikhail<br />
Saakashvili of UNM had forced him to sell his shares of the<br />
company. UNM and other opposition parties comdemned the<br />
lawsuit as an attempt of GD government to seize control over<br />
the opposition government-critic broadcaster. On November<br />
3, the Tbilisi City Court ruled in favor of Khalvashi, however,<br />
the Constitutional Court issued an injunction against<br />
the implementation of the ruling until all possible appeals<br />
were exhausted. On November 5, the City Court ordered<br />
Rustavi 2 top management to be replaced by provisional<br />
administrators, but adjourned the implementation until the<br />
appeal was completed. The EU delegation, Tbilisi-based ambassadors<br />
from the EU-member states, the US, and the OSCE<br />
voiced their concerns over the case, stating it would raise<br />
''serious questions about the independence of the judiciary''<br />
and calling on the government to ensure media pluralism. jde<br />
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