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ConflictBarometer_2015

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EUROPE<br />

and setting up a tent camp in front of the parliament building.<br />

The next day, tens of thousands rallied in support of Gruevski<br />

in a counter-protest, organized by the ruling VMRO-DPMNE<br />

party, also establishing a camp. During the next weeks, opposition<br />

supporters continued their protests. After a series of<br />

EU-mediated talks, on July 15, the leaders of the four main<br />

parties agreed on the formation of an interim government<br />

under a new prime minister in January 2016, early elections<br />

to be held on April 24, and the appointment of new ministers<br />

from the ranks of the opposition. Opposition MPs returned to<br />

parliament after a 15-months boycott and a Special Prosecutor<br />

was appointed to investigate the wiretapping. On October<br />

7, hundreds of demonstrators rallied in Skopje against the<br />

proposal of the ruling parties to outlaw the publication of<br />

materials related to the surveillance scandal.<br />

Further social groups expressed their discontent over governmental<br />

policies and an alleged autocratic turn on several<br />

occasions, demanding the resignation of government<br />

members. For instance, university and high school students<br />

repeatedly protested against the government. After first<br />

protests in winter 2014, university students again rallied in<br />

Skopje, opposing the educational reform on January 14 and<br />

October 21. On February 11, over a thousand students occupied<br />

the University of Skopje, which lasted until February<br />

25. High school students staged rallies in the following two<br />

months, for instance on March 19, when hundreds gathered<br />

in Skopje and thousands in total in the towns of Tetovo,<br />

Resen, Kumanovo, Negotino, Bitola, and Struga. On April 23,<br />

approx. 10,000 university students and high school students<br />

protested in Skopje, demanding the resignation of Education<br />

Minister Abdilaqim Ademi. Journalists also rallied on several<br />

occasions throughout the year. On January 20, more than a<br />

thousand protesters rallied in Skopje over the conviction of<br />

reporter Tomislav Kezarovski. Several other smaller protests<br />

over alleged government attempts to limit media freedom<br />

took place in Skopje on January 16, March 30, and April 22.<br />

dve<br />

GEORGIA (ABKHAZIA)<br />

Intensity: 2 | Change: | Start: 1989<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

Abkhazian regional government vs.<br />

government<br />

secession<br />

The non-violent crisis over secession between the breakaway<br />

region Abkhazia and the central government continued.<br />

On February 4, Russia's President Vladimir Putin ratified<br />

the Treaty on Alliance and Strategic Partnership concluded<br />

with Abkhazia's de facto president Raul Khadjimba on<br />

11/24/2014. The agreement included, among other things,<br />

the creation of a common security and defense space. Khadjimba<br />

subsequently appointed former Russian general Anatoliy<br />

Khrulev as Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces<br />

of Abkhazia on May 18. The Abkhazian Parliament ratified an<br />

agreement on a combined Russian-Abkhazian army group on<br />

December 18. Georgia repeatedly condemned these steps<br />

as a violation of international law and a Russian attempt to<br />

annex Abkhazia [→ Russia Georgia]. Russian Armed Forces<br />

conducted joint military exercises in Abkhazia and South Ossetia<br />

on March 5 and again on September 8, involving 2,000<br />

soldiers and 700 soldiers, respectively [→ Georgia (South<br />

Ossetia)]. Georgia denounced this as unacceptable. Negotiations<br />

mediated by the EU, UN, OSCE, and the US between<br />

Georgia, Russia, Abkhazia, and South Ossetia began in March<br />

and continued throughout the year. Four rounds of talks were<br />

held in Geneva, Switzerland, bringing the total number of negotiation<br />

rounds to 34. However, no agreement was reached<br />

between the conflict parties concerning the restraint on the<br />

use of force, the regulation of IDPs, and the return of ethnic<br />

Georgian refugees to Abkhazia. lsu<br />

GEORGIA (OPPOSITION)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 2007<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

UNM, various opposition groups vs.<br />

government<br />

national power<br />

The conflict over national power between various opposition<br />

groups, most prominently the United National Movement<br />

(UNM), and the government of the ruling party Georgian<br />

Dream (GD) escalated to a violent crisis.<br />

Throughout the year, opposition groups repeatedly demonstrated<br />

against the government. On March 12, members of<br />

the pro-UNM youth group Free Zone, demonstrating against<br />

the government's economic policy, and activists of the Free<br />

Generation movement, supporting GD, scuffled in front of<br />

the parliament in the capital Tbilisi. The police detained six<br />

Free Zone members. On March 15, UNM and GD supporters<br />

clashed in Zugdidi, Samegrelo-Zemo Svaneti region, using<br />

sticks, clubs, and stones, after GD activists had burst into the<br />

local UNM headquarters. At least six people were injured,<br />

among them one police officer. Tens of thousands followed<br />

UNM's call and demonstrated in Tbilisi on March 21, demanding<br />

the government to step down and accusing it of a failed<br />

economic policy and corruption. On October 2, Free Zone<br />

activists attacked a GD Member of Parliament in front of the<br />

parliament building in Kutaisi, Imereti region. Police detained<br />

three activists.<br />

In early August, the former co-owner of the leading oppositional<br />

and independent broadcaster Rustavi 2, Kibar<br />

Khalvashi, filed a lawsuit claiming that ex-president Mikhail<br />

Saakashvili of UNM had forced him to sell his shares of the<br />

company. UNM and other opposition parties comdemned the<br />

lawsuit as an attempt of GD government to seize control over<br />

the opposition government-critic broadcaster. On November<br />

3, the Tbilisi City Court ruled in favor of Khalvashi, however,<br />

the Constitutional Court issued an injunction against<br />

the implementation of the ruling until all possible appeals<br />

were exhausted. On November 5, the City Court ordered<br />

Rustavi 2 top management to be replaced by provisional<br />

administrators, but adjourned the implementation until the<br />

appeal was completed. The EU delegation, Tbilisi-based ambassadors<br />

from the EU-member states, the US, and the OSCE<br />

voiced their concerns over the case, stating it would raise<br />

''serious questions about the independence of the judiciary''<br />

and calling on the government to ensure media pluralism. jde<br />

48

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