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Erste Bank JPMorgan Merrill Lynch International

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Business risks<br />

The Vienna Insurance Group calculates its underwriting reserves using recognised actuarial<br />

methods and assumptions. These assumptions include estimates of the long-term interest rate trend,<br />

returns on capital investments, the allocation of capital investments between equities, interest rate<br />

instruments and other categories, net income participations, mortality and morbidity rates, cancellation<br />

rates and future costs. The Group monitors actual experience relating to these assumptions and<br />

adjusts its long-term assumptions where changes of a long-term nature occur.<br />

Guaranteed minimum interest rates<br />

The Vienna Insurance Group also has a considerable portfolio of policies with guaranteed<br />

minimum interest rates, including annuity and endowment insurance. On existing policies, Wiener<br />

Städtische guarantees a minimum interest rate averaging just over 3% p.a. If interest rates fall below<br />

the guaranteed average minimum rate for any length of time, the Vienna Insurance Group could find<br />

itself forced to use its equity to subsidise reserves for these products.<br />

Loss reserves<br />

In accordance with normal industry practice and accounting and supervisory requirements,<br />

Vienna Insurance Group and the individual Group companies work together with the Group actuarial<br />

department to independently form reserves for claims and claims handling expenses arising from<br />

property and casualty insurance business. The reserves are based on estimates of the payments that<br />

will be made for these claims and related claims handling expenses. These estimates are made both<br />

on a case by case basis in the light of the facts and circumstances available at the time the reserves<br />

are formed, as well as for losses that have already occurred but which have not yet been reported to<br />

Wiener Städtische (“IBNR”). These reserves represent the expected costs required for final settlement<br />

of all known pending claims and IBNR losses.<br />

Loss reserves, including IBNR reserves, may vary depending on a number of variables that affect<br />

the total costs of a claim, such as changes in the statutory framework, the outcome of court cases,<br />

changes in processing costs, repair costs, loss frequency, claim size and other factors such as<br />

inflation and interest rates.<br />

Interest rate fluctuations<br />

The Vienna Insurance Group is exposed to market risk, that is, the risk of suffering losses as a<br />

result of changes to market parameters. For the Vienna Insurance Group, interest rates are the most<br />

relevant parameters for market risk. Ignoring investments held for the account of and at the risk of<br />

policyholders, the Vienna Insurance Group’s investments consist largely of fixed-interest securities.<br />

The majority of these securities are denominated in Euro. As a result, interest rate fluctuations in the<br />

Euro zone have a significant effect on the value of these financial assets.<br />

Stock price risk<br />

The Vienna Insurance Group has an equity portfolio which, even including shares held in funds,<br />

constitutes less than 11% of investments. Among other things, the Vienna Insurance Group equity<br />

investments include interests in a number of Austrian companies and positions in other companies<br />

whose shares trade primarily on the Vienna Stock Exchange or stock exchanges in the Central and<br />

Eastern European region. Reported values might have to be adjusted if stock markets fall.<br />

Aspects of tax law that affect the income situation<br />

Tax law changes could reduce the attractiveness of certain Vienna Insurance Group products that<br />

currently enjoy tax advantages. The introduction of laws reducing the tax advantages for the Group’s<br />

old-age retirement products or other life insurance products could considerably reduce the attractiveness<br />

of old-age retirement products and other life insurance policies.<br />

Developments in Central and Eastern Europe<br />

The expansion and development of business operations in the countries of Central and Eastern<br />

Europe that are not yet EU member states is a key element of the Vienna Insurance Group’s strategy.<br />

The Vienna Insurance Group’s goal is to have an even stronger presence in these target markets.<br />

F-105

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