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Erste Bank JPMorgan Merrill Lynch International

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The shareholder margin is calculated taking into account surpluses from all available income<br />

sources, with the profit participation regulation promulgated on 20 October 2006 being taken into<br />

account in the life insurance class for Austria. For the other sectors and markets, the amount of profit<br />

sharing assumed is based on local practice and the regulatory rules in each instance.<br />

The projections of future profits are based on realistic assumptions for investment income,<br />

inflation, costs, taxes, cancellations, mortality, illness and other key figures, such as changes in<br />

health-care costs and future premium increases.<br />

The interest rate curve used depends on an assessment of the risks associated with the<br />

realisation of future profits. In order to be able to make a statement on the impact of alternative<br />

interest rate curves, the Embedded Value as of 31 December 2006 and the increase in value resulting<br />

from new business in 2006 were calculated using an interest rate curve alternately increased and<br />

decreased by 1%. The sensitivities are shown in the table below:<br />

Sensitivities of the European Embedded Value of the life<br />

insurance and health insurance as of 31 December 2006<br />

Change in % of<br />

the base value<br />

European Embedded Value, Austria<br />

Decrease in level of equity and property values �10%......................... �3.8%<br />

Interest rate curve shift +1% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . �1.0%<br />

Interest rate curve shift �1% ............................................ �4.1%<br />

Maintenance expenses +10% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . �2.2%<br />

Maintenance expenses �10% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2%<br />

Lapse rate improvement 10% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.6%<br />

Lapse rate deterioration 10% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . �0.6%<br />

Improvement in mortality and morbidity rates for assurances +5% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.2%<br />

Improvement in mortality, rates for annuities +5% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . �0.1%<br />

Value of new business, Austria<br />

Interest rate curve shift +1% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.7%<br />

Interest rate curve shift �1% ............................................ �15.5%<br />

Maintenance expenses +10% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . �7.5%<br />

Maintenance expenses �10% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.5%<br />

Lapse rate improvement 10% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.9%<br />

Lapse rate deterioration 10% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . �3.9%<br />

Improvement in mortality and morbidity rates for assurances +5% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.6%<br />

Improvement in mortality, rates for annuities +5% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . �0.2%<br />

Property and casualty insurance provisions<br />

General information<br />

If claims are asserted by or against policyholders, all amounts that a company in the Vienna<br />

Insurance Group’s property and casualty segment pays or expects to have to pay to the claimant are<br />

referred to as losses and the costs of investigating, adjusting and processing these insurance claims<br />

are referred to as “claims handling expenses”. Within the framework of its property and casualty<br />

insurance policies, Vienna Insurance Group has formed provisions according to segment, extent of<br />

cover and year for each Group company to pay for losses and claims handling expenses due to<br />

insurance claims.<br />

Losses and claims handling expenses can be divided into two categories: provisions for known<br />

but not yet processed insurance claims and provisions for insurance claims that have occurred but<br />

have not yet been reported (“IBNR”). Provisions for insurance claims that still have to be processed<br />

are based on estimates of future payments, including the claims handling expenses of these insurance<br />

claims. These estimates are made on individual bases, according to recognisable facts and circumstances<br />

at the time the provision is made. The estimates reflect the well founded judgement of the<br />

Group adjusters based on general practices for forming insurance provisions and knowledge of the<br />

nature and value of each type of claim. These provisions are adjusted regularly during normal<br />

processing and represent the expected eventual costs necessary to finally settle all pending reported<br />

insurance claims, taking into account inflation and other company and economic factors that could<br />

affect the amount of provisions that are required.<br />

F-114

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