final_program_abstracts[1]

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11 IMSC Session Program 16:15 – 16:45 Coffee Break - Pentland 14:45 – 17:52 Part 3 - Session 3 - St Trinneann (15 minutes talk + 3 minutes discussion) International Centre for Mathematical Sciences Special Session: Reconstructing and understanding climate over the Holocene (Gabi Hegerl, Jonathan Rougier, Juerg Luterbacher) Chair: Gabi Hegerl 14:45 – 15:03 Caitlin Buck - Changing the focus: Studying uncertainty in palaeoclimate reconstruction 15:03 – 15:21 Andrew C. Parnell and John Haslett - The use of chronologies in Holocene palaeoclimate reconstruction 15:21 – 15:39 Christian Schoelzel and Eugene Wahl - Probabilistic model for palaeo temperature reconstructions based on pollen ratios 15:39 – 15:57 Susan E. Tolwinski-Ward, Michael N. Evans, Malcolm K. Hughes and Kevin J. Anchukaitis - Mechanistic modeling of proxy data for Bayesian climate reconstructions 15:57 – 16:15 Vincent Garreta and Joël Guiot - Process-based reconstruction of palaeoclimate from pollen data 16:15 – 16:45 Coffee Break - Pentland Chair: Juerg Luterbacher 16:45 – 17:03 Ailie Gallant, Joelle Gergis and Karl Braganza - Quantifying uncertainties associated with calibrating proxy data against instrumental records – an ensemble approach 17:03 – 17:21 Thomas Crowley - An unforced decadal-scale oscillation in the 1400s 17:21 – 17:39 Frank Kwasniok and Gerrit Lohmann - Deriving dynamical models of glacial millennial-scale climate variability from icecore records: parameter estimation, model performance and model selection 16:45 – 18:00 Part 4 - Session 5 - Kirkland Predictions of climate change relevant for impacts (Xuebin Zhang, Bruce Hewitson) Chair: Xuebin Zhang 16:45 – 17:00 Bryson C. Bates, Richard E. Chandler, Stephen P. Charles and Edward P. Campbell - Assessment of apparent non-stationarity in time series of annual inflow, daily precipitation and atmospheric circulation indices: A case study from Southwest Western Australia 17:00 – 17:15 Juan Feng, Jianping Li and Yun Li - A new monsoon-like Southwest Australian circulation index explains rainfall decline in Southwest Western Australia Monday, July 12, 2010 5
11 IMSC Session Program 17:15 – 17:30 Wenju Cai and Tim Cowan - Using CMIP3 multi-models simulations to understand the relationship between large-scale climate drivers 17:30 – 17:45 Daniel Mitchell - Extreme variability of the stratospheric polar vortex 17:45 – 18:00 Tim Cowan and Wenju Cai - Recent unprecedented skewness towards more positive Indian Ocean Dipole occurrences and its impact on regional climate Evening Sponsored dinner for Session 3 ICMS only Monday, July 12, 2010 6
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11 IMSC Session Program Gridding of
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11 IMSC Session Program Reconstruct
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11 IMSC Session Program A new algor
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11 IMSC Session Program Assessing c
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11 IMSC Session Program Changing th
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11 IMSC Session Program Mechanistic
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11 IMSC Session Program Deriving dy
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11 IMSC Session Program Bridging th
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11 IMSC Session Program Climate cha
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11 IMSC Session Program The Variati
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11 IMSC Session Program Calibrating
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11 IMSC Session Program Analysis of
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11 IMSC Session Program Statistical
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11 IMSC Session Program The survey
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11 IMSC Session Program Detecting s
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11 IMSC Session Program Measure-cor
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11 IMSC Session Program Trend evalu
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11 IMSC Session Program Methodologi
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11 IMSC Session Program Trends in d
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11 IMSC Session Program Assimilatio
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11 IMSC Session Program Non-linear
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11 IMSC Session Program What can we
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11 IMSC Session Program Constructin
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11 IMSC Session Program An intercom
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11 IMSC Session Program Historical
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11 IMSC Session Program Variance-pr
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11 IMSC Session Program A Bayesian
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11 IMSC Session Program CORDEX: Dev
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11 IMSC Session Program Downscaling
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11 IMSC Session Program Constructin
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11 IMSC Session Program A functiona
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11 IMSC Session Program Constructio
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11 IMSC Session Program Intercompar
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11 IMSC Session Program Detecting a
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11 IMSC Session Program A change po
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11 IMSC Session Program Comparison
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11 IMSC Session Program When is a m
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11 IMSC Session Program Objective a
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11 IMSC Session Program Weighting o
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11 IMSC Session Program Are current
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11 IMSC Session Program Uncertainty
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11 IMSC Session Program The metaver
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11 IMSC Session Program A comparati
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11 IMSC Session Program Designing e
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11 IMSC Session Program Multi-model
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11 IMSC Session Program Using a per
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11 IMSC Session Program Present-day
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11 IMSC Session Program Model evalu
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11 IMSC Session Program How can RCM
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11 IMSC Session Program On the stat
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11 IMSC Session Program The limited
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11 IMSC Session Program Prediction
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11 IMSC Session Program Implication
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11 IMSC Session Program Bottom-up v
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11 IMSC Session Program Attributing
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11 IMSC Session Program Anthropogen
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11 IMSC Session Program An analysis
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11 IMSC Session Program Estimating
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11 IMSC Session Program Regression
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