final_program_abstracts[1]

11 IMSC Session Program
Parallel Session (3 parts)
15:00 - 18:00 Part 1 - Session 7 - South Hall
Extreme events and event attribution (Matilde Rusticucci, Peter Stott, Doug
Nychka)
Chair: Peter Stott
15:00 - 15:15 G. Nikulin, E. Kjellström, U. Hansson, G. Strandberg and A.
Ullerstig - European weather extremes in an ensemble of
regional climate simulations
15:15 - 15:30 Mark Palmer and Carmen Chan - Spatial-temporal modelling
of extreme rainfall
15:30 - 15:45 Jan Picek, Martin Schindler and Jan Kyselý - Regression
quantiles methodology for choosing the optimal threshold of
the ‘peak- over- threshold’ method in climate change
simulations
15:45 - 16:00 L. Speight, J. Hall, C. Kilsby and P. Kershaw - An application
based approach to modelling the spatial dependencies of
extreme flood risk
16:00 - 16:15 David B. Stephenson, Chun K. Ho, Mat Collins, Chris Ferro
and Simon Brown - Calibration strategies for inferring future
changes in extreme events from climate simulations
16:30 - 17:00 - Coffee Break - Pentland
Chair: Peter Stott
17:00 - 17:15 Blair Trewin - New indices for monitoring changes in
heatwaves and extended cold spells
17:15 - 17:30 Michael Wehner - Sources of uncertainty in the extreme value
statistics of climate data
17:30 - 17:45 Dörte Jakob, David Karoly and Alan Seed presented by David
Karoly - Recent changes in sub-hourly and daily intense
rainfall events in South-East Australia
17:45 - 18:00 Daithi Stone, Chris Lennard and Mark Tadross - An
operational weather risk attribution system for Africa
15:00 - 18:00 Part 2 - Session 6 - Kirkland
Using observations to constrain and verify climate predictions (Francis Zwiers,
Nathan Gillett, Peter Guttorp)
Chair: Peter Guttorp
15:00 - 15:15 David Karoly, Frank Drost and Karl Braganza -
15:15 - 15:30
Communicating global climate change using simple indices
Michael Beenstock and Yaniv Reingewertz - Polynomial
cointegration tests of the anthropogenic theory of global
warming
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