final_program_abstracts[1]

11 IMSC Session Program
Wednesday, July 14, 2010
Plenary Session
08:30 – 10:30 Session 10 - South Hall
Long term memory (Peter Guttorp and Peter Craigmile)
Chair: David Hirst
08:30 – 09:00 Peter F. Craigmile - The analysis of long memory climate
series
09:00 – 09:30 Armin Bunde, Sabine Lennartz and Mikhail Bogachev - Linear
and non linear persistence in climate and its effect on the
extremes
09:30 – 10:00 Demetris Koutsoyiannis - Memory in climate and things not to
be forgotten
10:00 – 10:30 Peter Guttorp - Discussion
10:30 – 11:00 Coffee Break - Pentland
11:00 – 12:30 Session 5 - South Hall
Predictions of climate change relevant for impacts (Xuebin Zhang, Bruce
Hewitson)
Chair: Xuebin Zhang
11:00 – 11:30 Dan Cooley - A comparison study of extreme precipitation
from six regional climate models via spatial hierarchical
modeling
11:30 – 12:00 B. Hewitson, W. Gutowski and R. Crane - Blending analyses
for building robust regional predictions
12:00 – 12:15 Nicola Ranger, Falk Niehoerester and Leonard A. Smith -
Understanding the relevance of climate model simulations to
informing policy: An example of the application of MAGICC
to greenhouse gas mitigation policy (15 minutes)
12:15 – 12:30 L. DeWayne Cecil, Alex C. Ruane, Radley M. Horton, Cynthia
Rosenzweig, Peter A. Parker, Brian D. Killough, Ray
McCollum and Doug Brown - Expressing uncertainty in
climate analysis – A pilot of climate impacts on Panamanian
Maize (15 minutes)
12:30 – 13:30 Lunch
Parallel Session (3 parts)
13:30 – 16:45 Part 1 - Session 5b - South Hall
Statistical models for analysis of circulation (Xuebin Zhang, Bruce Hewitson)
Chair: Bruce Hewitson
Wednesday, July 14, 2010 13