final_program_abstracts[1]

11 IMSC Session Program
Evaluation and uncertainty estimation from multimodel and perturbed physics
ensembles (Reto Knutti)
1. Susanne Brienen, Barbara Früh and Andreas Walter - Evaluation of highresolution
regional climate simulations for the use in climate impact studies
2. Richard E. Chandler, Stephen P. Charles and Bryson C. Bates - Water
resources in south-west Western Australia: model uncertainty in climate
change adaption
3. M. Dubrovsky - Stochastic climate change scenario generator for use in
probabilistic climate change impact assessments
4. Alexis Hannart - The spread and skewness of climate sensitivity: revisiting
some commonplace assumptions
5. Jara Imbers and Ana Lopez - Climate model evaluation and models of natural
variability
6. A. Lopez, Milena C. Cuellar, Gil Lizcano and Mark New - Analysis of long
term persistence in a perturbed physical ensemble
7. Gamil Gamal - Future climate in tropical Africa
8. Lindsay Collins, Ken Carslaw, Graham Mann and Dominick Spracklen -
Towards an improved understanding of aerosol effects on the climate
Poster Session 6 - Pentland
Using observations to constrain and verify climate predictions (Francis Zwiers,
Nathan Gillett, Peter Guttorp)
1. Monika Cahynová and Radan Huth - Links between atmospheric circulation
and recent climatic variability and trends in Europe – A comparative approach
using the COST733 classifications database
2. A. M. Chiodi and D. E. Harrison - Trends in ENSO and tropical Pacific
surface winds and SST
3. Cathrine Fox Maule and Peter Thejll - The Palmer Drought Severity Index
considered in Europe with an ensemble of models - present day, and future
expectations
4. J.A. Freund, S. Mieruch, S. Noël, H. Bovensmann and J.P. Burrows - Climate
change detected through a Markov chain analysis – an application to the
Iberian Peninsula
5. Fernando Sebastião and Irene Oliveria - Independent component analysis for
extended time series in climate data
6. Milan Paluš and Dagmar Novotná - Shift of seasons at the European midlatitudes:
Natural fluctuations correlated with the North Atlantic oscillation
7. Nipa Phojanamongkolkij, Marty Mlynczak and Xu Liu - Sensitivity of
measurement uncertainty to the detection of climate feedbacks
8. Kory Priestley and G. Louis Smith - Implications of systematic and random
errors on observational capability for the Earth radiation budget climate data
record
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