final_program_abstracts[1]

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11 IMSC Session Program 14. Jana Pechková, Petr Štěpánek, Jiří Mikšovský and Ladislav Metelka - Statistical correction of daily precipitation from RCM in the Czech Republic and results for precipitation indices 15. Eva Plavcová and Jan Kyselý - Evaluating links between indices of atmospheric circulation and surface air temperature in control climate model simulations 16. Felix Pollinger and Heiko Paeth - Enhanced evidence in climate models for changes in extratropical atmospheric circulation 17. Jacqueline Potts and Claus Dieter-Mayer - Assessing the similarity between time series of two meteorological fields using the RV coefficient 18. Radan Huth, Jiří Mikšovský, Petr Štěpánek, Zuzana Chládová and Lucie Pokorná - A comparative extended validation of statistical downscaling and regional climate models 19. Richard E. Chandler, Stephen P. Charles and Bryson C. Bates - Water resources in South-west Western Australia: model uncertainty in climate change adaption 20. F.Taghavi and A.Neyestani - Wavelet and spectral analysis of precipitation variability over Iran 21. Yun Li and Ian Smith - A statistical downscaling model for Southern Australia winter rainfall 22. Anton Ye. Shadursky and Vladimir A. Lobanov - Understanding recent climate change in key regions of Russia 24. Oleg M. Pokrovsky - Impact of SST slow oscillations in North Atlantic and North Pacific on trends in global surface air temperature and Arctic ice extent for last 150 years 25. Hofstatter Michael, Matulla Christoph and Wang Jiafeng - Scenarios of daily extreme precipitation under climate change 26. Heikki Haario, Erkki Oja, Alexander Ilin, Heikki Järvinen and Johanna Tamminen - Novel advanced mathematical and statistical methods for understanding climate (NOVAC) Poster Session 11 - Pentland Forecast Verification (David Stephenson, Ian Jolliffe) 1. Raymond W. Arritt for the MRED Team - Skill in large ensembles of downscaled seasonal forecasts 2. Elisabeth Orskaug, Ola Haug, Ida Scheel and Arnoldo Frigessi - A validation suite for downscaled climate model data 3. Theodoros Mavromatis and Ioannis Pytharoulis - Evaluating the skill in predicting crop yield using an ensemble climate forecast by a regional climate model Evening Royal Society meeting on Holocene Wednesday, July 14, 2010 17
11 IMSC Session Program Thursday, July 15, 2010 Plenary Session 08:30 - 10:30 Session 1 - South Hall Ensemble techniques: design (Richard Chandler, Marian Scott) Chair: Richard Chandler 08:30 – 09:00 Reto Knutti - The CMIP multi model ensemble and IPCC: lessons learned and questions arising 09:00 – 09:30 Paul Northrop - Using statistics to assess climate uncertainty 09:30 – 10:00 Peter Challenor - Designing ensembles for climate prediction 10:00 – 10:30 Steve Sain - NARCCAP: Design and analysis of a regional climate model experiment 10:30 - 10:50 Coffee Break - Pentland 10:50 - 12:30 Session 2 - South Hall (25 minutes invited talk each) Evaluation and uncertainty estimation from multimodel and perturbed physics ensembles (Reto Knutti) Chair: Reto Knutti 10:50 – 11:15 Andreas P. Weigel - Multi-model combination on seasonal and multi-decadal time-scales 11:15 – 11:40 Alex Hall - A strategy to improve projections of Arctic climate change 11:40 – 12:05 David Sexton, Ben Booth, Mat Collins, Glen Harris and James Murphy - Using a perturbed physics ensemble to make probabilistic climate projections for the UK 12:05 – 12:30 Ben Sanderson - Perturbed physics and multimodel ensembles: How can we use them together to constrain future climate response? 12:30 - 13:30 Lunch Parallel Session (4 parts) 13:30 - 16:30 Part 1 - Session 2 - Kirkland Evaluation and uncertainty estimation from multimodel and perturbed physics ensembles (Reto Knutti) Chair: Steve Sain 13:30 – 13:45 Simon C. Scherrer - Present-day interannual variability of surface climate in CMIP3 models and its relation to the amplitude of future warming Thursday, July 15, 2010 18
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11 IMSC Session Program The Variati
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11 IMSC Session Program Calibrating
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11 IMSC Session Program Analysis of
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11 IMSC Session Program Statistical
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11 IMSC Session Program No title pr
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11 IMSC Session Program The survey
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11 IMSC Session Program Detecting s
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11 IMSC Session Program Measure-cor
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11 IMSC Session Program Trend evalu
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11 IMSC Session Program Methodologi
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11 IMSC Session Program Trends in d
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11 IMSC Session Program Assimilatio
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11 IMSC Session Program - monthly a
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11 IMSC Session Program Non-linear
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11 IMSC Session Program What can we
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11 IMSC Session Program Constructin
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11 IMSC Session Program An intercom
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11 IMSC Session Program Historical
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11 IMSC Session Program Variance-pr
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11 IMSC Session Program A Bayesian
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11 IMSC Session Program CORDEX: Dev
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11 IMSC Session Program Downscaling
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11 IMSC Session Program Constructin
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11 IMSC Session Program A functiona
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11 IMSC Session Program Constructio
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11 IMSC Session Program Intercompar
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11 IMSC Session Program Detecting a
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11 IMSC Session Program New techniq
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11 IMSC Session Program New develop
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11 IMSC Session Program A change po
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11 IMSC Session Program The analysi
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11 IMSC Session Program Blending an
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11 IMSC Session Program Impact of c
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11 IMSC Session Program Comparison
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11 IMSC Session Program When is a m
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11 IMSC Session Program Objective a
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11 IMSC Session Program Weighting o
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11 IMSC Session Program Are current
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11 IMSC Session Program Uncertainty
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11 IMSC Session Program Verifying e
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11 IMSC Session Program The metaver
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11 IMSC Session Program An intercom
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11 IMSC Session Program Use of hidd
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11 IMSC Session Program Intermitten
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11 IMSC Session Program Enhanced ev
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11 IMSC Session Program A comparati
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11 IMSC Session Program Wavelet and
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11 IMSC Session Program Understandi
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11 IMSC Session Program curve signa
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11 IMSC Session Program Novel advan
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11 IMSC Session Program Skill in la
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11 IMSC Session Program Evaluating
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11 IMSC Session Program for each mo
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11 IMSC Session Program Designing e
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11 IMSC Session Program Multi-model
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11 IMSC Session Program Using a per
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11 IMSC Session Program Present-day
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11 IMSC Session Program Model evalu
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11 IMSC Session Program Constrainin
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11 IMSC Session Program Forecast en
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11 IMSC Session Program How can RCM
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11 IMSC Session Program Extreme var
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11 IMSC Session Program Extreme val
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11 IMSC Session Program Detecting c
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11 IMSC Session Program Subsampling
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11 IMSC Session Program Predicting
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11 IMSC Session Program Detection o
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11 IMSC Session Program On the stat
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11 IMSC Session Program A relaxes B
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11 IMSC Session Program The limited
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11 IMSC Session Program Prediction
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11 IMSC Session Program Towards sys
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11 IMSC Session Program The MVL dia
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11 IMSC Session Program SVD on ICE
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11 IMSC Session Program Crossing cr
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11 IMSC Session Program Water resou
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11 IMSC Session Program The spread
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11 IMSC Session Program Towards an
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11 IMSC Session Program Trends in E
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11 IMSC Session Program Climate cha
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11 IMSC Session Program Shift of se
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11 IMSC Session Program Implication
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11 IMSC Session Program Bottom-up v
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11 IMSC Session Program Attributing
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11 IMSC Session Program Monitoring
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11 IMSC Session Program Anthropogen
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11 IMSC Session Program Variability
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11 IMSC Session Program Spatial pat
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11 IMSC Session Program An analysis
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11 IMSC Session Program Changes on
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11 IMSC Session Program Can gridded
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11 IMSC Session Program Estimating
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11 IMSC Session Program The limits
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11 IMSC Session Program Variability
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11 IMSC Session Program Modelling e
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11 IMSC Session Program Regression
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11 IMSC Session Program 3 Keef, C.,
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11 IMSC Session Program New indices
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11 IMSC Session Program Sources of
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11 IMSC Session Program sites in th
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11 IMSC Session Program Communicati
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11 IMSC Session Program Detection a
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11 IMSC Session Program Comparing t
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11 IMSC Session Program Spatial cha
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11 IMSC Session Program Ocean heat
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11 IMSC Session Program Observation
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11 IMSC Session Program Multi-model
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