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Namibia PDNA 2009 - GFDRR

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Table 92: Estimation 61 on number of people in need of assistance to cover food needs<br />

Province<br />

Average agriculture<br />

production ‘000<br />

tonnes<br />

Number<br />

of food<br />

insecure<br />

people<br />

Total<br />

population<br />

% food insecure people /<br />

total population<br />

Caprivi 9,446 25,952 79,852 32.50<br />

Kavango 7,460 13,071 201,093 6.50<br />

Ohangwena 19,808 36,436 227,728 16.00<br />

Omusati 19,470 36,615 228,842 16.00<br />

Oshana 8,442 25,907 161,916 16.00<br />

Oshikoto 16,455 25,726 160,788 16.00<br />

Total 163,707 1,060,219 15.44<br />

Source: World Food Programme<br />

Reduced household food availability<br />

The floods have washed away the stocks of sorghum and<br />

mahangu stored from previous and the <strong>2009</strong> harvests. The<br />

remaining stocks at the household level are not expected to<br />

last beyond September.<br />

Losses of mahangu stocks have reduced food availability and<br />

have affected both urban and rural vulnerable households. The<br />

rural households are forced to purchase their staple cereal,<br />

shifting to consume maize meal as mahangu is less available in<br />

the markets of the flood affected areas.<br />

While maize meal is a commodity available in all areas,<br />

mahangu is only available in markets in the main urban centres.<br />

Vulnerable households in urban areas that traditionally relied<br />

on the mahangu transfers from relatives in rural areas will<br />

have to increase their expenses for purchasing basic food<br />

commodities.<br />

The main harvest next year might also be affected due to<br />

the reduction in seeds, as it is likely that the most vulnerable<br />

households might consume the part of the production for<br />

seeds, and at the same time, the household annual budget to<br />

purchase seeds might be used to obtain food commodities.<br />

Without external assistance, long-term reduction in household<br />

food availability is forecasted in the area.<br />

Fishing had increased in the area due to the flooding with<br />

more fish available in the oshanas, becoming an alternative<br />

livelihood for some affected people and increasing the protein<br />

availability. The fish is dried and sold in the local markets. After<br />

the flooding period, with the recession in the water levels, the<br />

fish availability has returned to pre-floods levels.<br />

Reduced Food access<br />

Damage in the open market infrastructure and roads occurred<br />

in some flooded areas limiting temporarily physical access<br />

to food purchases. While the market infrastructure was not<br />

severely affected, the functioning of the markets was temporarily<br />

interrupted, impacting the local economies. During the time of<br />

the assessment, the recession of waters had already allowed<br />

the normal access to markets.<br />

The general increase of food and fuel prices at national level<br />

had also added pressure on the most vulnerable segments of<br />

the population in the flooded areas. In order to mitigate the<br />

effect of the price increases, a task force under the Office of the<br />

Prime Minister was created in 2008,lifted15 VAT ofsome basic<br />

food commodities, namely beans, bread, cake flour, cooking oil<br />

and fat, and more recently also for milk and sugar.<br />

The rapid increase of food prices during 2008 experienced<br />

a recession in <strong>2009</strong>, which can be attributed to a reduction<br />

on the global DDRMand on basic food commodities and the<br />

Government measures.<br />

As a direct consequence of the floods, there was a seasonal<br />

increase of food prices by 37 percent due to higher<br />

transportation costs, which were reported to increase by 75<br />

percent in the flooded areas due to the damage on roads and<br />

bridges and the increased cost of fuel.<br />

At the time of the assessment, the prices of basic food<br />

commodities, vegetable oil, pulses and maize meal were stable<br />

at the pre – flood levels. While further fluctuation on the prices<br />

can be expected as a consequence of the low harvest and<br />

high DDRM, Government actions related to tax control and<br />

support of the local maize production can play an important<br />

role in maintaining low prices.<br />

61 The estimation is done with the data compiled during the field work and the data available in the assessment: Directorate of Disaster Risk<br />

Management - Emergency Food Security Assessment Directorate of Disaster Risk Management (May-June 2008). An assessment of the<br />

impact of the flood and other natural disasters on food security of rural households in areas of Northern <strong>Namibia</strong> May-June 2008.<br />

121

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