Namibia PDNA 2009 - GFDRR

6.5
The way forward
The medium and long-term activities proposed by PDNA does not constitute a recovery and reconstruction plan per se, which would
require further analytical work and programme preparation work to refine sectoral needs and priorities, elaborate implementation
arrangements and complete and refine estimates of costs.
Moreover, the long-term activities proposed by the PDNA and aiming at building differently and improving reliable access to agricultural
water have to be coherent with the Namibia’s Vision 2030 where economic growth, poverty and income inequalities reduction and
living standards improvement of its people reach the level of a developed country by 2030.
Vision 2030 is to be realized through a series of National Development Plans. The third National Development Plan for 2007-2011 is
currently under implementation. The total investment required to implement NDP3 is N$76.3 billion (US$9.4 billion) if the country
wants to achieve 5 percent growth and is N$94.6 billion (US$11.6 billion) if the country wants to achieve 6.5 percent of growth.
The proposed investments in the housing, transport (including access to social services), water and sanitation and agriculture sectors
are in line with the investments proposed in NDP3. However, roads and agriculture 14 investment are already included in it but housing
and water and sanitation, not really: there are housing and water and sanitation sub- programmes in NDP3 but they are not designed
to flood proof housing and canals or relocate people. Therefore, the indicative investments that are proposed in the PDNA Phase 3,
which represent about 4 to 5 percent of the cost of NDP3, depending on the growth scenario that is targeted, will only increase the
cost of NDP3 of about 1 to 2 percent.
Nevertheless, the investment proposed in PDNA Phase 3 represents a significant change in the objective of NDP3 as they are
introducing climate resilience in a growth strategy.
The development of the four components of a long-term climate resilient reconstruction programme should be discussed separately
at a round table of development partners that could be interested at financing adaptation to climate change programme in northern
Namibia.
14 The NDP3 proposes 10,000 hectares of large-scale irrigation (the Green Scheme). PDNA proposes the same amount of hectares but smallscale,
multi-purpose reservoirs.
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Namibia POST-DISASTER NEEDS ASSESSMENT