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Analytic Culture in the U.S. Intelligence Community (PDF) - CIA

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CHAPTER ELEVEN<br />

Q-Sort Methodology<br />

Observations always <strong>in</strong>volve <strong>the</strong>ory.<br />

Edw<strong>in</strong> Hubble 1<br />

As described earlier, this work reflects triangulation of <strong>the</strong> data derived<br />

from <strong>the</strong> literature Q-sort, <strong>in</strong>terview responses, and observations. 2 The data<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude 489 <strong>in</strong>terviews, direct and participant observation of 325 analysts perform<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir jobs, participation <strong>in</strong> a variety of analytic tasks, and focus<br />

groups conducted to generate <strong>the</strong> taxonomy of variables that guided this study.<br />

The first Q-sort of <strong>the</strong> data was aggregated accord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> function of<br />

each <strong>in</strong>telligence organization, as listed <strong>in</strong> Table 1. The data were <strong>the</strong>n analyzed<br />

to determ<strong>in</strong>e response context accord<strong>in</strong>g to job type and to develop variable<br />

categories.<br />

The organizational Q-sort generated <strong>the</strong> broad variable group<strong>in</strong>gs used to<br />

create <strong>the</strong> second Q-sort parameters. The variable categories that emerged<br />

dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>terpretive analysis of <strong>the</strong> first Q-sort of <strong>the</strong> data were compiled<br />

aga<strong>in</strong>, and a second Q-sort was performed based on those categories. The data<br />

was <strong>the</strong>n aggregated accord<strong>in</strong>g to categorical or variable group<strong>in</strong>gs of <strong>the</strong> second<br />

Q-sort, Table 2.<br />

The use of two separate Q-sort strategies generated <strong>the</strong> variables and <strong>the</strong>n<br />

de-contextualized <strong>the</strong> data <strong>in</strong> order to f<strong>in</strong>d consistent trends throughout <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Community</strong>. That is, this strategy resulted <strong>in</strong> broad categories of<br />

f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs that apply across many agencies. In those cases where <strong>in</strong>terview and<br />

1<br />

Edw<strong>in</strong> Hubble discovered <strong>the</strong> first evidence to support <strong>the</strong> Big Bang <strong>the</strong>ory that <strong>the</strong> universe is<br />

expand<strong>in</strong>g and that <strong>the</strong> Milky Way is not <strong>the</strong> only galaxy <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> universe. He also developed <strong>the</strong><br />

Hubble Galaxy Classification System and Hubble’s Law (<strong>the</strong> far<strong>the</strong>r away a galaxy is from Earth,<br />

<strong>the</strong> faster its motion away from Earth). Edw<strong>in</strong> Hubble, The Realm of <strong>the</strong> Nebulae.<br />

2<br />

William Stephenson, The Study of Behavior: Q-Technique and its Methodology.<br />

127

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