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Analytic Culture in the U.S. Intelligence Community (PDF) - CIA

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CHAPTER FOUR<br />

Inputs, Processes, and Outputs of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> Cycle<br />

Inputs Processes Outputs<br />

Policymaker and o<strong>the</strong>r Direction Data collection<br />

stakeholder questions,<br />

requirements<br />

requirements<br />

Data collection Plann<strong>in</strong>g Task assignment,<br />

requirements, assessment<br />

potential data sources,<br />

of available resources and<br />

focus of analysis<br />

capabilities<br />

Open-source data: foreign Collection Potentially relevant data<br />

broadcasts, newspapers,<br />

periodicals, books;<br />

Classified data: case<br />

officer, diplomatic, and<br />

attaché reports,<br />

electronics, satellite<br />

photos<br />

Potentially relevant data<br />

Usable data<br />

Process<strong>in</strong>g: Reduction<br />

of data <strong>in</strong> a variety of<br />

formats to consistent<br />

pieces of usable data<br />

Analysis: Integration,<br />

evaluation, assessment<br />

of reliability, validity,<br />

and relevance of data<br />

Production: Peer<br />

review, supervisory<br />

review<br />

Usable Data<br />

F<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

<strong>Analytic</strong> review<br />

Written briefs, studies,<br />

long range assessments,<br />

short range assessments,<br />

oral briefs, national<br />

<strong>in</strong>telligence estimates<br />

Written briefs, studies, Dissem<strong>in</strong>ation Appropriate product to<br />

long-range assessments,<br />

address customer’s need<br />

short-range assessments,<br />

oral briefs, national<br />

<strong>in</strong>telligence estimates<br />

The table above depicts a more detailed <strong>in</strong>put, process, and output analysis<br />

and makes some relationships clearer—for example, <strong>the</strong> steps that <strong>in</strong>clude two<br />

actions (plann<strong>in</strong>g and direction, analysis and production) have been separated<br />

<strong>in</strong>to dist<strong>in</strong>ct processes—but it sill leaves a number of questions unanswered. It<br />

is difficult to see from this analysis specifically who is responsible for provid<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong>puts, carry<strong>in</strong>g out <strong>the</strong> processes, and produc<strong>in</strong>g outputs; and what<br />

requirements are expected of <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>puts and outputs.<br />

An important issue that this analysis only partly clarifies is <strong>the</strong> role of analysts.<br />

Nor does it demonstrate how great a burden <strong>the</strong> process places on <strong>the</strong>m,<br />

48

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