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Analytic Culture in the U.S. Intelligence Community (PDF) - CIA

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A TAXONOMY OF INTELLIGENCE<br />

cases and directed to use various methods to analyze <strong>the</strong> situations and to generate<br />

f<strong>in</strong>al products. Dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g exercises, <strong>the</strong> verbal and physical<br />

behavior of <strong>in</strong>dividuals and groups were observed and compared with <strong>the</strong> taxonomic<br />

model. I participated <strong>in</strong> a number of <strong>the</strong> exercises myself to ga<strong>in</strong> a better<br />

perspective. This process corroborated most of <strong>the</strong> recommendations that<br />

had been made by <strong>the</strong> experts and novices and also yielded additional variables<br />

for two of <strong>the</strong> categories.<br />

The result<strong>in</strong>g taxonomy is purely descriptive. It Systemic Variables<br />

is not <strong>in</strong>tended to demonstrate <strong>the</strong> weight or Organization<br />

Internal<br />

importance of each variable or category. That is,<br />

Structure<br />

<strong>the</strong> list<strong>in</strong>g is not sufficient to predict <strong>the</strong> effect of<br />

any one variable on human performance. The<br />

<strong>in</strong>tention of <strong>the</strong> enumeration is to provide a framework<br />

for aggregat<strong>in</strong>g exist<strong>in</strong>g data and to create a<br />

foundation for future experimentation. Once <strong>the</strong><br />

variables have been identified and previous f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

have been aggregated, it is reasonable to consider<br />

experimental methods that would isolate and<br />

control <strong>in</strong>dividual variables and, <strong>in</strong> time, <strong>in</strong>dicate<br />

sources of error and potential remediation<br />

Systemic Variables<br />

The column of Systemic Variables <strong>in</strong>corporates<br />

items that affect both an <strong>in</strong>telligence organization<br />

and <strong>the</strong> analytic environment. Organizational<br />

variables encompass <strong>the</strong> structure of <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>telligence<br />

organization; leadership, management, and<br />

management practices; history and traditions; <strong>the</strong><br />

work<strong>in</strong>g culture, social practices with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> organization,<br />

and work taboos; and organizational<br />

demographics. They also <strong>in</strong>clude <strong>in</strong>ternal politics,<br />

<strong>the</strong> hierarchical report<strong>in</strong>g structure, and material<br />

and human resources. Industrial and organizational<br />

psychology, sociology, and management<br />

studies <strong>in</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess have brought attention to <strong>the</strong><br />

importance of organizational behavior and its<br />

effect on <strong>in</strong>dividual work habits and practices.<br />

The works of Allison, Berkowitz and Goodman,<br />

Elk<strong>in</strong>s, Ford, Godson, and Richelson, among o<strong>the</strong>rs,<br />

exam<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> general <strong>the</strong> organizational aspects<br />

Leadership<br />

<strong>Culture</strong><br />

History<br />

Traditions<br />

Social Practice<br />

Taboo<br />

Group Characteristics<br />

Hierarchy<br />

Resources and Incentives<br />

Manpower<br />

Budget<br />

Technology<br />

Assets<br />

R&D<br />

Facilities<br />

Work Groups-Teams<br />

External<br />

Consumer Needs<br />

Time and Imperatives<br />

Consumer Use<br />

Consumer Structure<br />

Consumer Hierarchy<br />

Conumer Report<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Politics<br />

Internal-Organization<br />

Policy<br />

Tradition<br />

Taboo<br />

Security/Access<br />

External-National<br />

Law<br />

Policy<br />

External-International<br />

Security<br />

Denial<br />

Deception<br />

Policy<br />

of <strong>in</strong>telligence. 29 39

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