Analytic Culture in the U.S. Intelligence Community (PDF) - CIA

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BIBLIOGRAPHY Camerer, Colin, and Eric Johnson. “The Process-Performance Paradox in Expert Judgment: How Can Experts Know so Much and Predict so Badly?” in K. Anders Ericsson and Jacqui Smith, eds. Toward a General Theory of Expertise: Prospects and Limit. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1991. Cannon-Bowers, Janis, Eduardo Salas, and S. Converse. “Shared Mental Models in Expert Team Decision Making” in J. N. John Castellan, ed. Current Issues in Individual and Group Decision Making. Hillsdale, NY: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 1983. Capra, Fritjof. “Criteria of Systems Thinking,” Futures, October 1985: 475– 78. Carbonell, J. R. “AI in CAI: An Artificial Intelligence Approach to Computer- Assisted Instruction” in IEEE Transactions on Man-Machine Systems, 11 (1970): 190–202; J. D. Fletcher and M. R. Rockway loc. cit. Carmines, Edward, and Richard Zeller. Reliability and Validity Assessment. Newbury Park, CA: Sage, 1991. Cartwright, Dorwin, and Alvin Zander. Group Dynamics: Research and Theory. New York: Harper & Row, 1960. Cascio, Wayne F. Applied Psychology in Human Resource Management. 5th ed. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1998. Cassirer, Ernest. “Le Langage et le Monde des Objets,” Journal de Psychologie Nomale et Pathologique 30, 1(4) (1933): 18–44. Central Intelligence Agency. A Consumer’s Guide to Intelligence. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, 1993. ———. Factbook on Intelligence (http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/facttell/index.html.) Chambers, Erve. Applied Anthropology: A Practical Guide. Prospect Heights, IL: Waveland Press, 1989. Chase, William G. “Spatial Representations of Taxi Drivers” in Don Rogers and John Slobada, eds. Acquisition of Symbolic Skills. New York: Plenum, 1983. ———, and Herbert Simon. “Perception in Chess,” Cognitive Psychology 4 (1973): 55–81. ———, and K. Anders Ericsson. “Skill and Working Memory” in Gordon Bower, ed. The Psychology of Learning and Motivation. New York: Academic Press, 1982. Chi, Michelene, Robert Glaser, and Ernest Rees. “Expertise in Problem Solving” in Robert Sternberg, ed. Advances in the Psychology of Human Intelligence. Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 1982. ———, Paul Feltovich, and Robert Glaser. “Categorization and Representation of Physics Problems by Experts and Novices,” Cognitive Science 5 (1981): 121–25. 141
BIBLIOGRAPHY Chu, Godwin, and Wilbur Schramm. Learning from Television: What the Research Says. Stanford, CA: Stanford University, Institute for Communication Research, 1968. Clauser, Jerome K., and Sandra M. Weir. Intelligence Research Methodology: An Introduction to Techniques and Procedures for Conducting Research in Defense Intelligence. Washington, DC: US Defense Intelligence School, 1976. Cline, Marjorie, Carla Christiansen, and Judith Fontaine. Scholar’s Guide to Intelligence Literature: Bibliography of the Russell J. Bowen Collection. Frederick, MD: University Publications of America, 1983. Coch, Lester, and John French. “Overcoming Resistance to Change,” Dorwin Cartwright and Alvin Zander, eds. Group Dynamics: Research and Theory. New York: Harper & Row, 1960. Cohen, Peter, James Kulik, and Chen-Lin Kulik. “Educational Outcomes of Tutoring: A Meta-Analysis of Findings,” American Educational Research Journal 19 (1982): 237–48. Cushman, Philip. Constructing the Self, Constructing America. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1995. Davis, Jack. “Combating Mindset,” Studies in Intelligence 35 (Winter 1991): 13–18. Dawes, Robyn. Written communications between Dawes and Johnston, 2002. ———. “A Case Study of Graduate Admissions: Application of Three Principles of Human Decision Making,” American Psychologist 26 (1971): 180– 88. ———, David Faust, and Paul Meehl. “Clinical Versus Actuarial Judgment,” Science 243 (1989): 1668–74. Dearth, Douglas, and R. Thomas Goodden, eds. Strategic Intelligence: Theory and Application, 2nd ed. Washington, DC: Joint Military Intelligence College, 1995. Denzin, Norman, and Yvonna Lincoln, eds. Handbook of Qualitative Research. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 1994. Deutsch, Morton. “The Effects of Cooperation and Competition Upon Group Process” in Dorwin Cartwright and Alvin Zander, eds. Group Dynamics: Research and Theory. New York: Harper & Row, 1960. Duffy, T. M., and D. H. Jonassen, eds. Constructivism and the Technology of Instruction: A Conversation. Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum, 1992. Eco, Umberto. A Theory of Semiotics. Bloomington, IN: Indiana University Press, 1979. Egan, D., and B. Schwartz. “Chunking in Recall of Symbolic Drawings,” Memory and Cognition 7 (1979): 149–58. Elkins, Dan. An Intelligence Resource Manager’s Guide. Washington, DC: Joint Military Intelligence College, 1997. 142
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All statements of fact, opinion, or
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The Center for the Study of Intelli
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS There are literall
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CONTENTS Foreword by Gregory F. Tre
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Part IV: Notes on Methodology Chapt
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as “CNN plus secrets.” Johnston
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INTRODUCTION ment, very open and ho
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INTRODUCTION is so small and the se
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INTRODUCTION gence analysts would u
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INTRODUCTION I mention Mead not onl
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eth•nog•ra•phy\n [F ethnograp
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CHAPTER ONE Definition 1: Intellige
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CHAPTER ONE that consumers of intel
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CHAPTER ONE During the interviews f
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CHAPTER TWO improvement infrastruct
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CHAPTER TWO Secrecy vs. Efficacy se
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CHAPTER TWO You know, someday someb
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CHAPTER TWO Finding: Rewards and In
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CHAPTER TWO distinction, for langua
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CHAPTER TWO that analysis is not a
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CHAPTER TWO described by participan
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CHAPTER TWO instead of academic and
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CHAPTER TWO Asked to define their p
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CHAPTER TWO satisfaction and anxiet
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PART II Ethnography of Analysis 31
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CHAPTER THREE A Taxonomy of Intelli
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A TAXONOMY OF INTELLIGENCE ing inte
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A TAXONOMY OF INTELLIGENCE system t
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A TAXONOMY OF INTELLIGENCE cases an
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A TAXONOMY OF INTELLIGENCE Comparat
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A TAXONOMY OF INTELLIGENCE has on t
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CHAPTER FOUR Testing the Intelligen
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TESTING THE INTELLIGENCE CYCLE Syst
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TESTING THE INTELLIGENCE CYCLE an e
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TESTING THE INTELLIGENCE CYCLE rela
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TESTING THE INTELLIGENCE CYCLE ucts
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TESTING THE INTELLIGENCE CYCLE the
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TESTING THE INTELLIGENCE CYCLE shou
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CHAPTER FIVE Integrating Methodolog
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INTEGRATING METHODOLOGISTS ing ches
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INTEGRATING METHODOLOGISTS good as,
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INTEGRATING METHODOLOGISTS case sti
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INTEGRATING METHODOLOGISTS cal infr
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INTEGRATING METHODOLOGISTS Can Tech
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INTEGRATING METHODOLOGISTS done to
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CHAPTER SIX have different historie
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CHAPTER SIX As an observer, I misse
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CHAPTER SIX In contrast, 25 percent
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CHAPTER SIX numerous domain matter
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CHAPTER SIX Quite the contrary, eac
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CHAPTER SIX a practical matter, the
Page 104 and 105: CHAPTER SEVEN Background The argume
Page 106 and 107: CHAPTER SEVEN age about 30 percent,
Page 108 and 109: CHAPTER SEVEN the procedure’s app
Page 110 and 111: CHAPTER SEVEN includes the ability
Page 112 and 113: CHAPTER SEVEN advance beyond the co
Page 114 and 115: CHAPTER EIGHT is the process of lea
Page 116 and 117: CHAPTER EIGHT often be hired on the
Page 118 and 119: CHAPTER EIGHT Interestingly, resear
Page 120 and 121: CHAPTER EIGHT Conclusion and Recomm
Page 122 and 123: CHAPTER EIGHT research fellowships,
Page 124 and 125: CHAPTER NINE As the resources avail
Page 126 and 127: CHAPTER NINE For intelligence analy
Page 128 and 129: CHAPTER NINE analyses requires sign
Page 130 and 131: CHAPTER NINE Development and Valida
Page 132 and 133: CHAPTER NINE agents or agencies of
Page 134 and 135: CHAPTER TEN Survey Methodology This
Page 136 and 137: SURVEY METHODOLOGY content and, thu
Page 138 and 139: SURVEY METHODOLOGY might merely ser
Page 140 and 141: SURVEY METHODOLOGY group includes a
Page 142 and 143: CHAPTER ELEVEN Q-Sort Methodology O
Page 144 and 145: CHAPTER TWELVE The “File-Drawer
Page 146 and 147: CHAPTER TWELVE 0.15 and for interac
Page 148 and 149: APPENDIX Jonathan Lockwood and K. L
Page 150 and 151: APPENDIX Hede Helfrich, “Human Re
Page 152 and 153: BIBLIOGRAPHY Published Sources Akin
Page 156 and 157: BIBLIOGRAPHY Endsley, M.R. “Desig
Page 158 and 159: BIBLIOGRAPHY Godson, Roy, ed. Compa
Page 160 and 161: BIBLIOGRAPHY Jervis, Robert. Percep
Page 162 and 163: BIBLIOGRAPHY ———, and Barbara
Page 164 and 165: BIBLIOGRAPHY Miller, George, and Ph
Page 166 and 167: BIBLIOGRAPHY ———. “The Pros
Page 168 and 169: BIBLIOGRAPHY Thompson, J. R., R. Ho
Page 170 and 171: BIBLIOGRAPHY Web resources Buros In
Page 172 and 173: sealed, world of intelligence. Rob
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