05.03.2014 Views

addressing uncertainty in oil and natural gas industry greenhouse

addressing uncertainty in oil and natural gas industry greenhouse

addressing uncertainty in oil and natural gas industry greenhouse

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

U ( abs) = U ( abs) + U ( abs)<br />

2 2<br />

Composition Re producibility Variability<br />

U abs<br />

0.4176<br />

Urel ( ) = × 100% = 5.22%<br />

8<br />

2 2<br />

( )<br />

Ethane<br />

= 0.12 + 0.4 = 0.4176<br />

mole%<br />

dry<br />

Reproducibility<br />

Uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty<br />

(abs), mole%<br />

Table 5-6. Composition Data<br />

Variability<br />

Uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty<br />

(U abs =mole%×5%)<br />

Comb<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

Uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty<br />

(rel)<br />

(applies to<br />

MW)<br />

MW<br />

Calculation,<br />

lb/lbmole<br />

wt%<br />

Carbon<br />

Calculation,<br />

%<br />

wt%<br />

C<br />

U(rel)<br />

Methane 85 0.15 4.25 5.00% 13.6340 53.96 6.24%<br />

Ethane 8 0.12 0.4 5.22% 2.4056 10.16 6.41%<br />

Butane 3 0.1 0.15 6.01% 1.7436 7.62 7.07%<br />

N 2 4 0.1 0.2 5.59% 1.1200 0.00 6.72%<br />

Total 100 18.9032 71.7339<br />

Sum <strong>uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty</strong><br />

(abs) 0.7042 3.4704<br />

Sum <strong>uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty</strong><br />

(rel) 3.73% 4.84%<br />

The molecular weight of the <strong>gas</strong> is calculated by apply<strong>in</strong>g the follow<strong>in</strong>g equation:<br />

MW<br />

Mixture<br />

=<br />

1<br />

100<br />

×<br />

# compounds<br />

∑( Mole%<br />

i<br />

× MWi<br />

)<br />

i=<br />

1<br />

This results <strong>in</strong> 18.9 lb/lbmole, as shown <strong>in</strong> Table 5-6.<br />

For each <strong>in</strong>dividual <strong>gas</strong> compound, the relative <strong>uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty</strong> of the mole% i × MW i is equivalent to the<br />

comb<strong>in</strong>ed reproducibility <strong>and</strong> variability uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties, s<strong>in</strong>ce the molecular weight of each <strong>gas</strong> compound is a<br />

constant. The aggregated <strong>uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty</strong> associated with the mixture’s MW is calculated by apply<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Equation 4-4, us<strong>in</strong>g the absolute uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties for each molar compound.<br />

U ( abs) = U ( abs)<br />

∑( MW Total )<br />

2<br />

mole%<br />

× MW<br />

U ( abs) = (0.0500× 13.6340) + (0.0522× 2.4056) + (0.0601× 1.7436) + (0.0559×<br />

1.12)<br />

∑( MW Total )<br />

U abs<br />

2 2 2 2<br />

2 2 2 2<br />

( ) = (0.6821) + (0.1256) + (0.1048) + (0.0626) = 0.7042<br />

( MW Total )<br />

∑<br />

Urel ( )<br />

∑<br />

( MW Total )<br />

∑<br />

0.7042 = 100% 3.73%<br />

18.9032 × =<br />

The weight percent carbon of the average composition is calculated by apply<strong>in</strong>g the follow<strong>in</strong>g equation:<br />

Pilot Version, September 2009 5-15

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!