addressing uncertainty in oil and natural gas industry greenhouse
addressing uncertainty in oil and natural gas industry greenhouse
addressing uncertainty in oil and natural gas industry greenhouse
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U ( abs) = U ( abs) + U ( abs)<br />
2 2<br />
Composition Re producibility Variability<br />
U abs<br />
0.4176<br />
Urel ( ) = × 100% = 5.22%<br />
8<br />
2 2<br />
( )<br />
Ethane<br />
= 0.12 + 0.4 = 0.4176<br />
mole%<br />
dry<br />
Reproducibility<br />
Uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty<br />
(abs), mole%<br />
Table 5-6. Composition Data<br />
Variability<br />
Uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty<br />
(U abs =mole%×5%)<br />
Comb<strong>in</strong>ed<br />
Uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty<br />
(rel)<br />
(applies to<br />
MW)<br />
MW<br />
Calculation,<br />
lb/lbmole<br />
wt%<br />
Carbon<br />
Calculation,<br />
%<br />
wt%<br />
C<br />
U(rel)<br />
Methane 85 0.15 4.25 5.00% 13.6340 53.96 6.24%<br />
Ethane 8 0.12 0.4 5.22% 2.4056 10.16 6.41%<br />
Butane 3 0.1 0.15 6.01% 1.7436 7.62 7.07%<br />
N 2 4 0.1 0.2 5.59% 1.1200 0.00 6.72%<br />
Total 100 18.9032 71.7339<br />
Sum <strong>uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty</strong><br />
(abs) 0.7042 3.4704<br />
Sum <strong>uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty</strong><br />
(rel) 3.73% 4.84%<br />
The molecular weight of the <strong>gas</strong> is calculated by apply<strong>in</strong>g the follow<strong>in</strong>g equation:<br />
MW<br />
Mixture<br />
=<br />
1<br />
100<br />
×<br />
# compounds<br />
∑( Mole%<br />
i<br />
× MWi<br />
)<br />
i=<br />
1<br />
This results <strong>in</strong> 18.9 lb/lbmole, as shown <strong>in</strong> Table 5-6.<br />
For each <strong>in</strong>dividual <strong>gas</strong> compound, the relative <strong>uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty</strong> of the mole% i × MW i is equivalent to the<br />
comb<strong>in</strong>ed reproducibility <strong>and</strong> variability uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties, s<strong>in</strong>ce the molecular weight of each <strong>gas</strong> compound is a<br />
constant. The aggregated <strong>uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty</strong> associated with the mixture’s MW is calculated by apply<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Equation 4-4, us<strong>in</strong>g the absolute uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties for each molar compound.<br />
U ( abs) = U ( abs)<br />
∑( MW Total )<br />
2<br />
mole%<br />
× MW<br />
U ( abs) = (0.0500× 13.6340) + (0.0522× 2.4056) + (0.0601× 1.7436) + (0.0559×<br />
1.12)<br />
∑( MW Total )<br />
U abs<br />
2 2 2 2<br />
2 2 2 2<br />
( ) = (0.6821) + (0.1256) + (0.1048) + (0.0626) = 0.7042<br />
( MW Total )<br />
∑<br />
Urel ( )<br />
∑<br />
( MW Total )<br />
∑<br />
0.7042 = 100% 3.73%<br />
18.9032 × =<br />
The weight percent carbon of the average composition is calculated by apply<strong>in</strong>g the follow<strong>in</strong>g equation:<br />
Pilot Version, September 2009 5-15