29.08.2014 Views

Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future - Strategic ...

Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future - Strategic ...

Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future - Strategic ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

ABM system. According to information that became<br />

available long after the initial bilateral debates, negotiations<br />

<strong>and</strong> agreements on the offensive-defensive<br />

linkage, feasibility studies ordered by the Soviets at<br />

the time resulted in a definite conclusion that such a<br />

system would not only be prohibitively expensive but<br />

would also be totally ineffective <strong>and</strong> could be easily<br />

penetrated in a massive nuclear attack. 11<br />

Therefore Moscow decided at an early stage that<br />

it would not waste resources on constructing such a<br />

system. To be absolutely certain that the United States<br />

would under no circumstances achieve a technological<br />

breakthrough in defensive systems where the Soviets<br />

anticipated failure, thereby gaining strategic superiority<br />

over the USSR, they agreed to conclude the Anti-<br />

Ballistic Missile Treaty (ABMT). The complete reversal<br />

of the Kremlin’s initial skeptical attitude towards<br />

regulating strategic defensive systems was based on<br />

pragmatic calculations. Establishing a moratorium on<br />

developing strategic defensive systems that lasted until<br />

the early 2000s may be considered a serious Soviet<br />

achievement in arms control.<br />

With the conclusion in May 1972 of the ABM<br />

Treaty <strong>and</strong> SALT-1, the paradigm of “Mutual Assured<br />

Destruction” (MAD) became dominant in U.S.-Soviet<br />

strategic relations. 12 Negotiations on subsequent major<br />

arms limitation <strong>and</strong> arms reduction treaties (SALT-<br />

2, <strong>Strategic</strong> Arms Reduction Treaty [START] I <strong>and</strong><br />

START II) were conducted with the background of<br />

continued reliance on mutual vulnerability to retaliation.<br />

The <strong>Russian</strong>s proclaimed the ABMT “the cornerstone<br />

of strategic stability” in bilateral relations <strong>and</strong><br />

the foundation of geopolitical “parity” between the<br />

superpowers. 13 Diplomatic experiences of the early-<br />

104

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!