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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future - Strategic ...

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The <strong>Russian</strong> Federation reserves the right to utilize<br />

nuclear weapons in response to the utilization of nuclear<br />

<strong>and</strong> other types of weapons of mass destruction<br />

against it <strong>and</strong> (or) its allies, <strong>and</strong> also in the event of aggression<br />

against the <strong>Russian</strong> Federation involving the<br />

use of conventional weapons when the very existence<br />

of the state is under threat. (Section III.22). 80<br />

As if to stress still further the level of extreme caution<br />

involved, the doctrine also adds: “The decision<br />

to utilize nuclear weapons is made by the <strong>Russian</strong><br />

Federation president.” Its inclusion seems calibrated<br />

to remind the military that the decision rests with the<br />

supreme political leadership. Despite the controversy<br />

in the fall of 2009, the doctrine did not adopt a more<br />

aggressive nuclear posture, suggesting that a struggle<br />

occurred in the hiatus resulting in the victory of more<br />

moderate forces in the <strong>Russian</strong> security elite. 81 While<br />

there was a fudge on the issue of the new look, on<br />

the nuclear issue <strong>and</strong> foreign procurement the hawks<br />

were plucked <strong>and</strong> their hopes for rapid feather growth<br />

lay in questioning whether the new look will prove<br />

successful in the future <strong>and</strong> in clinging dogmatically<br />

to nuclear deterrence. Paradoxically, the new doctrine<br />

subsequently allowed slightly more scope to those<br />

advocating reform to openly discuss the “teething”<br />

problems of the new look armed forces.<br />

PANDORA’S BOX AND GROWING<br />

INTERNATIONAL STRATEGIC CONFUSION<br />

This uneasy consensus reflected in the new military<br />

doctrine, which appears weighed in favor of old<br />

approaches, manifests itself in a curious way in the<br />

country’s nuclear posture. Military justification for<br />

70

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