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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future - Strategic ...

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42. The National Resource Defense Council (NRDC) has traditionally<br />

calculated both the overall number (2,050) <strong>and</strong> categories<br />

of <strong>Russian</strong> TNW by counting nuclear-capable delivery vehicles.<br />

Unlike strategic weapons, however, the relationship between<br />

delivery vehicles <strong>and</strong> warheads is far from direct where TNW are<br />

concerned—it is far from obvious that Russia keeps nuclear warheads<br />

for all nuclear-capable delivery vehicles (meaning that the<br />

stockpile number is lower than the number of delivery vehicles)<br />

or, alternatively, might have several warheads for each delivery<br />

vehicle.<br />

43. It is ironic that confidential interviews collected in 1991-92<br />

among U.S. officials attributed the rejection by George H. W. Bush<br />

of the <strong>Russian</strong> proposal to start negotiations on a legally binding<br />

<strong>and</strong> verifiable treaty on TNW to the U.S. Navy, which was<br />

reluctant to allow on-site inspections of ships <strong>and</strong> submarines to<br />

confirm the absence of nuclear warheads.<br />

44. For details, see Nikolai Sokov, <strong>Russian</strong> <strong>Strategic</strong> Modernization:<br />

<strong>Past</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Future</strong>, Lanham, MD: Rowman <strong>and</strong> Littlefield, 2000,<br />

chap. 1.<br />

45. “Pochti Vse Puskovye Ustanovki RVSN Nakhodyatsya v<br />

Miutnoi Gotovnosti,” RIA-Novosti, February 11, 2009.<br />

46. “Vtoroi Polk Mobilnykh ‘Topol-M’ Zastupit na Dezhurstvo<br />

do Kontsa Goda,” RIA-Novosti, November 18, 2009.<br />

47. It is widely assumed that 30 Topol-Ms a year would be the<br />

cost-effective level of production—the lowest cost per unit—<strong>and</strong><br />

has been regularly mentioned by leading figures of the <strong>Russian</strong><br />

military-industrial complex.<br />

48. “Rossiya ne Budet Narashchivat Proizvodstvo Raket v<br />

Ushshcherb Sotsialnym Programmam” (“Russia Will Not Increase<br />

Production of Missiles at the Expense of Social Programs”),<br />

RIA-Novosti, December 7, 2007.<br />

49. “Pervyi Vitse-Premier Sergey Ivanov Zayavil o Neobkhodimosti<br />

Pariteta Yadernyih Sil Rossii i SShA” (“First Vice-<br />

Premier Sergey Ivanov Declared that Parity of <strong>Russian</strong> <strong>and</strong> U.S.<br />

<strong>Nuclear</strong> Forces is Needed”), RIA-Novosti, December 7, 2007.<br />

256

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