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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future - Strategic ...

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Finally, we must underst<strong>and</strong> that <strong>Russian</strong> rhetoric<br />

is not just rhetoric but actual policy. Recent deployments<br />

of the SS-26 Isk<strong>and</strong>er missile (that comes in<br />

both nuclear <strong>and</strong> conventional formats) in the Leningrad<br />

Military District where it could threaten Finl<strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> the Baltic States suggest not just a desire to deter<br />

NATO, but also the continuing desire to intimidate<br />

<strong>Russian</strong> neighbors. 121 Should Russia divine a threat in<br />

Europe, it reserves the right to place these missiles in<br />

Kaliningrad from where it could threaten Pol<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

even Germany as well. 122<br />

BEYOND THE DOCTRINE<br />

From an optimistic st<strong>and</strong>point, we can say that<br />

Medvedev successfully overrode the hawks <strong>and</strong><br />

signed the treaty. 123 Moreover, he rebuffed both Putin<br />

<strong>and</strong> the military on the idea of an exp<strong>and</strong>ed nuclear<br />

program. Thus, at the March 5, 2010, exp<strong>and</strong>ed session<br />

of the Defense Ministry Collegium, Medvedev<br />

made it clear that Russia does not need to increase<br />

its offensive nuclear capability any further than was<br />

originally planned. 124 Clearly this directly contradicted<br />

Putin’s public remarks in December 2009, underscoring<br />

the continuing divisions between Putin <strong>and</strong> Medvedev<br />

<strong>and</strong> within the <strong>Russian</strong> military-political elite.<br />

Beyond those debates, the fact of Putin’s intervention<br />

on behalf of the military <strong>and</strong> his attempt to use them<br />

to check Medvedev is no less striking. First, it represents<br />

another in a series of ongoing efforts to assert<br />

the supremacy of military orientations in <strong>Russian</strong> national<br />

security policy over all other imperatives, while<br />

simultaneously representing another attempt to politicize<br />

the military in the context of the visible rivalry<br />

between Putin <strong>and</strong> Medvedev as well as their respec-<br />

331

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