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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future - Strategic ...

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state expenditures will supposedly fall by 4.5 percent,<br />

allegedly through attrition of bureaucrats by 20 percent<br />

through 2013, reducing the rise of administrative<br />

costs, <strong>and</strong> the privatizations mentioned above. 33<br />

In addition, “Popovkin announced plans to spend<br />

this windfall to procure a thous<strong>and</strong> new helicopters in<br />

ten years including heavy Mi-26 helicopters that can<br />

carry 25 tons of cargo or more than 100 passengers for<br />

short distances.” 34 The need for such weapons is quite<br />

visible in the North Caucasus, which is on fire. Likewise,<br />

Russia will also procure 20 new heavy AN-124<br />

Ruslan transport aircraft <strong>and</strong> 60 new T-50 “fifth generation”<br />

stealth jet fighters starting in 2013. Meanwhile,<br />

Russia is already deploying new RS-24 intercontinental<br />

ballistic missiles (ICBMs). 35 Thus by 2013, <strong>Russian</strong><br />

defense spending will be 2 trillion rubles more than<br />

it is today <strong>and</strong> rise by 60 percent relative to 2010 figures.<br />

These sums will go largely to nuclear, naval, <strong>and</strong><br />

air forces. 36 Indeed, the budget through 2013 raises<br />

procurement by 50 percent above the earlier figures. 37<br />

However, if one takes into account the costs of actually<br />

procuring these airplanes, ships, etc., in reality rather<br />

little can be built (<strong>and</strong> costs will rise <strong>and</strong> inefficiencies,<br />

absent reform, will continue to add to these increased<br />

costs ) <strong>and</strong> ultimately the deployment of hundreds<br />

of airplanes <strong>and</strong> dozens of ships by 2015 <strong>and</strong> 2020 is<br />

quite unlikely to materialize. 38<br />

Obviously, lucrative <strong>and</strong> productive investment<br />

will be squeezed in the coming budgets as is already<br />

the case. It is most likely that without significant governmental<br />

reform these increased outlays will be inefficiently<br />

<strong>and</strong> ineffectively spent <strong>and</strong> will ultimately<br />

increase inflationary pressures. While these procurements<br />

plans were stimulated by real threats in the<br />

North Caucasus <strong>and</strong> to the alleged threat presented by<br />

304

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