Educational Research - the Ethics and Aesthetics of Statistics
Educational Research - the Ethics and Aesthetics of Statistics
Educational Research - the Ethics and Aesthetics of Statistics
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136 U. Stadler-Altmann <strong>and</strong> E. Keiner<br />
9.1.2 And <strong>the</strong> Truth?<br />
Scientific (<strong>and</strong> thus, statistical) thinking seeks for ways in which existing underst<strong>and</strong>ing<br />
might be wrong, because such exceptions could illuminate <strong>the</strong> path towards<br />
a better underst<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> truth.<br />
Some disciplines see statistics in this way. Writers within <strong>the</strong>se disciplines regard<br />
statistical analysis as a gatekeeper to sound empirical research. Statistical significance<br />
is <strong>the</strong> first requirement for publication in many areas <strong>of</strong> social science. For<br />
example, social scientists discuss ‘evidence-based education’ which means selecting<br />
treatments based on <strong>the</strong> best scientific (usually statistically based) evidence to<br />
date. <strong>Educational</strong> statisticians <strong>of</strong>ten have to resist <strong>the</strong> popular impression that learning<br />
how to use statistics is synonymous with learning how to lie with data. Those<br />
who incorrectly believe that statistics is solely a branch <strong>of</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matics (<strong>and</strong> thus<br />
algorithmic), <strong>of</strong>ten see <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> judgement in statistics as evidence that statisticians<br />
do indeed manipulate <strong>the</strong>ir results. In <strong>the</strong>ir push to teach formulas <strong>and</strong> definitions,<br />
<strong>the</strong>y may fail to emphasise <strong>the</strong> important role played by judgement. The principle<br />
guiding <strong>the</strong>se judgements should be <strong>the</strong> honest search for ‘truth’ about <strong>the</strong> world,<br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> principle <strong>of</strong> seeking such ‘truth’ should have a central place in discussions<br />
about statistics <strong>and</strong> even in presentations. There is also a seeking for truth in poems<br />
<strong>and</strong> in <strong>the</strong> discussion <strong>of</strong> poems as a way to underst<strong>and</strong> our world. But <strong>the</strong> literate<br />
audience do not assume that <strong>the</strong> poet lies, it knows something about <strong>the</strong> ‘magic’<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> poetic speech as a specific way to see <strong>the</strong> truth. Even statistics in social <strong>and</strong><br />
educational research is one way to look at our world <strong>and</strong> see <strong>the</strong> truth.<br />
Of course, one can wield <strong>the</strong> tools <strong>of</strong> statistics to mislead. But even those who<br />
repeat <strong>the</strong> quotation do not believe that <strong>the</strong> purpose <strong>of</strong> statistics is to mislead, or that<br />
<strong>the</strong>re is something fundamentally dishonest about statisticians. <strong>Statistics</strong> does not<br />
lack respect because people think that statisticians are crooks. One way <strong>of</strong> showing<br />
truth in oral statistical presentations is to fix <strong>the</strong> structure <strong>of</strong> a presentation. Then,<br />
<strong>the</strong> scholarly audience finds similar structures in different research presentations <strong>and</strong><br />
feels safe <strong>and</strong> secure – <strong>the</strong> author has used <strong>the</strong> right methods. That helps to underst<strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> data <strong>and</strong> helps to accept <strong>the</strong> honesty <strong>of</strong> statistical use <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> conclusions<br />
drawn from it.<br />
One <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> major goals <strong>of</strong> statistics is to facilitate <strong>the</strong> discovery, underst<strong>and</strong>ing,<br />
quantification, modelling, <strong>and</strong> communication <strong>of</strong> facts about <strong>the</strong> world. This is also<br />
a major goal in poetry: to discover <strong>the</strong> world in a new way <strong>and</strong> to communicate <strong>the</strong><br />
experience <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> author.<br />
We probably could better underst<strong>and</strong> some oral presentations <strong>of</strong> empirical studies,<br />
if we see <strong>the</strong> presentation <strong>of</strong> quantitative results as a lyric presentation. In<br />
qualitative research we could find a similar mode <strong>of</strong> presentation: Holley <strong>and</strong> Colyar<br />
(2009) demonstrate <strong>the</strong> narrative structure <strong>of</strong> qualitative research <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>y use a <strong>the</strong>ory<br />
<strong>of</strong> narrative to deconstruct qualitative research texts. So, in our example we<br />
could use <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>of</strong> poems <strong>and</strong> lyrics to try to deconstruct <strong>the</strong> oral presentation<br />
<strong>of</strong> quantitative research presentations. Although research texts are a distinct genre<br />
as compared to fiction, <strong>the</strong> basics components <strong>of</strong> lyric structure are sometimes similar<br />
to those <strong>of</strong> research texts. In both areas <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se components function