Educational Research - the Ethics and Aesthetics of Statistics
Educational Research - the Ethics and Aesthetics of Statistics
Educational Research - the Ethics and Aesthetics of Statistics
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5 Constructing Social Unity <strong>and</strong> Presenting Clear Predictions 73<br />
international issues (Lazarsfeld, Berelson, & Gaudet, 1944/1969, p. 34). In a similar<br />
way Karl Mannheim (1951, pp. 13–23) <strong>and</strong> Lippmann (1922/1990, pp. 264–275)<br />
dem<strong>and</strong>ed that a social psychological diagnosis <strong>of</strong> people’s education should act as<br />
a basis for ‘planning for freedom’. Hartmut von Hentig, <strong>the</strong> famous reform pedagogue<br />
from Bielefeld, aimed to prepare people in West Germany for citizenship<br />
<strong>and</strong> responsibility (von Hentig, 1963, quoted from Von Hodenberg, 2006, p. 55).<br />
In contrast to this, Erich Peter Neumann (1965, p. 29) from Allensbach pointed<br />
out that politics had to fulfil important mass educational tasks: ‘Actually systematic<br />
examinations have generated almost unambiguous indications that <strong>the</strong> relationship<br />
between <strong>the</strong> citizen <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> state are more at risk <strong>the</strong> fewer <strong>the</strong> citizen knows<br />
about <strong>the</strong> state’ (Neumann, 1955). Indeed political skills <strong>and</strong> knowledge should be<br />
improved – especially among <strong>the</strong> youth. But Neumann judged political education as<br />
an important precondition to streng<strong>the</strong>n public support for governmental leadership<br />
in West Germany.<br />
Allensbach pollsters did not see data per se as an instrument to create public<br />
communication or <strong>the</strong> kind <strong>of</strong> education that Dewey wanted. In contrast to Dewey<br />
<strong>the</strong>y thought that statistical data, series <strong>and</strong> charts are too abstract for most superficially<br />
educated people. This seems to be a paradox because <strong>the</strong> presentation <strong>of</strong><br />
data <strong>and</strong> charts should suggest clear regulation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> national body as a means to<br />
create social coherence. However, Neumann was <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> opinion that <strong>the</strong> publication<br />
<strong>of</strong> pure data could nei<strong>the</strong>r create acceptance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> government decisions nor convince<br />
<strong>the</strong> population <strong>of</strong> political programs: ‘It is evident that <strong>the</strong>re is no easier way<br />
<strong>of</strong> going over people’s heads than by using statistics. The majority <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population<br />
thinks that <strong>the</strong> proportion between 100,000 marks <strong>and</strong> 100,000,000 marks differs<br />
only in <strong>the</strong> different quantity <strong>of</strong> zeros’. 8 Therefore, Neumann wanted to reserve poll<br />
data exclusively for <strong>the</strong> political elite <strong>and</strong> public intellectuals. Pollsters or special<br />
journalists should comment <strong>and</strong> interpret quantitative results to avoid <strong>the</strong> misreading<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> data. Here, we discover a contradiction that cannot be resolved: <strong>the</strong> legitimisation<br />
<strong>of</strong> polls derives from <strong>the</strong>ir capacity to improve democratic or at least national<br />
mass communication. Polls seem to be a means to restore <strong>the</strong> great community.<br />
However, <strong>the</strong>y <strong>of</strong>ten present <strong>the</strong> respondents as incomplete <strong>and</strong> ignorant human<br />
beings who are not able to deal with public affairs. It seems that polls aggravate<br />
<strong>the</strong> gap between experts, governors <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> people even though <strong>the</strong> results are <strong>of</strong>ten<br />
published.<br />
5.6 Conclusion<br />
Neumann’s statement reveals a bizarre <strong>and</strong> paradoxical mistrust <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> possibility<br />
that polls can create <strong>and</strong> streng<strong>the</strong>n public communication in Dewey’s sense. Poll<br />
data should create clarity. It should help with prediction <strong>and</strong> comparison. However,<br />
its main purpose ended up being <strong>the</strong> elaboration <strong>of</strong> political or governmental strategies<br />
by political experts. The publication <strong>of</strong> data should not <strong>and</strong> did not serve to<br />
establish free communication among people but convinced <strong>the</strong>m <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> veracity <strong>of</strong><br />
governmental aims <strong>and</strong> dominant norms. If <strong>the</strong> majority <strong>of</strong> respondents comply with